Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianyou-metals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44886:1" rel="noopener">Lianyou Metals (7610 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanxiang-advanced-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30188:1" rel="noopener">Sanxiang Advanced Material-A (603663 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elevra-lithium-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Elevra Lithium (ELVR US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> in June.</li>
<li>The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 9.6% and in a round-trip trade of US$840m.</li>
<li>All the adds have moved higher with huge price spikes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianyou-metals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44886:1" rel="noopener">Lianyou Metals (7610 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanxiang-advanced-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30188:1" rel="noopener">Sanxiang Advanced Material-A (603663 CH)</a> recently.</li>
</ul>



Lianyou Metals (7610 TT), Sanxiang Advanced Material-A (603663 CH) and Elevra Lithium (ELVR US) will be added to the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) in June.
The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 9.6% and in a round-trip trade of US$840m.
All the adds have moved higher with huge price spikes in Lianyou Metals (7610 TT) and Sanxiang Advanced Material-A (603663 CH) recently.


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$840m Trade

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Australian Strategic Materials / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-fuels-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12230:1" rel="noopener">Energy Fuels (UUUU US)</a>’ offer (A$0.13 cash and 0.053 UUUU shares per ASM share) fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>FIRB approval was received on 23 April. The key condition is ASM shareholder approval: approval by more than 75% of votes cast and by more than 50% of shareholders.</li>
<li>Helped by the large takeover premium, the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 7 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.7%/20.0%.</li>
</ul>


The Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) IE considers Energy Fuels (UUUU US)’ offer (A$0.13 cash and 0.053 UUUU shares per ASM share) fair and reasonable.
FIRB approval was received on 23 April. The key condition is ASM shareholder approval: approval by more than 75% of votes cast and by more than 50% of shareholders.
Helped by the large takeover premium, the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 7 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.7%/20.0%.


Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Scheme Vote on 22 June

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Astra International, Aneka Tambang, Bank Mandiri, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock, Indah Kiat Pulp &amp; Paper, Barito Pacific, APA Corporation Common Stock, Telkom Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Indonesia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Astra International, Aneka Tambang, Bank Mandiri, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock, Indah Kiat Pulp &amp; Paper, Barito Pacific, APA Corporation Common Stock, Telkom Indonesia.


MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (Mar): Astra International, Aneka Tambang, Bank Mandiri

Jiaxin International Resources Investment / Index Rebalance

Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK)

Jiaxin International Resources Investment

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiaxin-international-resources-investment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45065:1" rel="noopener">Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-states-antimony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38018:1" rel="noopener">United States Antimony (UAMY US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> in March.</li>
<li>The constituent changes, listing switches, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 13.4% and in a round-trip trade of US$1.07bn.</li>
<li>AUM linked to the index continues to rise as both ETFs continue to take in assets. That increases the flow and impact on the index constituents.</li>
</ul>



Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK) and United States Antimony (UAMY US) will be added to the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) in March.
The constituent changes, listing switches, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 13.4% and in a round-trip trade of US$1.07bn.
AUM linked to the index continues to rise as both ETFs continue to take in assets. That increases the flow and impact on the index constituents.


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 2 Adds & Other Changes; US$1.1bn Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/almonty-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23864:1" rel="noopener">Almonty Industries (AII CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38824:1" rel="noopener">Standard Lithium (SLI US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hubei-zhenhua-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30013:1" rel="noopener">Hubei Zhenhua Chemical Co Ltd (603067 CH)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 18.2% and in a round-trip trade of US$550m.</li>
<li>There have been large creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> as strategic metals and rare earths stocks have surged in price over the last few months.</li>
</ul>



Almonty Industries (AII CN), Standard Lithium (SLI US) and Hubei Zhenhua Chemical Co Ltd (603067 CH) will be added to the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) in December.
The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 18.2% and in a round-trip trade of US$550m.
There have been large creations in VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) as strategic metals and rare earths stocks have surged in price over the last few months.


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

United States

MP Materials Corp. produces and markets rare earth specialty materials. The Company is building a fully-integrated supply chain for high strength permanent magnets for the electrification and sustainability industries.

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MP Materials Corp (MP US)

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$840m Trade

There are 3 adds for REMX in June. The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 9.6% and...

Brian Freitas

Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Scheme Vote on 22 June

Helped by the large takeover premium, the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 7 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.7%...

Arun George

MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (Mar): Astra International, Aneka Tambang, Bank Mandiri

We analyzed MS-Indonesia's consensus for Mar 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Astra International (ASII IJ), Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ), Bank...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 2 Adds & Other Changes; US$1.1bn Trade

There are 2 adds and 1 listing switch for the REMX in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 13.4% and the round-trip trade is US$1.07bn. There have...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

There are 3 adds for the REMX in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 18.2% and round-trip trade is US$550m. There have been big creations in REMX...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$840m Trade

There are 3 adds for REMX in June. The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 9.6% and...

Brian Freitas

Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Scheme Vote on 22 June

Helped by the large takeover premium, the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 7 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.7%...

Arun George

MS-Indonesia Index Earning Revision (Mar): Astra International, Aneka Tambang, Bank Mandiri

We analyzed MS-Indonesia's consensus for Mar 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Astra International (ASII IJ), Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ), Bank...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 2 Adds & Other Changes; US$1.1bn Trade

There are 2 adds and 1 listing switch for the REMX in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 13.4% and the round-trip trade is US$1.07bn. There have...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

There are 3 adds for the REMX in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 18.2% and round-trip trade is US$550m. There have been big creations in REMX...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$840m Trade

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 2 Adds & Other Changes; US$1.1bn Trade

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade