HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.</li>
<li>Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.</li>
<li>These stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinhua-winshare-publishing-media-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15072:1" rel="noopener">Xinhua Winshare (811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lonking-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3944:1" rel="noopener">Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kunlun-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10054:1" rel="noopener">Kunlun Energy (135 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (2097 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" have led to over 10% fall in the Hong Kong market, but there are some names that only came down by 3.2% on average.
Their characteristics are: 1.) domestically focused, 2.) net cash position, 3.) secure demand, 4.) consumption downgrade beneficiary, and 5.) good dividends.
These stocks are Xinhua Winshare (811 HK), Lonking Holdings (3339 HK), Kunlun Energy (135 HK), Mixue Group (2097 HK), and China East Education (667 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>More evidence emerging of a regime change in global markets</li>
<li>What is different this time around from previous bear markets</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
More evidence emerging of a regime change in global markets
What is different this time around from previous bear markets


Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>China is likely to restart allowing unprofitable tech companies to list on Shanghai’s STAR Market, sources with knowledge of the matter said, showing intensified financing support for technology innovations.</li><li>The Shanghai Stock Exchange has recently told several intermediary institutions that it particularly supports the listing of high-tech firms, multiple sources from investment banks and private equity firms told Caixin.</li><li>It’s clear that regulators are paving the way for reopening the IPO channel to money-losing tech companies, they said.</li></ul>

China is likely to restart allowing unprofitable tech companies to list on Shanghai’s STAR Market, sources with knowledge of the matter said, showing intensified financing support for technology innovations.The Shanghai Stock Exchange has recently told several intermediary institutions that it particularly supports the listing of high-tech firms, multiple sources from investment banks and private equity firms told Caixin.It’s clear that regulators are paving the way for reopening the IPO channel to money-losing tech companies, they said.

China May Restart Allowing Unprofitable Tech Firms to List, Sources Say 

<ul>
<li>Few surprises from the Government Work Report, but investor fatigue has set in.</li>
<li>Groundwork continues to be laid for a boost in consumption as a share of GDP</li>
<li>HK/China bull market to broaden out from the technology sector?</li>
</ul>


Few surprises from the Government Work Report, but investor fatigue has set in.
Groundwork continues to be laid for a boost in consumption as a share of GDP
HK/China bull market to broaden out from the technology sector?


NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

<ul>
<li>Risk reward favours this shift in allocation between these markets</li>
<li>Weakness in HK/China markets in Q1 as President Trump takes office will provide an opportunity</li>
<li>China continues to incrementally promote consumption as the new lever of growth</li>
</ul>


Risk reward favours this shift in allocation between these markets
Weakness in HK/China markets in Q1 as President Trump takes office will provide an opportunity
China continues to incrementally promote consumption as the new lever of growth


2025 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of India into HK/China Part 2

China

The Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index is a capitalization-weighted index. The index tracks the daily price performance of all A-shares and B-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The index was developed on December 19, 1990 with a base value of 100. 

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

The stocks with a domestic focus, cash position, secure demand, consumption benefits, and high dividends are more insulated: Xinhua Winshare,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. How will the incoming bear market in the US impact Asia

Rikki Malik

China May Restart Allowing Unprofitable Tech Firms to List, Sources Say

China is likely to restart allowing unprofitable tech companies to list on Shanghai’s STAR Market, sources with knowledge of the matter said,...

Caixin Global

NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...

Rikki Malik

2025 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of India into HK/China Part 2

With the HSI (22,700)and the HSTech index (5,500) hitting resistance levels, we would sell SOME here. We will likely go higher but may not go...

Rikki Malik

China & HK Strategy: Which Stocks Will Thrive?

The stocks with a domestic focus, cash position, secure demand, consumption benefits, and high dividends are more insulated: Xinhua Winshare,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. How will the incoming bear market in the US impact Asia

Rikki Malik

China May Restart Allowing Unprofitable Tech Firms to List, Sources Say

China is likely to restart allowing unprofitable tech companies to list on Shanghai’s STAR Market, sources with knowledge of the matter said,...

Caixin Global

NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

​Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...

Rikki Malik

2025 High Conviction Idea: The Case for a Rotation Out of India into HK/China Part 2

With the HSI (22,700)and the HSTech index (5,500) hitting resistance levels, we would sell SOME here. We will likely go higher but may not go...

Rikki Malik

Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...