Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leopalace21-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8244:1" rel="noopener">Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP)</a> had a giant oopsie in 2018-2021 where they lost ¥180bn over three years because of defective construction requiring repairs. </li>
<li>Murakami and others got involved. Leopalace got financing from FIG (shares/SARs/loan), Murakami bailed. Eventually Hikari Tsushin got in. Leopalace got FIG out of their loan, doing a refi through Mizuho.</li>
<li>Cash was up, cashflow is strong. Business is changed/revived. Now Leopalace is buying back SARs it sold to FIG. FIG will still own 26%. The future is potentially interesting. Still. </li>
</ul>



Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP) had a giant oopsie in 2018-2021 where they lost ¥180bn over three years because of defective construction requiring repairs. 
Murakami and others got involved. Leopalace got financing from FIG (shares/SARs/loan), Murakami bailed. Eventually Hikari Tsushin got in. Leopalace got FIG out of their loan, doing a refi through Mizuho.
Cash was up, cashflow is strong. Business is changed/revived. Now Leopalace is buying back SARs it sold to FIG. FIG will still own 26%. The future is potentially interesting. Still. 


[Japan Buyback] Leopalace (8848 JP) - A Giant Buyback To Get Fortress Partially Out

<ul>
<li>Buybacks in Japan are becoming a much greater driver of shareholder return than in previous years. The total amount of buybacks announced just during the March-end earnings season cleared ¥7trln.</li>
<li>Quiddity has developed a buyback tool which tracks Japanese buybacks and the buyback history for any given company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isuzu-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14726:1" rel="noopener">Isuzu Motors (7202 JP)</a> announced a big post-Offering buyback this week.</li>
<li>Want to see how Isuzu has executed buybacks the past decade? Daily data? % volume? You can check here for any of the 21 companies which announced buybacks this week. </li>
</ul>


Buybacks in Japan are becoming a much greater driver of shareholder return than in previous years. The total amount of buybacks announced just during the March-end earnings season cleared ¥7trln.
Quiddity has developed a buyback tool which tracks Japanese buybacks and the buyback history for any given company. Isuzu Motors (7202 JP) announced a big post-Offering buyback this week.
Want to see how Isuzu has executed buybacks the past decade? Daily data? % volume? You can check here for any of the 21 companies which announced buybacks this week. 


[Japan Buybacks] - Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History

<ul>
<li>Several Japanese companies jumped onto the OBaaBM/TABaaBM (Own/Talk-About-Bitcoin-as-a-Business Model) last fall to this spring as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microstrategy-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14717:1" rel="noopener">Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US)</a> shares went up and bitcoin did too. </li>
<li>Yesterday, resin coating/injection molding product maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ikuyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6780:1" rel="noopener">Ikuyo Co Ltd (7273 JP)</a> announced an M&amp;A Policy, and a Shareholder Benefits Program where shareholders will "win" amounts of bitcoin by lottery.  </li>
<li>Ikuyo expects revenues +955% this year. Details are sparse. The shareholder structure has red flags. The CEO sold himself half the company in Feb for peanuts. Forewarned. But it's interesting.</li>
</ul>


Several Japanese companies jumped onto the OBaaBM/TABaaBM (Own/Talk-About-Bitcoin-as-a-Business Model) last fall to this spring as Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US) shares went up and bitcoin did too. 
Yesterday, resin coating/injection molding product maker Ikuyo Co Ltd (7273 JP) announced an M&amp;A Policy, and a Shareholder Benefits Program where shareholders will "win" amounts of bitcoin by lottery.  
Ikuyo expects revenues +955% this year. Details are sparse. The shareholder structure has red flags. The CEO sold himself half the company in Feb for peanuts. Forewarned. But it's interesting.


[Japan LolWut?] Ikuyo (7273) Says "Iku Yo!" - Bitcoin, M&A, Weirdness, More

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>The value realisation of selling cross-holdings should not be contingent on selling your shares to someone else too cheaply but that is exactly what Toyota is proposing here.</li>
<li>OCBC is doing the right thing. Although a 17.8% bump in terms for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>'s minorities is probably not enough to dislodge Palliser.</li>
<li>Cosette has lodged a termination notice, which <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a> rejects. It's anyone's guess whether this saga concludes with a price cut; or Cosette walking.</li>
</ul>


The value realisation of selling cross-holdings should not be contingent on selling your shares to someone else too cheaply but that is exactly what Toyota is proposing here.
OCBC is doing the right thing. Although a 17.8% bump in terms for Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)'s minorities is probably not enough to dislodge Palliser.
Cosette has lodged a termination notice, which Mayne Pharma (MYX AU) rejects. It's anyone's guess whether this saga concludes with a price cut; or Cosette walking.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota Indust. Great Eastern, Mayne Pharma, Shibaura Elect., New World

<ul>
<li>Yesterday after the close, well-known Japanese activist Murakami-san's preferred entity City Index Eleventh filed a Large Shareholder Report. </li>
<li>The blast across Bloomberg was "*AOZORA 5.4% STAKE REPORTED BY CITY INDEX ELEVENTH." Sounds exciting after the shares dropped 34% in two days earlier this month after reporting big writedowns. </li>
<li>But there has to be a question here. Why? And Why this way? And what kind of activism would be possible? </li>
</ul>


Yesterday after the close, well-known Japanese activist Murakami-san's preferred entity City Index Eleventh filed a Large Shareholder Report. 
The blast across Bloomberg was "*AOZORA 5.4% STAKE REPORTED BY CITY INDEX ELEVENTH." Sounds exciting after the shares dropped 34% in two days earlier this month after reporting big writedowns. 
But there has to be a question here. Why? And Why this way? And what kind of activism would be possible? 


JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Is Murakami-San Going To Do A PacMetals Rug Pull on Aozora? Or Is This For Real?

Japan

Leopalace21 Corp constructs, sells, leases, and manages apartments. The Company also  operates hotels and resort business, broadband communication business and elderly care business.

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Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP)

[Japan Buyback] Leopalace (8848 JP) - A Giant Buyback To Get Fortress Partially Out

Leopalace21 sold shares and SARs to FIG in 2020. FIG is getting out of the SARs and the Leopalace buying back the dilution overhang. FCF is still...

Travis Lundy

[Japan Buybacks] - Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History

Testing out a new tool for buyback data. This time, a recap of the week's announced buybacks (¥254bn, 21 cos) in Japan, along with 10yr historical...

Travis Lundy

[Japan LolWut?] Ikuyo (7273) Says "Iku Yo!" - Bitcoin, M&A, Weirdness, More

Ikuyo (7273) rallied after I wrote, briefly reaching ¥1,000+ but last Friday the stock fell very sharply when it they announced that the seller of...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toyota Indust. Great Eastern, Mayne Pharma, Shibaura Elect., New World

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Is Murakami-San Going To Do A PacMetals Rug Pull on Aozora? Or Is This For Real?

Murakami-san's daughter bought 5.4% of Aozora Bank. It could be activism or it could be another pump'n'dump like Pacific Metals. It is tough to...

Travis Lundy

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