Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across three sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 July 2026)

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

<ul><li>After a solid FY26, BHP&rsquo;s FY27 production guidance has missed consensus across commodities with copper the standout on lower grades and maintenance.</li><li> BHP Group&rsquo;s FY27 copper production guidance fell&rsquo;s short of expectation FY26 iron ore/copper production largely in line with consensus Coal production a substantial beat Potential for an upside dividend surprise for shareholders in August</li></ul>

After a solid FY26, BHP&rsquo;s FY27 production guidance has missed consensus across commodities with copper the standout on lower grades and maintenance. BHP Group&rsquo;s FY27 copper production guidance fell&rsquo;s short of expectation FY26 iron ore/copper production largely in line with consensus Coal production a substantial beat Potential for an upside dividend surprise for shareholders in August

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 13th July, published on the 17th July.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$0.2bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iluka-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10105:1" rel="noopener">Iluka Resources (ILU AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 13th July, published on the 17th July.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$0.2bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: PLS Group (PLS AU), Lynas (LYC AU), Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Iluka Resources (ILU AU), and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU).


Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eight pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 10th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal, Fortescue.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 10th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal, Fortescue.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 10th): ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal, Fortescue

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

Price Gauge
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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 July 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

A Dividend Surprise From BHP in August?

After a solid FY26, BHP’s FY27 production guidance has missed consensus across commodities with copper the standout on lower grades and...

FNArena

Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 10th): ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 July 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

A Dividend Surprise From BHP in August?

After a solid FY26, BHP’s FY27 production guidance has missed consensus across commodities with copper the standout on lower grades and...

FNArena

Aussie Shorts [13 July 2026]: PLS, Lynas, Westpac, Iluka Resources, Commonwealth Bank

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.5bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (20 Jul 2026)

​Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 10th): ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Atlas Arteria, Megaport, Whitehaven Coal,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Discover four pair trade opportunities across three sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.