Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Rakuten Bank priced its IPO low and then immediately bounced. Earnings came in as forecast, and the forecast next year did too. Highish PBR, high ROE, not-so-high-PER on low ROA.</li>
<li>The stock fell on 16 May after Rakuten Bank announced its capital raising. That was probably a knee-jerk reaction, and had no reason. </li>
<li>Next week sees the TOPIX inclusion. And the Real World Float has gotten smaller since the offering. And some of those people aren't going to sell near-term.</li>
</ul>


Rakuten Bank priced its IPO low and then immediately bounced. Earnings came in as forecast, and the forecast next year did too. Highish PBR, high ROE, not-so-high-PER on low ROA.
The stock fell on 16 May after Rakuten Bank announced its capital raising. That was probably a knee-jerk reaction, and had no reason. 
Next week sees the TOPIX inclusion. And the Real World Float has gotten smaller since the offering. And some of those people aren't going to sell near-term.


Rakuten Bank - Big TOPIX Inclusion Next Week

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The sharp run-up in the share price since its IPO does not, in our view, mean that Rakuten Bank’s rally is done; there is further fundamental justification for a re-rating</li>
<li>Rakuten Bank trades on a LTM PE multiple of 14.4x, LTM PBV ratio of 1.6x and an ROE of 13.2%, which is the best return of our neobank peers</li>
<li>Relative to its peer group, Rakuten Bank has premium long-run growth prospects; conservatively estimating Rakuten Bank’s growth (8% pa), implies a PEG ratio in the range of 1.2x to 1.3x</li>
</ul>


The sharp run-up in the share price since its IPO does not, in our view, mean that Rakuten Bank’s rally is done; there is further fundamental justification for a re-rating
Rakuten Bank trades on a LTM PE multiple of 14.4x, LTM PBV ratio of 1.6x and an ROE of 13.2%, which is the best return of our neobank peers
Relative to its peer group, Rakuten Bank has premium long-run growth prospects; conservatively estimating Rakuten Bank’s growth (8% pa), implies a PEG ratio in the range of 1.2x to 1.3x


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP): Premium Growth Neobank Still Trading at Attractive Valuations

<ul>
<li>Rakuten Bank’s IPO will add an attractively valued Japanese neobank to the globally listed neobank universe; furthermore, the Rakuten Group ecosystem is a powerful tool for customer acquisition and retention</li>
<li>On efficiency metrics, Rakuten Bank scores well versus its key domestic peers as well as global comparables; Rakuten Group companies act as a key conduit for new clients</li>
<li>At the announced issue price of ¥1,400, Rakuten Bank’s PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to its core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for similar ROE</li>
</ul>


Rakuten Bank’s IPO will add an attractively valued Japanese neobank to the globally listed neobank universe; furthermore, the Rakuten Group ecosystem is a powerful tool for customer acquisition and retention
On efficiency metrics, Rakuten Bank scores well versus its key domestic peers as well as global comparables; Rakuten Group companies act as a key conduit for new clients
At the announced issue price of ¥1,400, Rakuten Bank’s PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to its core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for similar ROE


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – A Keenly Priced Quality Addition to the Global Neobanks Universe

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, has set an IPO price range of JPY1,440 to JPY1,450 per share compared to the reference price of JPY1,440.</li>
<li>I discussed the relisting in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211514" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, has set an IPO price range of JPY1,440 to JPY1,450 per share compared to the reference price of JPY1,440.
I discussed the relisting in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case and SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.</li>
<li>I discussed the investment thesis in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. </li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.
I discussed the investment thesis in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. 


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Japan

Seven Bank, Ltd. provides banking services mainly through Automated Teller Machine (ATM) across Japan. The bank cooperates with affiliated financial institutions to establish the nationwide ATM network and provide remote banking services, including deposits and loans.

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Seven Bank Ltd (8410 JP)

Rakuten Bank - Big TOPIX Inclusion Next Week

Rakuten Bank IPOed too low. Then it reported earnings and growth. The stock is a bit higher PER than large cap peers, and a lot higher PBR, but it...

Travis Lundy

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP): Premium Growth Neobank Still Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rakuten Bank’s mix of relative value metrics and premium growth potential are clear positive drivers for its further re-rating potential; company...

Victor Galliano

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – A Keenly Priced Quality Addition to the Global Neobanks Universe

Rakuten Bank's IPO is priced to go; issue price PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for...

Victor Galliano

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

SBI Shinsei is seeking to raise about US$2 billion. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share.

Arun George

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