IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU). 
Lowest spreads - Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Benesse Holdings (9783 JP), Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jan) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, T&K Toka, Taisho, IJTT, IRC, Weiqiao

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-rakutenchi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2078:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Lithium Power International (LPI AU), Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). 
Lowest spreads  Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP), Shidax Corp (4837 JP).


Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The JIC Deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> has been announced and is, as expected, trading wide. </li>
<li>There is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jsr-4185-jp-takeover-why-so-wide-fud-and-flows" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FUD</a>. There are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jsr-4185-time-to-fight-the-fud" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Flows</a>. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.</li>
<li>There's more positioning risk than fundamental risk at this point. And the FUD and Flows have specific timing in this case which makes thing different than JSR. Worth thinking about.</li>
</ul>


The JIC Deal for Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) has been announced and is, as expected, trading wide. 
There is FUD. There are Flows. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.
There's more positioning risk than fundamental risk at this point. And the FUD and Flows have specific timing in this case which makes thing different than JSR. Worth thinking about.


Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover:  Initial Break/Gap Risk Analysis

<ul>
<li>29 minutes after I published a long, musing piece on the possibilities of structure and announcement later this week, JIC and Shinko Electric announced 5 minutes before midnight.</li>
<li>A warning for the future: The Nikkei and every other media outlet got the number wrong. It is NOT a total acquisition cost of "around ¥800bn". It is under ¥700bn. </li>
<li>It IS a split deal. And if JIC won with that price, it tells you something about the state of the market and future deals in the space.</li>
</ul>


29 minutes after I published a long, musing piece on the possibilities of structure and announcement later this week, JIC and Shinko Electric announced 5 minutes before midnight.
A warning for the future: The Nikkei and every other media outlet got the number wrong. It is NOT a total acquisition cost of "around ¥800bn". It is under ¥700bn. 
It IS a split deal. And if JIC won with that price, it tells you something about the state of the market and future deals in the space.


JIC Deal For Shinko Electric Is LIGHT, and There's Room To Complain, But Will Trade Wide

<ul>
<li>After months of speculation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). </li>
<li>The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. </li>
</ul>


After months of speculation, Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). 
The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.
The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. 


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

Japan

SHINKO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES CO., LTD. designs, manufactures, and markets advanced electronic materials, such as semiconductor packages, including leadframes, and PLP(Plastics Laminated Packages).  The Company markets its products worldwide through a network of sales offices in such places as the Philippines, Germany, and Hong Kong.

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Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)

Merger Arb Mondays (15 Jan) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, T&K Toka, Taisho, IJTT, IRC, Weiqiao

This week, the highest gross spreads are Hollysys (12.0%), Shinko Electric (8.9%), JSR (7.6%), Probiotec (6.0%), IRC (5.4%), OreCorp (5.1%), Adbri...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

This week, the highest gross spreads are IRC (26.9%), OreCorp (17.7%), Shinko Electric (9.2%), JSR (6.6%), Lithium Power (5.6%), Benefit One...

Arun George

Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover: Initial Break/Gap Risk Analysis

JIC's announced deal for Shinko Electric (6967 JP) is now trading wide, as expected. But the FUD and Flows have a different timeline than JSR's. So...

Travis Lundy

JIC Deal For Shinko Electric Is LIGHT, and There's Room To Complain, But Will Trade Wide

JIC's deal for Shinko comes in light in terms of total cost. Fujitsu gives up some of what it should have gotten just to get out. There are...

Travis Lundy

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

The offer is long-dated. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low premium to the last close, the...

Arun George

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