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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Jobs /In Depth: Cost-cutting freezes over-35s out of China's job market</li><li>Obituary /: Cho-yun Hsu, influential historian of ancient China, dies at 95</li><li>Services /Chart of the Day: China’s first-half services trade hits 10-year high</li></ul>

Jobs /In Depth: Cost-cutting freezes over-35s out of China's job marketObituary /: Cho-yun Hsu, influential historian of ancient China, dies at 95Services /Chart of the Day: China’s first-half services trade hits 10-year high

CX Daily: Cost-Cutting Freezes Over 35s Out of China's Job Market 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.</li><li>Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.</li><li>Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Government's consumption boost should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


The "Buy the worst" basket has outperformed the HSI by a massive 16.7pp YTD, mainly boosted by Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). 
The best-performing constituents in 2024, however, lagged behind the HSI, dragged down by Trip.com Group (9961 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK). 
Government's consumption boost should benefit Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) in 2H25.


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)</li>
<li>1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)</li>
<li>New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)
1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)
New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

<ul>
<li>Macro: Central Government Focuses on Improving People's Livelihoods to Stimulate Consumption, But Short-term Impact Unlikely(+)</li>
<li>Macro: Our Take on the Chinese Government Housing Provident Fund 2024 Annual Report(/)</li>
<li>1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK: 2025 June 2 – June 8 NEV Delivery Rankings(/)</li>
</ul>


Macro: Central Government Focuses on Improving People's Livelihoods to Stimulate Consumption, But Short-term Impact Unlikely(+)
Macro: Our Take on the Chinese Government Housing Provident Fund 2024 Annual Report(/)
1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK: 2025 June 2 – June 8 NEV Delivery Rankings(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/CHA US/2589 HK/2555 HK/Macro

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

CX Daily: Cost-Cutting Freezes Over 35s Out of China's Job Market

TOP STORIES Jobs / In Depth: Cost-cutting freezes over-35s out of China's job market In March, Xu Yang lost her job after a decade working at the...

Caixin Global

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/CHA US/2589 HK/2555 HK/Macro

Central government focuses on improving livelihoods to boost consumption, but short-term impact unlikely. Our analysis of Chinese government...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

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CX Daily: Cost-Cutting Freezes Over 35s Out of China's Job Market

TOP STORIES Jobs / In Depth: Cost-cutting freezes over-35s out of China's job market In March, Xu Yang lost her job after a decade working at the...

Caixin Global

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

​The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

​BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/CHA US/2589 HK/2555 HK/Macro

​Central government focuses on improving livelihoods to boost consumption, but short-term impact unlikely. Our analysis of Chinese government...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The "Buy the worst" basket outperformed the HSI by 16.7pp YTD, boosted by Chow Tai Fook and Wuxi Biologics, while top performers in 2024 lagged,...

BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...

Central government focuses on improving livelihoods to boost consumption, but short-term impact unlikely. Our analysis of Chinese government...