Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the second time in 3 weeks, 3D Investment Partners has launched, unannounced, a Partial Tender Offer for pure investment purposes, for a 10-15% stake in a REIT.</li>
<li>Last time it was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-ud-reit-investment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19428:1" rel="noopener">NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)</a>. This time it is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankyu-hanshin-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12654:1" rel="noopener">Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The trade last time was to sell NTT UD on the pop and replace with peers. That has worked. The trade is probably the same here. </li>
</ul>


For the second time in 3 weeks, 3D Investment Partners has launched, unannounced, a Partial Tender Offer for pure investment purposes, for a 10-15% stake in a REIT.
Last time it was NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP). This time it is Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP). 
The trade last time was to sell NTT UD on the pop and replace with peers. That has worked. The trade is probably the same here. 


3D Launches Partial Tender Offer on Hankyu Hanshin REIT (8977)

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>It was confirmed on Friday afternoon <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.</li>
<li>Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is now all-but complete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a> announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.</li>
</ul>


It was confirmed on Friday afternoon Fast Retailing (9983 JP) was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.
Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is now all-but complete.

Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP) announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Kenedix Residential Investment / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, small-cap JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> ("KDR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). </li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, small-cap JREIT Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) ("KDR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). 
Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.


Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP): Could Outperform Peers in the Next Few Weeks

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-building-fund-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1900:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)</a> announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.</li>
<li>That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. </li>
<li>A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.
That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. 
A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.


Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation / Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-investment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19428:1" rel="noopener">NTT UD REIT (8956 JP)</a> ("NUR") announced a follow-on equity offering after market close on 18th October 2021 to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 80,600 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 4,040 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥12bn (~US$105mn). 
On average,  J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%. While JREIT offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as potential catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a>.
Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of NUR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.

NTT UD REIT (8956 JP) ("NUR") announced a follow-on equity offering after market close on 18th October 2021 to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 80,600 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 4,040 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥12bn (~US$105mn). 
On average,  J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%. While JREIT offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as potential catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021.
Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of NUR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. 

NTT UD REIT (8956 JP): Offering Could Be Catalyst for Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Japan

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust with income producing properties primarily in the Tokyo area.  The Trust's properties include office buildings and apartment projects.

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)

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NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)

3D Launches Partial Tender Offer on Hankyu Hanshin REIT (8977)

3D Investment Partners has launched a second partial tender offer to buy a 10-15% stake in a J-REIT. Also "meh" in price terms. It's a good long...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP): Could Outperform Peers in the Next Few Weeks

Small-cap JREIT Kenedix Residential Investment announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Japan's oldest and largest REIT - announced a small secondary offering. That provides an occasion to look at J-REIT...

Travis Lundy

NTT UD REIT (8956 JP): Offering Could Be Catalyst for Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

NTT UD REIT announced a JPY12bn (US$105mn) follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recent property acquisition. This could act as a...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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