Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Capital Markets

San Francisco-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amplitude-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34148:1" rel="noopener">Amplitude (AMPL US)</a> , best-in-class product analytics and digital optimization technology unicorn, filed for a direct listing and expects their Class A common stock to begin trading on September 28, 2021. The company has registered up to ~35.4M shares to sell in the direct listing with the reference price to be announced. Amplitude plans to list their Class A shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “AMPL”. Direct listing means that there will be no book building process and none of the existing shareholders will be subject to 180-day contractual lock-up agreement. Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, KeyBanc Capital Markets, Baird, UBS and William Blair will serve as financial advisors.

San Francisco-based Amplitude (AMPL US) , best-in-class product analytics and digital optimization technology unicorn, filed for a direct listing and expects their Class A common stock to begin trading on September 28, 2021. The company has registered up to ~35.4M shares to sell in the direct listing with the reference price to be announced. Amplitude plans to list their Class A shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “AMPL”. Direct listing means that there will be no book building process and none of the existing shareholders will be subject to 180-day contractual lock-up agreement. Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, KeyBanc Capital Markets, Baird, UBS and William Blair will serve as financial advisors.

Founder-Led Unicorn And Leader In Product Analytics

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Softbank has boosted its Vision Fund 2 commitments to $40bn even as a series of recent investments have been concurrent with IPOs or just before. These are effectively investments in public equities, nominally what Northstar covers, but with some optionality on a valuation pop if demand is high although that has not happened so far. Confirmation today of a $1.7bn investment in Korean online travel firm Yanolja appears to be an extension of this trend. The series of late-stage investments also highlights a lack of activity at VF2’s collection of SPACs which were created with these kinds of targets in mind. China weakness appears to be settling but Softbank shares remain range-bound at a mid-40% discount to underlying public values.

Softbank has boosted its Vision Fund 2 commitments to $40bn even as a series of recent investments have been concurrent with IPOs or just before. These are effectively investments in public equities, nominally what Northstar covers, but with some optionality on a valuation pop if demand is high although that has not happened so far. Confirmation today of a $1.7bn investment in Korean online travel firm Yanolja appears to be an extension of this trend. The series of late-stage investments also highlights a lack of activity at VF2’s collection of SPACs which were created with these kinds of targets in mind. China weakness appears to be settling but Softbank shares remain range-bound at a mid-40% discount to underlying public values.

Softbank Group - Vision Fund 2’s Late-Private Investments Blur the Lines with Northstar

There has been an uptick in Softbank news this week as we enter the last stretch of the quarter. On one hand there has been good news as Vision Fund 2’s public portfolio expands, thanks to a successful listing for Zhangmen, two coincident IPO investments and an IPO filing for investee Dingdong Maicai. But the long-expected bankruptcy of Katerra also means another $2bn of Vision Fund value has been wiped off the board so what markets are hearing on Softbank remains decidedly mixed. We have updated our Softbank tables including public portfolio valuations, the holding company discount, and the IPO pipeline.

There has been an uptick in Softbank news this week as we enter the last stretch of the quarter. On one hand there has been good news as Vision Fund 2’s public portfolio expands, thanks to a successful listing for Zhangmen, two coincident IPO investments and an IPO filing for investee Dingdong Maicai. But the long-expected bankruptcy of Katerra also means another $2bn of Vision Fund value has been wiped off the board so what markets are hearing on Softbank remains decidedly mixed. We have updated our Softbank tables including public portfolio valuations, the holding company discount, and the IPO pipeline.  

Softbank Group - Shares Drift as Discount Settles in 40% Range

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Qualtrics International / Equity Capital Markets

Our base case valuation of Qualtrics is $19.0 billion in terms of implied market cap or $31.6 per share, which represents a 32% upside from the high end of the initial IPO price range of $24 per share. Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of the Qualtrics IPO.

Our base case valuation of Qualtrics is $19.0 billion in terms of implied market cap or $31.6 per share, which represents a 32% upside from the high end of the initial IPO price range of $24 per share. Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of the Qualtrics IPO.  

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualtrics-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27731:1" rel="noopener">Qualtrics (XM US)</a>, a US cloud software company, is aiming to complete its IPO again after two years. In November 2018, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sap-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21704:1" rel="noopener">SAP SE (SAP GR)</a> acquired Qualtrics for $8 billion. SAP has now decided to spin-off Qualtrics and IPO this business. The initial IPO pricing ranges from $20 to $24 per share, which would value <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/28/qualtrics-files-s-1-aims-for-valuation-of-up-to-14point4-billion-in-ipo.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Qualtrics</a> at $12 billion to $14.4 billion. The Qualtrics IPO is expected to be completed in January/February 2021.
After the IPO, SAP will maintain an 80% stake in Qualtrics. The private equity firm Silver Lake will be buying slightly more than 4% of the Qualtrics shares for $550 million (implying a valuation of $13.7 billion) and the Qualtrics founder Ryan Smith will be buying 1% for $120 million (implying a valuation of $12 billion).
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Qualtrics (XM US), a US cloud software company, is aiming to complete its IPO again after two years. In November 2018, SAP SE (SAP GR) acquired Qualtrics for $8 billion. SAP has now decided to spin-off Qualtrics and IPO this business. The initial IPO pricing ranges from $20 to $24 per share, which would value Qualtrics at $12 billion to $14.4 billion. The Qualtrics IPO is expected to be completed in January/February 2021.
After the IPO, SAP will maintain an 80% stake in Qualtrics. The private equity firm Silver Lake will be buying slightly more than 4% of the Qualtrics shares for $550 million (implying a valuation of $13.7 billion) and the Qualtrics founder Ryan Smith will be buying 1% for $120 million (implying a valuation of $12 billion).


United States

Qualtrics International Inc. provides technological services. The Company offers application software for education, human resources, market research, automotive, travel, hospital, media, government, and airline sectors. Qualtrics International serves customers worldwide.

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Qualtrics International (XM US)

Founder-Led Unicorn And Leader In Product Analytics

Amplitude, the growth engine for digital products, will go public via direct listing and we think its fully SaaS, cloud-native product with...

Andrei Zakharov

Softbank Group - Vision Fund 2’s Late-Private Investments Blur the Lines with Northstar

A series of VF investments at or just before the IPO seem to overlap with Northstar's role whilst highlighting a lack of SPAC activity. Meanwhile, ...

Kirk Boodry

Softbank Group - Shares Drift as Discount Settles in 40% Range

SBG reports incremental progress on its Vision Fund liquidity plans but c. $9bn in public VF valuation losses is a headwind. Shares now trade in...

Kirk Boodry

Qualtrics Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Qualtrics is $19.0 billion in terms of market cap or $31.6 per share, which represents a 32% upside from the high end of...

Douglas Kim

Qualtrics IPO Preview

Qualtrics, which was acquired by SAP for $8 billion two years ago, is trying to complete an IPO again. The initial IPO valuation range of Qualtrics...

Douglas Kim

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