European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Holdco discounts tightened in September: GBL to 28.1%, Industrivärden C to 6.9%, Investor B to 10.9%, Heineken Holding to 12.1%; Porsche SE widened to 31.6%; Rio Tinto DLC premium 21.6%.</li>
<li>Drivers: discounts compress with buybacks and bull markets. GBL cancelling repurchases; target sub-25% discount. Heineken Holding’s control structure sustains a spread. Swedish holdcos are investment-grade, high-quality, with low look-through discounts.</li>
<li>Catalysts: Vivendi’s AMF-driven mandatory-offer path, appeals pending, base-case €4.15 bid. Rio Tinto DLC unification could unlock $27–32B despite May vote. Porsche SE discount reflects deleveraging priority; legal overhang increasingly immaterial.</li>
</ul>


Holdco discounts tightened in September: GBL to 28.1%, Industrivärden C to 6.9%, Investor B to 10.9%, Heineken Holding to 12.1%; Porsche SE widened to 31.6%; Rio Tinto DLC premium 21.6%.
Drivers: discounts compress with buybacks and bull markets. GBL cancelling repurchases; target sub-25% discount. Heineken Holding’s control structure sustains a spread. Swedish holdcos are investment-grade, high-quality, with low look-through discounts.
Catalysts: Vivendi’s AMF-driven mandatory-offer path, appeals pending, base-case €4.15 bid. Rio Tinto DLC unification could unlock $27–32B despite May vote. Porsche SE discount reflects deleveraging priority; legal overhang increasingly immaterial.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September 2025 Report

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While tariff headlines may dominate, accumulate the miners on weakness</li>
<li>The positive Supply and Demand drivers for copper are  still intact</li>
<li>Latest tariffs add to the continued inflationary pulse around the world</li>
</ul>


While tariff headlines may dominate, accumulate the miners on weakness
The positive Supply and Demand drivers for copper are  still intact
Latest tariffs add to the continued inflationary pulse around the world


Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited / Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiaxin-international-resources-investment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45065:1" rel="noopener">Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited</a>(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027
We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.


Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Timing: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> reports annual results on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, 8:00 AM AEST. Corresponding local times for its international listings are detailed in the Insight.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Options positioning ahead of the results suggests at least one trader is making a sizeable bet on post-earnings upside.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Gain insight into BHP’s earnings-day price history , volatility setup, and options market positioning to be ready for the upcoming announcement.</li>
</ul>



Timing: BHP (BHP AU) reports annual results on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, 8:00 AM AEST. Corresponding local times for its international listings are detailed in the Insight.

Highlight: Options positioning ahead of the results suggests at least one trader is making a sizeable bet on post-earnings upside.

Why Read: Gain insight into BHP’s earnings-day price history , volatility setup, and options market positioning to be ready for the upcoming announcement.


BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

<ul>
<li>GBL’s discount to NAV is compressing but remains wide versus peers — buybacks, portfolio moves, and dividends hint at a valuation shift.</li>
<li>Rio Tinto’s Australia-UK dual listing still trades at a premium — mean reversion potential remains as unification chatter simmers beneath the surface.</li>
<li>Vivendi’s looming mandatory offer from Bolloré reshapes stub trade dynamics — a narrowing discount points to accelerating corporate resolution.</li>
</ul>


GBL’s discount to NAV is compressing but remains wide versus peers — buybacks, portfolio moves, and dividends hint at a valuation shift.
Rio Tinto’s Australia-UK dual listing still trades at a premium — mean reversion potential remains as unification chatter simmers beneath the surface.
Vivendi’s looming mandatory offer from Bolloré reshapes stub trade dynamics — a narrowing discount points to accelerating corporate resolution.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July 2025 Report

United Kingdom

Rio Tinto plc is an international mining company. The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO AU.

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Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September 2025 Report

Holdco discounts tightened in Sept. GBL buybacks aid narrowing; Swedish names near lows; HEIO spread persists. Optionality: Vivendi OPA, Rio Tinto...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

Both Jiangxi Copper (358.HK) and MMG (1208.HK) continue to perform very well. A big laggard here is Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713.JP). Name ...

Rikki Malik

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...

Gaudenz Schneider

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July 2025 Report

GBL’s discount is tightening, Rio Tinto’s dual listing offers DLC convergence upside, and Vivendi’s forced bid reshapes stub trade dynamics—three...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September 2025 Report

Holdco discounts tightened in Sept. GBL buybacks aid narrowing; Swedish names near lows; HEIO spread persists. Optionality: Vivendi OPA, Rio Tinto...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Copper Miners Update Post US Tariff Announcement

Both Jiangxi Copper (358.HK) and MMG (1208.HK) continue to perform very well. A big laggard here is Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713.JP). Name ...

Rikki Malik

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside

​BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...

Gaudenz Schneider

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: July 2025 Report

GBL’s discount is tightening, Rio Tinto’s dual listing offers DLC convergence upside, and Vivendi’s forced bid reshapes stub trade dynamics—three...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

BHP to report annual results on August 19, with options suggesting bullish post-earnings move. Gain insight into earnings history and market...