Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we share our channel inputs that might be relevant for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/navin-fluorine-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3511:1" rel="noopener">Navin Fluorine International (NFIL IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gujarat-fluorochemicals-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44112:1" rel="noopener">Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCH IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Weak demand and operational conditions in China have forced companies to focus on clearing inventory rather than maintaining prices, which has negatively impacted India's export-oriented companies.</li>
<li>Industry-Wide product cycles, especially in Specialty Chemicals, are shortening, which is a potential threat to leaders like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we share our channel inputs that might be relevant for SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Navin Fluorine International (NFIL IN), and Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCH IN).
Weak demand and operational conditions in China have forced companies to focus on clearing inventory rather than maintaining prices, which has negatively impacted India's export-oriented companies.
Industry-Wide product cycles, especially in Specialty Chemicals, are shortening, which is a potential threat to leaders like SRF Ltd (SRF IN).


Specialty Chemicals Facing Product Cycle Shortening - A Threat to SRF (SRF IN)?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>SRF posted weak performance in 2QFY25, with a material decline in operating profitability (EBIT down 22% YoY), due to the continuous weakness in the Chemicals business (EBIT dipped 29% YoY).</li><li>The Technical Textiles business also witnessed subdued performance (EBIT down 5% YoY), which was offset by a relatively healthier performance in the Packaging Film business (EBIT grew 7% YoY).</li><li>The overall macro scenario remains uncertain for the Chemicals business (74% EBIT mix in FY24); however, the management is expecting some recovery in 3Q which is likely to further accelerate in 4QFY25, led by a healthy order book in specialty chemicals and ramp-up of export/domestic volumes in the Fluorochemicals business.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

SRF posted weak performance in 2QFY25, with a material decline in operating profitability (EBIT down 22% YoY), due to the continuous weakness in the Chemicals business (EBIT dipped 29% YoY).The Technical Textiles business also witnessed subdued performance (EBIT down 5% YoY), which was offset by a relatively healthier performance in the Packaging Film business (EBIT grew 7% YoY).The overall macro scenario remains uncertain for the Chemicals business (74% EBIT mix in FY24); however, the management is expecting some recovery in 3Q which is likely to further accelerate in 4QFY25, led by a healthy order book in specialty chemicals and ramp-up of export/domestic volumes in the Fluorochemicals business.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Srf - Weakness in the Chemicals Business Hampers Performance

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Rubicon Research Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rubicon-research-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43796:1" rel="noopener">Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$130m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>It is a pharmaceutical formulations company with an increasing portfolio of specialty products and drug-device combination products targeting regulated markets, particularly, the United States.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN) is looking to raise about US$130m in its India IPO.
It is a pharmaceutical formulations company with an increasing portfolio of specialty products and drug-device combination products targeting regulated markets, particularly, the United States.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Rubicon Research Pre-IPO - Robust Product Development Pipeline Driving Revenue Growth

Shiva Pharmachem Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shiva-pharmachem-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40109:1" rel="noopener">Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&amp;Sullivan .</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN) is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.
It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&amp;Sullivan .
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO - High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index</a>, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, NSE Nifty Bank Index, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close tomorrow.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest inflows are Trent, Bharat Electronics, Canara Bank, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics and InterGlobe Aviation.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

India

SRF Limited is a multi-business Indian multinational engaging in the manufacture of chemical based industrial intermediates. The Company has a business portfolio that encompasses technical textiles, chemicals, packaging films and engineering plastics.

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SRF Ltd (SRF IN)

Specialty Chemicals Facing Product Cycle Shortening - A Threat to SRF (SRF IN)?

Challenges faced by Indian export-oriented companies like SRF Ltd and Navin Fluorine International due to weak demand in China and shortening...

Pranav Bhavsar

Srf - Weakness in the Chemicals Business Hampers Performance

SRF posted weak performance in 2QFY25, with a material decline in operating profitability (EBIT down 22% YoY), due to the continuous weakness in...

Motilal Oswal

Rubicon Research Pre-IPO - Robust Product Development Pipeline Driving Revenue Growth

Rubicon Research Limited is looking to raise about US$130m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO - High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

Shiva PharmaChem is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

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