Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?</li>
<li>China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;</li>
<li>MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.</li>
</ul>


The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?
China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;
MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li><p>A growing number of Chinese manufacturers have set up factories in Southeast Asia, hoping to use the region to bypass U.S. import controls as the Trump administration plans to slap additional tariffs on Chinese goods.</p></li><li><p>Whether this approach will work, however, remains to be seen as Washington may tighten its scrutiny over Chinese companies registered overseas.</p></li><li><p>In 2024, the industrial parks that Amata Corp. PCL operates in Southeast Asia attracted nearly 90 foreign-funded factories, 75% of which were from China, Amata Chairman Vikrom Kromadit said in a recent interview with Caixin.</p><div id="ad_1"></div></li></ul>

A growing number of Chinese manufacturers have set up factories in Southeast Asia, hoping to use the region to bypass U.S. import controls as the Trump administration plans to slap additional tariffs on Chinese goods.Whether this approach will work, however, remains to be seen as Washington may tighten its scrutiny over Chinese companies registered overseas.In 2024, the industrial parks that Amata Corp. PCL operates in Southeast Asia attracted nearly 90 foreign-funded factories, 75% of which were from China, Amata Chairman Vikrom Kromadit said in a recent interview with Caixin.

Looking to Dodge U.S. Tariffs, Chinese Manufacturers Set Up Shop in Southeast Asia  

<ul>
<li>Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. </li>
<li>LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;</li>
<li>MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. </li>
</ul>


Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. 
LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;
MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China</li><li>Corruption /: New probe into former Hubei leader brought down by Covid pandemic</li><li>Trade /: Washington wants to seal new trade deal with Beijing, ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary says</li></ul>

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of ChinaCorruption /: New probe into former Hubei leader brought down by Covid pandemicTrade /: Washington wants to seal new trade deal with Beijing, ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary says

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China 

<ul>
<li>A translated article shows why Chinese are refrained from buying new homes but not so on buying existing homes. The Chinese <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1pMRYOjIIzxxU1G_J90dNvf_zUKNuU_LYOhnWrtM5O5I/edit?tab=t.0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a> is here. <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/13W_8_9qyOHx2RIOYF2rGKEyHmPDO9eO5-nE8Pa5IADk/edit?tab=t.0" target="_blank" rel="noopener">English</a> here by Qwen;</li>
<li>XPeng, Xiaomi, Zeekr and BYD recovered above the line post CNY in EV delivery, LI, Tesla, LEAP and Luxeed in line, AITO, Deepal and NIO are below the line;</li>
<li>CATL's JV with Didi is a serious threat to NIO.</li>
</ul>


A translated article shows why Chinese are refrained from buying new homes but not so on buying existing homes. The Chinese link is here. English here by Qwen;
XPeng, Xiaomi, Zeekr and BYD recovered above the line post CNY in EV delivery, LI, Tesla, LEAP and Luxeed in line, AITO, Deepal and NIO are below the line;
CATL's JV with Didi is a serious threat to NIO.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 8/52] Existing Home Recovers First Post CNY

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Looking to Dodge U.S. Tariffs, Chinese Manufacturers Set Up Shop in Southeast Asia

A growing number of Chinese manufacturers have set up factories in Southeast Asia, hoping to use the region to bypass U. S. import controls as the...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China When police in East China’s Shandong...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 8/52] Existing Home Recovers First Post CNY

Chinese prefer buying existing homes over new ones, XPeng, Xiaomi, Zeekr, and BYD lead in EV delivery post CNY, CATL's JV with Didi poses a threat...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

​China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Looking to Dodge U.S. Tariffs, Chinese Manufacturers Set Up Shop in Southeast Asia

A growing number of Chinese manufacturers have set up factories in Southeast Asia, hoping to use the region to bypass U. S. import controls as the...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

​Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: How Cryptocurrency Gets Used to Move Billions of Yuan in and out of China

Cryptocurrencies / In Depth: How cryptocurrency gets used to move billions of yuan in and out of China When police in East China’s Shandong...

Caixin Global

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 8/52] Existing Home Recovers First Post CNY

​Chinese prefer buying existing homes over new ones, XPeng, Xiaomi, Zeekr, and BYD lead in EV delivery post CNY, CATL's JV with Didi poses a threat...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Chinese prefer buying existing homes over new ones, XPeng, Xiaomi, Zeekr, and BYD lead in EV delivery post CNY, CATL's JV with Didi poses a threat...