Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.</li>
<li>We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.</li>
</ul>


Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.
We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.
Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.


Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index underperformed the broader market, falling 4.8% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 3.4%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.2%).</li><li>Energy Technology (14.7% of the index) contributed to the index’s underperformance, falling 7.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.6% of the index) was down 2.1%, ClimateTech Mining was down 7.8%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions was down 6.8%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: LYTS, EOSE, PE, RIDE, PGTK, BWEN, ORGN, SOLO, TGEN, ADSE</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index underperformed the broader market, falling 4.8% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 3.4%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.2%).Energy Technology (14.7% of the index) contributed to the index’s underperformance, falling 7.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.6% of the index) was down 2.1%, ClimateTech Mining was down 7.8%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions was down 6.8%.Top 10 Performers: LYTS, EOSE, PE, RIDE, PGTK, BWEN, ORGN, SOLO, TGEN, ADSE

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended August 18, 2023

<div><ul><li>Electrovaya is a leading manufacturer of safe and long-lasting LIBs with differentiated performance and safety attributes, according to the company.</li><li>Electrovaya has two primary battery platforms: Infinity and SSB. The Infinity battery platform targets commercial vehicles, including lithium-ion e-forklifts, e-buses, and e-trucks.</li><li>This product has been launched commercially through global partners, including Toyota, Raymond, and Walmart. </li></ul></div>

Electrovaya is a leading manufacturer of safe and long-lasting LIBs with differentiated performance and safety attributes, according to the company.Electrovaya has two primary battery platforms: Infinity and SSB. The Infinity battery platform targets commercial vehicles, including lithium-ion e-forklifts, e-buses, and e-trucks.This product has been launched commercially through global partners, including Toyota, Raymond, and Walmart. 

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended August 11, 2023

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>The Fed raised rates 0.25% at the July FOMC meeting on Wednesday, bringing the fed funds rate to 5.25% to 5.50%.</p></li><li><p>Stocks rallied, as investors sense the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle.</p></li><li><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.05%, while the MSCI World Index climbed 0.82%.</p></li></ul>

The Fed raised rates 0.25% at the July FOMC meeting on Wednesday, bringing the fed funds rate to 5.25% to 5.50%.Stocks rallied, as investors sense the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle.The S&amp;P 500 gained 1.05%, while the MSCI World Index climbed 0.82%.

The Highlights - Cannabis News for the Week Ending July 28, 2023

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The large US banks opened higher on Friday, trading up by 1.5% to 3.7% in the morning session on news of earnings beat by JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.</li><li>JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citibank, and Wells Fargo formed a bearish Candlestick pattern despite the earning beat on above-average volume.</li><li>In the technology sector, the Semiconductor ETF (SOX), Nvidia, Microsoft, META, Micron Technology, C3 AI, SPDR Technology ETF, and Palantir all had bearish price action and candlestick patterns.</li></ul>

The large US banks opened higher on Friday, trading up by 1.5% to 3.7% in the morning session on news of earnings beat by JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citibank, and Wells Fargo formed a bearish Candlestick pattern despite the earning beat on above-average volume.In the technology sector, the Semiconductor ETF (SOX), Nvidia, Microsoft, META, Micron Technology, C3 AI, SPDR Technology ETF, and Palantir all had bearish price action and candlestick patterns.

United States

The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of 135.00 as of December 31, 1986.

Russell 2000 Index (RTY INDEX)

Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

Expectations over the past two weeks for an oversold bounce in $SPX have played out. 4300-4325 (1.5-year support) remains solid floor, but could...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended August 18, 2023

The WTR Sustainable Index underperformed the broader market, falling 4.8% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down...

Water Tower Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Week Ended August 11, 2023

Electrovaya is a leading manufacturer of safe and long-lasting LIBs with differentiated performance and safety attributes, according to the company.

Water Tower Research

The Highlights - Cannabis News for the Week Ending July 28, 2023

Stocks rallied, as investors sense the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle. The S&P 500 gained 1.05%, while the MSCI World Index...

Water Tower Research

Nasdaq and S&P Futures

The large US banks opened higher on Friday, trading up by 1.5% to 3.7% in the morning session on news of earnings beat by JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.

Untying The Gordian Knot