HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  </li>
<li>Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16221:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank (6818 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank H (998 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries.</li>
<li>Infrastructure construction companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-construction-corp-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:263:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-group-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:264:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Group H (390 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Comm Cons (1800 HK)</a> are also well-positioned to gain.</li>
</ul>


CSRC's Market Value Management Guidelines will indirectly benefit the H-share stocks with their A-share counterparts with a P/B of below 1x.  
Chinese banks dominated the list with below-book A-shares. China Everbright Bank (6818 HK), China Citic Bank H (998 HK), and ICBC (H) (1398 HK) are the prime beneficiaries.
Infrastructure construction companies China Railway Cons Corp (1186 HK), China Railway Group H (390 HK), and China Comm Cons (1800 HK) are also well-positioned to gain.


China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>China has launched its first five-year plan for the development of biotechnology economy, vowing to raise the value of the sector to 22 trillion yuan ($3.3 trillion) and nurture more companies with revenues upward of 10 million yuan</li><li>The landmark document from China’s top state planner is the first for the biotech sector to move beyond research and development and focus on the economic development and commercialization of such technologies</li><li>Specifically, it aims to increase the number of firms in the field with annual revenue of more than 10 billion yuan</li></ul>

China has launched its first five-year plan for the development of biotechnology economy, vowing to raise the value of the sector to 22 trillion yuan ($3.3 trillion) and nurture more companies with revenues upward of 10 million yuanThe landmark document from China’s top state planner is the first for the biotech sector to move beyond research and development and focus on the economic development and commercialization of such technologiesSpecifically, it aims to increase the number of firms in the field with annual revenue of more than 10 billion yuan

China Launches First ‘Bioeconomy’ Five-Year Plan

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

MetaX Integrated Circuits / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.</li>
<li>Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.
Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index / Index Rebalance

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Over US$125bn has been redeemed from mainland China ETFs in the last quarter. Headline ETFs take the largest hit while there have been selective inflows to sector ETFs.</li>
<li>The large-scale redemptions point to Central Huijin as the likely source, and this gives them the firepower to support the market in the event of a selloff.</li>
<li>The pace of outflows has slowed in the last few weeks as markets have dropped. A decent chunk of money has gone into some sector ETFs recently.</li>
</ul>


Over US$125bn has been redeemed from mainland China ETFs in the last quarter. Headline ETFs take the largest hit while there have been selective inflows to sector ETFs.
The large-scale redemptions point to Central Huijin as the likely source, and this gives them the firepower to support the market in the event of a selloff.
The pace of outflows has slowed in the last few weeks as markets have dropped. A decent chunk of money has gone into some sector ETFs recently.


China ETF: Over US$125bn of Redemptions in Q1; Minimal Outflows Recently

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>, 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.</li>
<li>With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX), 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the STAR50 INDEX resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.
With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.


STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

China

SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index consists of 50 securities with largest market capitalization and good liquidity listed on SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board. The index aims to reflect the overall performance of leading technological innovation-based enterprises’ securities.

SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)

China & HK Strategy: Names to Watch for Market Value Management

SASAC issued "Several opinions on improving and strengthening the market value management of listed companies controlled by central enterprises"...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Launches First ‘Bioeconomy’ Five-Year Plan

China has launched its first five-year plan for the development of biotechnology economy, vowing to raise the value of the sector to 22 trillion...

Caixin Global

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

There could be 4 changes for the STAR50 and 10 for the STAR100 in June. Fast Entry inclusions depend on the index committee. ETF redemptions...

Brian Freitas

China ETF: Over US$125bn of Redemptions in Q1; Minimal Outflows Recently

Over US$125bn has been redeemed from mainland China ETFs in the last quarter but the pace of outflows has slowed in the last few weeks as markets...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas