US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is forecasted to be added to Global All-World at the September 2025 review with a low free float prior to the IPO lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is expected to undergo a significant upweight at the December 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> is forecasted to be added to Global Standard at the May <em>2026</em> review following the 12-month lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group (2097 HK) is forecasted to be added to Global All-World at the September 2025 review with a low free float prior to the IPO lock-up expiry.

Mixue Group (2097 HK) is expected to undergo a significant upweight at the December 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.

Mixue Group (2097 HK) is forecasted to be added to Global Standard at the May 2026 review following the 12-month lock-up expiry.


MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma</li>
<li>In this cut, we look through the <em>bubble </em>in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut, a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,200+ insights published over the past two weeks on Smartkarma
In this cut, we look through the bubble in Chinese tea company listings, the recent entertainment provided by Japanese M&amp;A situations and the varied ways analysts look at TSMC on Smartkarma
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you think should be highlighted next time


Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025.</li>
<li>We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas market.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 47% and a price target HK$500 for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025.
We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas market.
We set an upside of 47% and a price target HK$500 for the next twelve months.


Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire today.</li>
<li>MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire today.
MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: MIXUE IPO Lockup - US$1.8bn Pre-IPO Shareholder Release

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a>'s  expiry of one-year lock-ups covering pre-IPO shareholders  will materially increase the tradable float and likely near-term liquidity.</li>
<li>The recent 18% share price decline possibly reflects investor concern that early shareholders, sitting on substantial gains, may monetise holdings, creating technical supply pressure.</li>
<li>The forthcoming FY2025 results announcement (end March)  can be critical in resetting earnings visibility and forward guidance. Stock trading at lower end of peer valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group (2097 HK)'s  expiry of one-year lock-ups covering pre-IPO shareholders  will materially increase the tradable float and likely near-term liquidity.
The recent 18% share price decline possibly reflects investor concern that early shareholders, sitting on substantial gains, may monetise holdings, creating technical supply pressure.
The forthcoming FY2025 results announcement (end March)  can be critical in resetting earnings visibility and forward guidance. Stock trading at lower end of peer valuation range.


Mixue Group: Lock-Up Expiry. Stock Slides 18% in a Month. Likely Limited Downside

China

MIXUE Group is a leading company specializing in the development, production, and franchise operation of freshly-made ice cream and tea beverages, including fruit drinks and coffee, under its Mixue and Lucky Cup brands. The company also supplies ingredients, packaging materials, and equipment to its extensive franchisee network. MIXUE Group was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

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MIXUE (2097 HK)

MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

MIXUE went public on 3 Mar 2025 and was added to Global All-World at the Mar26 review following its 6-month lock-up expiry which increased free...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025. We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas...

Ming Lu

Aequitas: MIXUE IPO Lockup - US$1.8bn Pre-IPO Shareholder Release

Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire...

Sumeet Singh

Mixue Group: Lock-Up Expiry. Stock Slides 18% in a Month. Likely Limited Downside

Trading near the low end of valuation multiples, amid likely concerns over post lock-up expiry stake sale - limited downside risk. Upcoming FY2025...

Devi Subhakesan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MIXUE (2097 HK): Chill but Powerful Global Index Inclusion

MIXUE went public on 3 Mar 2025 and was added to Global All-World at the Mar26 review following its 6-month lock-up expiry which increased free...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Curator's Cut: "Bubble" Tea, Japan M&A 🍿& TSMC from Different Lenses

​Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!

Pranav Rao

Mixue (2097 HK): 2025, Store Number and Revenue Accelerating, New CEO for Overseas Market

Both the revenue growth rate and the store number growth rate accelerated in 2025. We believe the new CEO was appointed to explore the overseas...

Ming Lu

Aequitas: MIXUE IPO Lockup - US$1.8bn Pre-IPO Shareholder Release

Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire...

Sumeet Singh

Mixue Group: Lock-Up Expiry. Stock Slides 18% in a Month. Likely Limited Downside

Trading near the low end of valuation multiples, amid likely concerns over post lock-up expiry stake sale - limited downside risk. Upcoming FY2025...

Devi Subhakesan

Introducing the Curator's Cut fortnightly newsletter, featuring interesting themes from the Smartkarma network. Share your thoughts!