SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.</li><li>The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 22 to 28, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional inflow of S$188 million, reversing the net outflow of S$38 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 21.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation, Keppel, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Singapore Exchange, United Overseas Bank, Seatrium, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Eneco Energy and Thai Beverage Public Co.</li><li>On Nov 22, Lim Keen Ban Holdings Pte Ltd acquired 1.6 million shares of Cortina Holdings at S$2.90 per share.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 22 to 28, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional inflow of S$188 million, reversing the net outflow of S$38 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 21.Stocks that led the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation, Keppel, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Singapore Exchange, United Overseas Bank, Seatrium, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Eneco Energy and Thai Beverage Public Co.On Nov 22, Lim Keen Ban Holdings Pte Ltd acquired 1.6 million shares of Cortina Holdings at S$2.90 per share.

DBS buys back nearly S$15m of its shares; AGT Partners becomes Oiltek’s substantial shareholder

Jardine Matheson Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$38 million.</li><li>This marked a slight reversal from the net inflow of S$384 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 14.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, DBS Group Holdings, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Genting Singapore, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Keppel DC REIT, Wilmar International and Keppel REIT.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$38 million.This marked a slight reversal from the net inflow of S$384 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 14.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, DBS Group Holdings, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Genting Singapore, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Keppel DC REIT, Wilmar International and Keppel REIT.

ABR Holdings managing director continues to grow interest

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure</li>
<li>And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
We've discussed since mid-October how we would use any pre-election pullback in the MSCI ACWI or the SPX (U.S. remains our only country overweight) as an opportunity to add exposure
And we continue to see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025.


Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.</li><li>Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.</li><li>Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Singapore

Singapore Exchange Limited owns and operates Singapore's Securities and derivatives exchange and their related clearing houses.  The Company also provides ancillary securities processing and information technology services to participants in the financial sector.

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SGX (SGX SP)

Tuan Sing CEO and director add to stakes

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DBS buys back nearly S$15m of its shares; AGT Partners becomes Oiltek’s substantial shareholder

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 22 to 28, institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional inflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ABR Holdings managing director continues to grow interest

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Buy the Pullback in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buys in Uranium, Transports, Services, Technology, More

Buy the Pullback in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; Still bullish on global equities with $ACWI and the SPX holding above their respective bases at $117 and...

Vermilion Research

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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