Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss the five most important factors driving the Korean stock market this year which was the best performing among all major country equity markets in the world in 2025.</li>
<li>These five factors included the global AI boom, wars and rumors of wars, beneficiaries of MASGA, Korea Value-Up initiatives, and reduced political uncertainties with new President elected in June 2025. </li>
<li>Our best bet to diversify one's portfolio and be more cautious because staying alive will be a key in 2026 rather than FOMO, especially in 2H 2026. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the five most important factors driving the Korean stock market this year which was the best performing among all major country equity markets in the world in 2025.
These five factors included the global AI boom, wars and rumors of wars, beneficiaries of MASGA, Korea Value-Up initiatives, and reduced political uncertainties with new President elected in June 2025. 
Our best bet to diversify one's portfolio and be more cautious because staying alive will be a key in 2026 rather than FOMO, especially in 2H 2026. 


Korean Stock Market - The Best Performing Among Major Countries Indices in 2025

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For memory swing traders, October 7’s MTD reply is the key catalyst, with Hynix potentially front running it by disclosing HBM customer commitments and 2027 capacity allocation.</li>
<li>Samsung’s HBM capacity messaging strengthens the supply trade off case, while Hynix could go further with customer commitments and allocation data to support an AI driven capacity reallocation narrative.</li>
<li>For Hynix, hard 2027 HBM capacity numbers or incremental customer commitments would matter far more than another generic capacity update, potentially driving estimates and near term share price volatility higher.</li>
</ul>


For memory swing traders, October 7’s MTD reply is the key catalyst, with Hynix potentially front running it by disclosing HBM customer commitments and 2027 capacity allocation.
Samsung’s HBM capacity messaging strengthens the supply trade off case, while Hynix could go further with customer commitments and allocation data to support an AI driven capacity reallocation narrative.
For Hynix, hard 2027 HBM capacity numbers or incremental customer commitments would matter far more than another generic capacity update, potentially driving estimates and near term share price volatility higher.


Hynix Could Follow Samsung With Key Disclosure Ahead of Oct 7 MTD Reply

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.</li>
<li>After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. </li>
</ul>


We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. 


"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,755.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,304mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, LG Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,755.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,304mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, LG Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 25th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

South Korea

SK Square Co., Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company invests in semiconductors, information and communications technologies, and other industries. SK Square conducts businesses in South Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SK Square (402340 KS)

Korean Stock Market - The Best Performing Among Major Countries Indices in 2025

We discuss the five most important factors driving the Korean stock market this year which was the best performing among all major country equity...

Douglas Kim

Hynix Could Follow Samsung With Key Disclosure Ahead of Oct 7 MTD Reply

Hynix, following Samsung yesterday, could disclose key business details as part of the pre MTD buildup ahead of the October 7 reply.

Sanghyun Park

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

"Lockout Rally" Underway $ACWI; Downgrading China $MCHI $FXI to Market Weight; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Providing Significant Risk-On Signal. Remain...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 25th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SamsungElecMech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)