Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,386 points (10-day EMA)/1,379 points and the resistance at 1,396 points (50-day EMA)/1,400 points.</li><li>Most Asian stock markets remain closed today for the Chinese New Year holiday.</li><li>US inflation is a key variable used to determine the direction of the Fed's policy interest rate, which is at risk of not being cut as soon as the market expects.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,386 points (10-day EMA)/1,379 points and the resistance at 1,396 points (50-day EMA)/1,400 points.Most Asian stock markets remain closed today for the Chinese New Year holiday.US inflation is a key variable used to determine the direction of the Fed's policy interest rate, which is at risk of not being cut as soon as the market expects.

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Earnings Season Thus Far- Meanwhile Mixed Economic Messages Earnings season picks up this week with the technology heavyweights like Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are all set to report their results.</li><li>During the upcoming week, 180 S&amp;P 500 companies (including 14 Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results for the first quarter.</li><li>Overall, 18% of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 have reported actual results for Q1 2023 to date.</li></ul>

Earnings Season Thus Far- Meanwhile Mixed Economic Messages Earnings season picks up this week with the technology heavyweights like Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are all set to report their results.During the upcoming week, 180 S&amp;P 500 companies (including 14 Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results for the first quarter.Overall, 18% of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 have reported actual results for Q1 2023 to date.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>With re-opening of borders, China's tourism and hospitality industry should see encouraging earnings outlook over the next two years; and we are now only in the early stage of recovery.  </li>
<li>Online travel agencies and hotel and resorts operators including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-elong-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huazhu-group-ltd-79e0c5b5-ad55-42ed-b8d2-a2173defd0ea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33487:1" rel="noopener">H World Group (1179 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> are well positioned.</li>
<li>These companies all have sound business model, industry leadership position, solid competitive strengths, comprehensive customer coverage and, for some, meaningful global presence in their respective sub-sectors. </li>
</ul>


With re-opening of borders, China's tourism and hospitality industry should see encouraging earnings outlook over the next two years; and we are now only in the early stage of recovery.  
Online travel agencies and hotel and resorts operators including Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK), H World Group (1179 HK), Trip.com (9961 HK) and Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) are well positioned.
These companies all have sound business model, industry leadership position, solid competitive strengths, comprehensive customer coverage and, for some, meaningful global presence in their respective sub-sectors. 


China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: A Year of Revenge

<ul><li>Stickier For Longer? Inflation continues to be top of mind for the Federal Reserve and investors as recent economic data continues to throw a wrench in the market’s previously perceived Fed plans for them to pause and then cut interest rates in the back half of 2023.</li><li>The Fed has hiked interest rates from almost zero to nearly 5% within the past year in response to inflation running at historic highs, and it expects to lift them even higher in the coming months.</li><li>Meanwhile, Fed speakers continue to move the terminal rate goalposts by signaling 5.5% or thereabouts terminal rates will cause the “immaculate disinflation” as if this magical fed funds interest rate level and only at this level will inflation continue to moderate downward.</li></ul>

Stickier For Longer? Inflation continues to be top of mind for the Federal Reserve and investors as recent economic data continues to throw a wrench in the market’s previously perceived Fed plans for them to pause and then cut interest rates in the back half of 2023.The Fed has hiked interest rates from almost zero to nearly 5% within the past year in response to inflation running at historic highs, and it expects to lift them even higher in the coming months.Meanwhile, Fed speakers continue to move the terminal rate goalposts by signaling 5.5% or thereabouts terminal rates will cause the “immaculate disinflation” as if this magical fed funds interest rate level and only at this level will inflation continue to moderate downward.

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trip.com paid out US$770M in fines, illegal profits, and deposits to resolve investigation</li>
<li>The penalty is equivalent to ~9% of 2025 Net Revenue -- larger than Alibaba's 2021 case (4%)</li>
<li>In this insight we look at <em>why</em> the company engaged in anti-competitive practices</li>
</ul>


Trip.com paid out US$770M in fines, illegal profits, and deposits to resolve investigation
The penalty is equivalent to ~9% of 2025 Net Revenue -- larger than Alibaba's 2021 case (4%)
In this insight we look at why the company engaged in anti-competitive practices


Trip.com Pays US$770M in Fines, Illegal Profits, Deposits To Resolve Investigation into Abuses

United States

Marriott International Inc. is a worldwide operator and franchisor of hotels. The Company franchises lodging facilities and vacation timesharing resorts under various brand names. Marriott also provides services to home and condominium owner associations for projects associated with several of its brands.

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Marriott International (MAR US)

Wait for US Inflation Figure

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,386 points (10-day EMA)/1,379 points and the resistance at 1,396...

Krungthai XSpring

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 4/24

During the upcoming week, 180 S&P 500 companies (including 14 Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results for the first quarter.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: A Year of Revenge

We are only in early stage of China's tourism and hospitality recovery, after its re-opening of borders in Jan. We identify Tongcheng, H World,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/20

The Fed has hiked interest rates from almost zero to nearly 5% within the past year in response to inflation running at historic highs

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Trip.com Pays US$770M in Fines, Illegal Profits, Deposits To Resolve Investigation into Abuses

Last week Trip.com announced the resolution of an investigation into anti-competitive practices in China's domestic hotel segment. This is the...

Tracking Traffic

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