Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.</li><li>M&amp;A activity also helped biotech, with NVS acquiring RLGS at a 108% premium and MKKGY buying SWTX after months of speculation.</li><li>Sentiment remained cautious among industry leaders, with another potential sign of regulatory disruption as the FDA missed Stealth’s (private) PDUFA date.</li></ul>

Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.M&amp;A activity also helped biotech, with NVS acquiring RLGS at a 108% premium and MKKGY buying SWTX after months of speculation.Sentiment remained cautious among industry leaders, with another potential sign of regulatory disruption as the FDA missed Stealth’s (private) PDUFA date.

Biopharma Week in Review - Macro and M&A Boost Biotech; NVO Moves to Slow LLY Obesity Lead

<ul><li>Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought shelter in lower- <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">risk, higher-quality names. </span></li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Trump nominees, Martin Makary for </span>the FDA and Jay Bhattacharya for the NIH, appeared on course for Senate confirmations after relatively uncontentious hearings, but both provided little confidence that they would stop or reverse the draconian changes at these agencies.</li><li>NIH grant funding has not resumed despite a judge ruling against the cuts. RFK Jr. changed his stance on the measles outbreak, from not unusual to deeply concerned, as the second death occurred in an unvaccinated adult.</li></ul>

Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought shelter in lower- risk, higher-quality names. Trump nominees, Martin Makary for the FDA and Jay Bhattacharya for the NIH, appeared on course for Senate confirmations after relatively uncontentious hearings, but both provided little confidence that they would stop or reverse the draconian changes at these agencies.NIH grant funding has not resumed despite a judge ruling against the cuts. RFK Jr. changed his stance on the measles outbreak, from not unusual to deeply concerned, as the second death occurred in an unvaccinated adult.

Biopharma Week in Review - March 10, 2025

<ul><li>Vaccine makers (PFE, MRNA, BNTX, NVAX) had an up-and- down week, as the HHS postponed the CDC’s first scheduled ACIP (vaccine experts panel) meeting of the year.</li><li>Deeper concerns came with reports of RFK Jr.’s plans to overhaul the committee (Politico), possibly replacing members with vaccine skeptics.</li><li>Ending the group’s week was a new bat coronavirus identified in China with transmission potential to humans. </li></ul>

Vaccine makers (PFE, MRNA, BNTX, NVAX) had an up-and- down week, as the HHS postponed the CDC’s first scheduled ACIP (vaccine experts panel) meeting of the year.Deeper concerns came with reports of RFK Jr.’s plans to overhaul the committee (Politico), possibly replacing members with vaccine skeptics.Ending the group’s week was a new bat coronavirus identified in China with transmission potential to humans. 

Biopharma Week in Review - February 24, 2025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term outlook remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 remains above 5770-5850 and 5600-5670 (worst case), and we are buyers at these levels.</li>
<li>With that said, we see potential for near-term downside based on several developments discussed below.  It likely means at least another 2-4 weeks of consolidation</li>
<li>If SPX remains below 6100 and 6150 resistances, do not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670</li>
</ul>


Our long-term outlook remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 remains above 5770-5850 and 5600-5670 (worst case), and we are buyers at these levels.
With that said, we see potential for near-term downside based on several developments discussed below.  It likely means at least another 2-4 weeks of consolidation
If SPX remains below 6100 and 6150 resistances, do not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670


Near-Term Downside Likely Following False Breakouts; Targeting 5770-5850; Long-Term Still Bullish

<ul><li>Academia was troubled last week by Trump’s broad pause on external communications from federal health agencies, disrupting study sections (NIH), public health publications (CDC), and treatment guidelines (FDA).</li><li>The pause remains in effect until February 1, which happens to be after RFK Jr.’s confirmation hearings for HHS secretary on January 29 and 30.</li><li>In industry news, NVO saw some redemption with positive amycretin obesity data, with a positive read-through for ZLDPF</li></ul>

Academia was troubled last week by Trump’s broad pause on external communications from federal health agencies, disrupting study sections (NIH), public health publications (CDC), and treatment guidelines (FDA).The pause remains in effect until February 1, which happens to be after RFK Jr.’s confirmation hearings for HHS secretary on January 29 and 30.In industry news, NVO saw some redemption with positive amycretin obesity data, with a positive read-through for ZLDPF

Biopharma Week in Review - January 27, 2025

Denmark

Novo Nordisk A/S develops, produces, and markets pharmaceutical products. The Company focuses on diabetes care and offers insulin delivery systems and other diabetes products. Novo Nordisk also works in areas such as haemostatis management, growth disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The Company offers educational and training materials. Novo Nordisk markets worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Novo Nordisk (NVO US)

Biopharma Week in Review - Macro and M&A Boost Biotech; NVO Moves to Slow LLY Obesity Lead

Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - March 10, 2025

Market uncertainty and further disruptions at health agencies led to continued divergence between SMID-cap and large biopharma, as investors sought...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - February 24, 2025

Vaccine makers (PFE, MRNA, BNTX, NVAX) had an up-and- down week, as the HHS postponed the CDC’s first scheduled ACIP (vaccine experts panel)...

Water Tower Research

Near-Term Downside Likely Following False Breakouts; Targeting 5770-5850; Long-Term Still Bullish

Near-Term Downside Likely After False Breakouts $SPX $QQQ; Long-Term Still Bullish; Major Tops on $DXY, 10-Year Treasury Yield. If < 6100 and 6150...

Vermilion Research

Biopharma Week in Review - January 27, 2025

Academia was troubled last week by Trump’s broad pause on external communications from federal health agencies, disrupting study sections (NIH),...

Water Tower Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)