HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's tea sector has attracted increased interest, but the share prices are volatile. Overall valuations do not look cheap, and the key is stock picking.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auntea-jenny-shanghai-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40891:1" rel="noopener">Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK)</a> nd <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a> are expensive on both PEG and P/B vs. ROE perspectives.</li>
<li>In two years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chagee-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45011:1" rel="noopener">Chagee Holdings (CHA US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a> will turn even cheaper.</li>
</ul>


China's tea sector has attracted increased interest, but the share prices are volatile. Overall valuations do not look cheap, and the key is stock picking.

Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial (2589 HK) nd Mixue Group (2097 HK) are expensive on both PEG and P/B vs. ROE perspectives.
In two years, Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK), Chagee Holdings (CHA US), and Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK) will turn even cheaper.


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China-U.S. /: Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautious</li><li>Whales /In Depth: The precarious fate of China’s only nearshore whales</li><li>Covid-19 /: New Covid wave in Hong Kong is causing severe infections in children</li></ul>

China-U.S. /: Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautiousWhales /In Depth: The precarious fate of China’s only nearshore whalesCovid-19 /: New Covid wave in Hong Kong is causing severe infections in children

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Move Quickly After Tariff Rollback, but Remain Cautious 

<ul>
<li>Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.</li>
<li>Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.</li>
<li>These stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinhua-winshare-publishing-media-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15072:1" rel="noopener">Xinhua Winshare (811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lonking-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3944:1" rel="noopener">Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kunlun-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10054:1" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.
Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.
These stocks are Xinhua Winshare (811 HK), Lonking Holdings (3339 HK), Kunlun Energy (135 HK), Mixue Group (2097 HK), and China East Education (667 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. </li>
<li>LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;</li>
<li>MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. </li>
</ul>


Following existing home last week, new home sales also posted positive YoY growth. 
LI is getting ready for its major battle of the year with BEV launch. It is focused, but we doubt it is enough;
MNSO guided down its C4Q24 and we believe it will miss 2025 as well. Offline grocery is under constant assault by O2O and online e-commerce. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

<ul><li>Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost </li><li>E-commerce /In Depth: Trump ends an era for Shein and Temu</li><li>Alibaba /: Alibaba’s $53 billion bet on an AI and cloud expansion windfall</li></ul>

Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost E-commerce /In Depth: Trump ends an era for Shein and TemuAlibaba /: Alibaba’s $53 billion bet on an AI and cloud expansion windfall

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost 

China

MIXUE Group is a leading company specializing in the development, production, and franchise operation of freshly-made ice cream and tea beverages, including fruit drinks and coffee, under its Mixue and Lucky Cup brands. The company also supplies ingredients, packaging materials, and equipment to its extensive franchisee network. MIXUE Group was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.

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MIXUE (2097 HK)

China Tea Sector: What to Buy and Sell?

China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Move Quickly After Tariff Rollback, but Remain Cautious

TOP STORIES China-U. S. / Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautious Chinese exporters are cautiously resuming...

Caixin Global

China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

The stocks with a domestic focus, cash position, secure demand, consumption benefits, and high dividends are more insulated: Xinhua Winshare,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost

TOP STORIES Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost The biggest highlight of the recent Lunar New Year...

Caixin Global

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China Tea Sector: What to Buy and Sell?

​China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CX Daily: Chinese Exporters Move Quickly After Tariff Rollback, but Remain Cautious

TOP STORIES China-U. S. / Chinese exporters move quickly after tariff rollback, but remain cautious Chinese exporters are cautiously resuming...

Caixin Global

China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

The stocks with a domestic focus, cash position, secure demand, consumption benefits, and high dividends are more insulated: Xinhua Winshare,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 9/52] New Home Sales Also Turned Positive YoY

​Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Holiday Spending Gives Chinese Consumption a Needed Boost

TOP STORIES Consumption / In Depth: Holiday spending gives Chinese consumption a needed boost The biggest highlight of the recent Lunar New Year...

Caixin Global

China's tea sector is attracting interest, but stock picking is key. Auntea Jenny and Mixue Group are expensive, while Chabaidao, Chagee, and...

Latest week saw positive YoY growth in new home sales, LI prepares for major battle with BEV launch, MNSO guidance down for C4Q24 and likely to...