Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Rio Tinto reported a decent quarter, with consecutive operational improvements and the successful start of underground production at Oyu Tolgoi.</li><li>Commodity prices and the energy transition influenced financial performance, with a strategic focus on strengthening their aluminum business and expecting significant returns from Oyu Tolgoi.</li><li>Rio Tinto also recently expanded scandium production with the acquisition of the Platina Scandium Project.</li></ul>

Rio Tinto reported a decent quarter, with consecutive operational improvements and the successful start of underground production at Oyu Tolgoi.Commodity prices and the energy transition influenced financial performance, with a strategic focus on strengthening their aluminum business and expecting significant returns from Oyu Tolgoi.Rio Tinto also recently expanded scandium production with the acquisition of the Platina Scandium Project.

Rio Tinto ADR: Can the Scadium Production Expansion Through The Acquisition of Platina Scandium Project Be A Game Changer? – Key Drivers

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Amman Mineral Internasional / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a> is looking to raise up to US$868m in its Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>Amman Mineral International (AMI) carries out exploration, development, mining, processing. The company operates an open pit copper and gold mine known as the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ) is looking to raise up to US$868m in its Indonesian IPO. 
Amman Mineral International (AMI) carries out exploration, development, mining, processing. The company operates an open pit copper and gold mine known as the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Amman Mineral International IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a> is looking to raise around US$880m in its Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>Amman Mineral International (AMI) carries out exploration, development, mining, processing. The company operates an open pit copper and gold mine known as the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.</li>
<li>AMI's profitability grew dramatically over the track record period. However, copper prices might possibly be on a downtrend in the near term.</li>
</ul>



Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ) is looking to raise around US$880m in its Indonesian IPO. 
Amman Mineral International (AMI) carries out exploration, development, mining, processing. The company operates an open pit copper and gold mine known as the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.
AMI's profitability grew dramatically over the track record period. However, copper prices might possibly be on a downtrend in the near term.


Amman Mineral International IPO - Promising Assets with Decent Prospects

<ul><li>Rio Tinto’s business remained resilient in the last quarter and the company successfully entered the year with quite a good operational momentum, particularly in Pilbara iron ore.</li><li>However, accelerating cost inflation and lower prices throughout the year led to margin compression.</li><li>At Simandou, Rio Tinto incorporated the infrastructure joint venture with its various partners and the government of Guinea.</li></ul>

Rio Tinto’s business remained resilient in the last quarter and the company successfully entered the year with quite a good operational momentum, particularly in Pilbara iron ore.However, accelerating cost inflation and lower prices throughout the year led to margin compression.At Simandou, Rio Tinto incorporated the infrastructure joint venture with its various partners and the government of Guinea.

Australia

Rio Tinto PLC operates as a mining company. The Company focuses on mining for aluminum, borates, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, salt, and zircon. Rio Tinto serves clients worldwide.

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Rio Tinto (RIO US)

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

Rio Tinto ADR: Can the Scadium Production Expansion Through The Acquisition of Platina Scandium Project Be A Game Changer? – Key Drivers

Rio Tinto reported a decent quarter, with consecutive operational improvements and the successful start of underground production at Oyu...

Baptista Research

Amman Mineral International IPO - Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ) is looking to raise up to US$868m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer...

Ethan Aw

Amman Mineral International IPO - Promising Assets with Decent Prospects

Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ) is looking to raise around US$880m in its Indonesian IPO. The company operates an open pit copper and...

Ethan Aw

Rio Tinto: Expansion Plans

Rio Tinto’s business remained resilient in the last quarter and the company successfully entered the year with quite a good operational momentum,...

Baptista Research

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