Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Macro Update: NDRC Reiterates Incremental Policies Are in Preparation (+)</li>
<li>LI US: Li Auto Announces Free Charging and Road Rescue Services for May Holiday(-)</li>
<li>MNSO US/601933 CH:Yonghui Superstores 1Q25 Revenue and Net Profit Decline 19% and 80% YoY(-/-)</li>
</ul>


Macro Update: NDRC Reiterates Incremental Policies Are in Preparation (+)
LI US: Li Auto Announces Free Charging and Road Rescue Services for May Holiday(-)
MNSO US/601933 CH:Yonghui Superstores 1Q25 Revenue and Net Profit Decline 19% and 80% YoY(-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/MNSO US/601933 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/Macro Update

<ul>
<li>XPEV US: 2025 X9 Achieves 7,500 Orders in 7 Days Post-Launch (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK: YU7 to Launch as Scheduled in June-July 2025(+)</li>
<li>Macro: Shanghai slightly enhances support measures for catering businesses (/)</li>
</ul>


XPEV US: 2025 X9 Achieves 7,500 Orders in 7 Days Post-Launch (+)
1810 HK: YU7 to Launch as Scheduled in June-July 2025(+)
Macro: Shanghai slightly enhances support measures for catering businesses (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.</li><li>Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In this report, we summarize the Mar 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers.Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed by 0.1ppts MoM in Mar 2025, based on our calculations, thanks to the narrowing discounts from some German brands (VW, Audi). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

<ul>
<li>China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;</li>
<li>Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;</li>
<li>China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. </li>
</ul>


China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;
Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;
China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

<ul>
<li>The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; </li>
<li>Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; </li>
<li>BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.</li>
</ul>


The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; 
Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; 
BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/MNSO US/601933 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/Macro Update

NDRC is preparing incremental policies, Li Auto offers free services for May holiday, Yonghui Superstores sees decline in revenue and profit.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/MNSO US/601933 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/Macro Update

​NDRC is preparing incremental policies, Li Auto offers free services for May holiday, Yonghui Superstores sees decline in revenue and profit.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/NIO US/Macro

​XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - 1Q25 Sales Volume, Discounts May Lead to Larger Earnings Divergence

Note that Mar discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2025 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

​China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

​Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NDRC is preparing incremental policies, Li Auto offers free services for May holiday, Yonghui Superstores sees decline in revenue and profit.

XPEV's X9 receives 7,500 orders in 7 days post-launch, YU7 set to launch in June-July 2025, Shanghai boosts support for catering businesses.

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.