Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since unwinding the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> circularity, Prosus has been selling Tencent shares, and buying back its share. Separately, Tencent is buying its shares to offset Prosus' selling. </li>
<li>Prosus' stake in Tencent has now edged below 23%, a little over seven months since dipping below 24%.</li>
<li>On an implied stub and relative value, Prosus is elevated to Tencent, suggesting an unwinding of the stub.</li>
</ul>


Since unwinding the Naspers (NPN SJ)/Prosus (PRX NA) circularity, Prosus has been selling Tencent shares, and buying back its share. Separately, Tencent is buying its shares to offset Prosus' selling. 
Prosus' stake in Tencent has now edged below 23%, a little over seven months since dipping below 24%.
On an implied stub and relative value, Prosus is elevated to Tencent, suggesting an unwinding of the stub.


Prosus Is Elevated Vs. Tencent As The Accretion Trade Unfolds

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since inception on May 15, our Model Portfolio (up 6.2%) underperformed the MSCI Asia-ex-Japan index (up 7.87%) due to underperforming stock picks in India, ASEAN and China consumer proxies.</li>
<li>The main themes: China's changing consumption and investment patterns, Korea's improving corporate governance, continuing global infrastructure investments and India's earnings disappointment. Korea, HK/China remain overweight; India is downgraded to Neutral.</li>
<li>We exclude Meituan, Titan, Infosys, Bharat Dynamics, Krafton. We include Laopu Gold, Lonking Holdings, China Hongqiao, AIA and Hyundai Engineering and Construction. We are now Neutral Industrials and Underweight Technology.</li>
</ul>


Since inception on May 15, our Model Portfolio (up 6.2%) underperformed the MSCI Asia-ex-Japan index (up 7.87%) due to underperforming stock picks in India, ASEAN and China consumer proxies.
The main themes: China's changing consumption and investment patterns, Korea's improving corporate governance, continuing global infrastructure investments and India's earnings disappointment. Korea, HK/China remain overweight; India is downgraded to Neutral.
We exclude Meituan, Titan, Infosys, Bharat Dynamics, Krafton. We include Laopu Gold, Lonking Holdings, China Hongqiao, AIA and Hyundai Engineering and Construction. We are now Neutral Industrials and Underweight Technology.


Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Best in months. Net buying strong at +US$800mm a day. </li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, Non-bank FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Tech-y CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY was sold. SOEs stand out on the sell side. Again. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Best in months. Net buying strong at +US$800mm a day. 
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, Non-bank FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Tech-y CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY was sold. SOEs stand out on the sell side. Again. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 July 2025); Multi-Month High Volumes, Net Buying of Financials

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we had a look at a number of deals that are in the pipeline.</li>
<li>On the placements front, it was a relatively quiet week with a few primary raisings.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we had a look at a number of deals that are in the pipeline.
On the placements front, it was a relatively quiet week with a few primary raisings.


ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 18th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma, Galaxy Ent, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 18th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma, Galaxy Ent, ABC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma, Galaxy Ent, ABC

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Prosus Is Elevated Vs. Tencent As The Accretion Trade Unfolds

Reportedly Prosus has sold ~15mn shares in Meituan, worth ~US$250mn. Prior to the alleged sale, Prosus held ~257mn Meituan shares, ~4.2% of shares...

David Blennerhassett

Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 July 2025); Multi-Month High Volumes, Net Buying of Financials

The top week for SOUTHBOUND trading value in many months, and a decent week on a net basis. FINANCIALS remain very well bid but in terms of impact...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma, Galaxy Ent, ABC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 18th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Prosus Is Elevated Vs. Tencent As The Accretion Trade Unfolds

Reportedly Prosus has sold ~15mn shares in Meituan, worth ~US$250mn. Prior to the alleged sale, Prosus held ~257mn Meituan shares, ~4.2% of shares...

David Blennerhassett

Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

​Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 July 2025); Multi-Month High Volumes, Net Buying of Financials

The top week for SOUTHBOUND trading value in many months, and a decent week on a net basis. FINANCIALS remain very well bid but in terms of impact...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma, Galaxy Ent, ABC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 18th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...