Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DPIIT extended conditional compressor import exemptions under the QCO framework till March 31, 2027, with volume caps of 30% to 100% of FY25 levels depending on compressor type. </li>
<li>The QCO extension simply defers the supply risk while the real pain, margin squeeze continues. The structural case for AC stocks is weaker than the summer demand narrative suggests</li>
<li>Voltas FY26 PAT fell 55% &amp; Amber's FY26 PAT dropped 10%, EBITDA margins compressed 4% to 5%. The import extension does not address commodity inflation, currency weakness and rich valuations.</li>
</ul>


DPIIT extended conditional compressor import exemptions under the QCO framework till March 31, 2027, with volume caps of 30% to 100% of FY25 levels depending on compressor type. 
The QCO extension simply defers the supply risk while the real pain, margin squeeze continues. The structural case for AC stocks is weaker than the summer demand narrative suggests
Voltas FY26 PAT fell 55% &amp; Amber's FY26 PAT dropped 10%, EBITDA margins compressed 4% to 5%. The import extension does not address commodity inflation, currency weakness and rich valuations.


India's AC Stocks Are Overheating: The Policy Setback!

<ul>
<li>China's Politburo formalized "anti-involution" policy in July 2024, escalating through 2025 to mandate capacity cuts, retire aging petrochemical plants, and penalize destructive price competition in chemicals and beyond.</li>
<li>China accounts for roughly 46% of global chemical production. Structural capacity rationalization there directly shifts pricing power, trade flows, and market share for Indian chemical players competing on cost, complexity.</li>
<li>Companies with complex chemistry moats, low Chinese raw-material dependence, and long-term customer contracts stand to gain most; commodity-adjacent players face a more uneven ride. </li>
</ul>


China's Politburo formalized "anti-involution" policy in July 2024, escalating through 2025 to mandate capacity cuts, retire aging petrochemical plants, and penalize destructive price competition in chemicals and beyond.
China accounts for roughly 46% of global chemical production. Structural capacity rationalization there directly shifts pricing power, trade flows, and market share for Indian chemical players competing on cost, complexity.
Companies with complex chemistry moats, low Chinese raw-material dependence, and long-term customer contracts stand to gain most; commodity-adjacent players face a more uneven ride. 


What China's Anti-Involution Drive Means for India's Chemical Sector?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>The Indian Rupee’s decline to 95 per dollar is driven by a widening trade deficit, surging crude oil prices, and persistent foreign capital outflows</li>
<li>This depreciation triggers imported inflation across the economy, a substantial 3.7% to 5.2% EPS boost for top-tier IT services exporters.</li>
<li>Global exporters like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coforge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8639:1" rel="noopener">Coforge (COFORGE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sagility-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43717:1" rel="noopener">Sagility India (SAGILITY IN)</a> emerge as primary beneficiaries, whereas import-dependent sectors like Aviation and Paints face severe and immediate margin contraction.</li>
</ul>


The Indian Rupee’s decline to 95 per dollar is driven by a widening trade deficit, surging crude oil prices, and persistent foreign capital outflows
This depreciation triggers imported inflation across the economy, a substantial 3.7% to 5.2% EPS boost for top-tier IT services exporters.
Global exporters like Coforge (COFORGE IN) and Sagility India (SAGILITY IN) emerge as primary beneficiaries, whereas import-dependent sectors like Aviation and Paints face severe and immediate margin contraction.


The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

<ul>
<li>A 23-108% MoM price spike across key chemicals in Mar-26, driven by Strait of Hormuz closure, Gulf force majeures, is set to deliver exceptional earnings for some Indian chemical companies.</li>
<li>Companies that built inventory in January at cycle-low prices, particularly in Phenol, Acetone, Benzene, Toluene, and VAM, now sit on paper gains of 20-70%, a rare intra-quarter windfall.</li>
<li>The companies most worth watching are those who own their raw material chain and have limited direct exposure to Middle East imports.</li>
</ul>


A 23-108% MoM price spike across key chemicals in Mar-26, driven by Strait of Hormuz closure, Gulf force majeures, is set to deliver exceptional earnings for some Indian chemical companies.
Companies that built inventory in January at cycle-low prices, particularly in Phenol, Acetone, Benzene, Toluene, and VAM, now sit on paper gains of 20-70%, a rare intra-quarter windfall.
The companies most worth watching are those who own their raw material chain and have limited direct exposure to Middle East imports.


Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to change by +2.2% QoQ</li><li>EBITDA is expected to change by +3.7% QoQ</li><li>Exports to MNC agrochemical and pharmaceuticals increased sequentially</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to change by +2.2% QoQEBITDA is expected to change by +3.7% QoQExports to MNC agrochemical and pharmaceuticals increased sequentiallyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemicals (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Subdued growth, weak exports

India

SRF Limited is a multi-business Indian multinational engaging in the manufacture of chemical based industrial intermediates. The Company has a business portfolio that encompasses technical textiles, chemicals, packaging films and engineering plastics.

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SRF Ltd (SRF IN)

India's AC Stocks Are Overheating: The Policy Setback!

DPIIT extends compressor import exemptions under QCO framework till 2027, but margin squeeze continues for AC stocks despite volume caps and PAT...

Nimish Maheshwari

What China's Anti-Involution Drive Means for India's Chemical Sector?

China's "anti-involution" policy will reshape global chemical production, benefiting companies with complex chemistry moats and long-term...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4

Indian chemical companies are poised for exceptional earnings due to a significant price spike in key chemicals, driven by supply disruptions in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Chemicals (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Subdued growth, weak exports

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to change by +2.2% QoQ. EBITDA is expected to change by +3.7% QoQ. Exports to MNC agrochemical and...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India's AC Stocks Are Overheating: The Policy Setback!

​DPIIT extends compressor import exemptions under QCO framework till 2027, but margin squeeze continues for AC stocks despite volume caps and PAT...

Nimish Maheshwari

What China's Anti-Involution Drive Means for India's Chemical Sector?

​China's "anti-involution" policy will reshape global chemical production, benefiting companies with complex chemistry moats and long-term...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

​Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4

​Indian chemical companies are poised for exceptional earnings due to a significant price spike in key chemicals, driven by supply disruptions in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Chemicals (Q3FY26 Results Preview): Subdued growth, weak exports

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to change by +2.2% QoQ. EBITDA is expected to change by +3.7% QoQ. Exports to MNC agrochemical and...

HDFC Securities

DPIIT extends compressor import exemptions under QCO framework till 2027, but margin squeeze continues for AC stocks despite volume caps and PAT...

China's "anti-involution" policy will reshape global chemical production, benefiting companies with complex chemistry moats and long-term...

Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...

Indian chemical companies are poised for exceptional earnings due to a significant price spike in key chemicals, driven by supply disruptions in...