Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>. The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19521:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa (5715 JP)</a> has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.</li>
<li>While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International (200 HK)</a>'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP). The stock went limit up today. Again. The stock is now getting to the expensive side.

Furukawa (5715 JP) has changed their capital allocation policy for the third time. The company is a cyclical, and will likely always suffer the indignity of a cyclical multiple.
While it often pays to follows where the family invests when assessing holdco structures, Melco International (200 HK)'s NAV discount is simply too narrow for a simple holding company structure.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

<ul>
<li>I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>For the second time in 3 weeks, 3D Investment Partners has launched, unannounced, a Partial Tender Offer for pure investment purposes, for a 10-15% stake in a REIT.</li>
<li>Last time it was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-ud-reit-investment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19428:1" rel="noopener">NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)</a>. This time it is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankyu-hanshin-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12654:1" rel="noopener">Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>The trade last time was to sell NTT UD on the pop and replace with peers. That has worked. The trade is probably the same here. </li>
</ul>


For the second time in 3 weeks, 3D Investment Partners has launched, unannounced, a Partial Tender Offer for pure investment purposes, for a 10-15% stake in a REIT.
Last time it was NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP). This time it is Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP). 
The trade last time was to sell NTT UD on the pop and replace with peers. That has worked. The trade is probably the same here. 


3D Launches Partial Tender Offer on Hankyu Hanshin REIT (8977)

<ul>
<li>It was confirmed on Friday afternoon <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.</li>
<li>Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> is now all-but complete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a> announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.</li>
</ul>


It was confirmed on Friday afternoon Fast Retailing (9983 JP) was a single cap move, NOT a double-capping in a single Review. That limits the sell down.
Chemist Warehouse's reverse buyout of pharmacy wholesaler Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) is now all-but complete.

Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP) announced decent results, decently upgraded guidance in both IFRS/GAAP terms and in Core/Adjusted terms (less impressive uplift in Adjusted/Analysed terms). They also announced a ¥100bn buyback.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Kenedix Residential Investment / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, small-cap JREIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> ("KDR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). </li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, small-cap JREIT Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) ("KDR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 47,500 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,375 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥9.4bn (~US$82mn). 
Below is a closer look at the details of this offering and the potential of this offering to trigger strong secondary market performance in the following weeks.


Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP): Could Outperform Peers in the Next Few Weeks

Japan

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust with income producing properties primarily in the Tokyo area.  The Trust's properties include office buildings and apartment projects.

NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)

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NTT UD REIT Investment Corporation (8956 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Trend Micro, Furukawa, Melco, Ingenia/Lifestyle

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

3D Launches Partial Tender Offer on Hankyu Hanshin REIT (8977)

3D Investment Partners has launched a second partial tender offer to buy a 10-15% stake in a J-REIT. Also "meh" in price terms. It's a good long...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Fast Retailing, Sigma, Takeda Pharmaceutical, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP): Could Outperform Peers in the Next Few Weeks

Small-cap JREIT Kenedix Residential Investment announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently-announced property acquisition....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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