Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Oct 17th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Plan B Media, TISCO Financial, Advanced Info Service, True, Advanced Info Service, True, Tisco Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Oct 17th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Plan B Media, TISCO Financial, Advanced Info Service, True, Advanced Info Service, True, Tisco Financial.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Oct 17th): Intouch, Plan B Media, TISCO Financial

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We switch our rating to “Neutral” (previously Outperform) as the valuation appeal has diminished after the share price rose more than 9% since our previous report.</li><li>KTC’s 3Q25E net profit is expected at Bt1.9bn (flat YoY, +1.4 % QoQ), with results scheduled for release on October 17, 2025.</li><li>Loan portfolio growth is projected at just 1.2% YoY and 0.3% QoQ, reflecting muted expansion in line with cautious consumer spending.</li></ul>

We switch our rating to “Neutral” (previously Outperform) as the valuation appeal has diminished after the share price rose more than 9% since our previous report.KTC’s 3Q25E net profit is expected at Bt1.9bn (flat YoY, +1.4 % QoQ), with results scheduled for release on October 17, 2025.Loan portfolio growth is projected at just 1.2% YoY and 0.3% QoQ, reflecting muted expansion in line with cautious consumer spending.

KRUNGTHAI CARD Plc. (KTC): 3Q25E Profit To Have Edged Up Slightly

<ul><li>BTG announced a share buyback of up to 85mn shares (4.39% of total shares) with a maximum budget of Bt2bn.</li><li>KTX projects that by year-end 2025, BTG will report a net D/E ratio of 0.6x, cash on hand of Bt3.9bn, CFO of Bt12.7bn, and FCF of Bt6.2bn.</li><li>The share buyback is expected to enhance per-share performance (e.g., EPS and DPS) and fair value by around 4% in 2026E.</li></ul>

BTG announced a share buyback of up to 85mn shares (4.39% of total shares) with a maximum budget of Bt2bn.KTX projects that by year-end 2025, BTG will report a net D/E ratio of 0.6x, cash on hand of Bt3.9bn, CFO of Bt12.7bn, and FCF of Bt6.2bn.The share buyback is expected to enhance per-share performance (e.g., EPS and DPS) and fair value by around 4% in 2026E.

BETAGRO (BTG): Share Buyback Program of Up to Bt2bn During Sep 29, 2025

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a>'s IPO is, arguably, priced reasonably. Yet, no matter how you slice it, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a> has overshot the mark.</li>
<li>KKR's lock up in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> expires in less than three weeks. It's not ideal stepping in front of fast-moving trains, so challenging to recommend a full-throated short.</li>
<li>Abu Dhabis' ADNOC walks away from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>. That was, realistically, the most likely outcome.</li>
</ul>



Zijin Gold (2259 HK)'s IPO is, arguably, priced reasonably. Yet, no matter how you slice it, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) has overshot the mark.
KKR's lock up in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) expires in less than three weeks. It's not ideal stepping in front of fast-moving trains, so challenging to recommend a full-throated short.
Abu Dhabis' ADNOC walks away from Santos Ltd (STO AU). That was, realistically, the most likely outcome.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Zijin Mining/Gold, Kokusai Electric, Santos, Krungthai Card

<ul>
<li>As <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">discussed</a> in May this year, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC World (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares figures released by the SET illustrated a dramatic downward swing in KTC's pledged shares in June versus May. </li>
<li>SET's updated list of securities pledged - as at 29th August - shows pledged shares in KTC ticking up. But so has KTC's share price, slowly but surely.</li>
</ul>


As discussed in May this year, shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC World (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
Reportedly Mongkol Prakitchaiwattana pledged his holdings in all four companies. Pledged shares figures released by the SET illustrated a dramatic downward swing in KTC's pledged shares in June versus May. 
SET's updated list of securities pledged - as at 29th August - shows pledged shares in KTC ticking up. But so has KTC's share price, slowly but surely.


Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Pledged Shares Inching Up, Again

Thailand

Krungthai Card Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based financial services company primarily engaged in credit card and personal loan businesses. The company offers a variety of credit cards, merchant acquiring services, payment services, and personal loan products including auto title loans, provincial retail lending, and e-money services. It was founded in Bangkok, Thailand, in 1996.

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Krungthai Card (KTC TB)

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Oct 17th): Intouch, Plan B Media, TISCO Financial

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Plan B Media (PLANB TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRUNGTHAI CARD Plc. (KTC): 3Q25E Profit To Have Edged Up Slightly

We switch our rating to “Neutral” (previously Outperform) as the valuation appeal has diminished after the share price rose more than 9% since our...

Krungthai XSpring

Last Week In Event SPACE: Zijin Mining/Gold, Kokusai Electric, Santos, Krungthai Card

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Krungthai Card (KTC TB): Pledged Shares Inching Up, Again

KTC is not trading down here on account of any large fundamental miss. 1H25 results bear this out. But this is no longer a high conviction trade....

David Blennerhassett

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