Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology (688041 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dawning-information-industry-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25380:1" rel="noopener">Dawning Information Industry (603019 CH)</a> announced a merger in a sign of consolidation in China's chipmaking industry.</li>
<li>For each share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dawning-information-industry-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25380:1" rel="noopener">Dawning</a> held, shareholders will receive 0.5525 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon</a>. With uncertainty on the timeline for merger completion, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dawning-information-industry-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25380:1" rel="noopener">Dawning</a> is trading at a 10% discount.</li>
<li>On completion of the merger, passive trackers will need to buy over US$1.1bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a> with nearly of that from local index trackers.</li>
</ul>


On 26 May, Hygon Information Technology (688041 CH) and Dawning Information Industry (603019 CH) announced a merger in a sign of consolidation in China's chipmaking industry.
For each share of Dawning held, shareholders will receive 0.5525 shares of Hygon. With uncertainty on the timeline for merger completion, Dawning is trading at a 10% discount.
On completion of the merger, passive trackers will need to buy over US$1.1bn of Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH) with nearly of that from local index trackers.


Hygon/Sugon Merger: BIG Index Flows on Completion

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and 4 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 13 June.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 2.35% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 4.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 9.8bn (US$1.35bn).</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that are adds or deletes for other indices and the passive flows will be a lot larger than just for the STAR50/STAR100 indices.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the STAR50 INDEX and 4 changes for the STAR100 Index at the next rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 13 June.
We estimate turnover of 2.35% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 4.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 9.8bn (US$1.35bn).
There are multiple stocks that are adds or deletes for other indices and the passive flows will be a lot larger than just for the STAR50/STAR100 indices.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: 10 Changes and US$1.4bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share Semiconductors &amp; Semiconductor Equipment Index.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that will have flows from passive trackers across the three indices. Multiple stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers across the China universe.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestechnic-shanghai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33459:1" rel="noopener">Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH)</a> will have passive inflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index </a>and CSI A500 Index trackers and outflows from the STAR100 Index and CSI1000 Index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share Semiconductors &amp; Semiconductor Equipment Index.
There are multiple stocks that will have flows from passive trackers across the three indices. Multiple stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers across the China universe.

Bestechnic Shanghai (688608 CH) will have passive inflows from STAR50 INDEX, CSI 500 Index and CSI A500 Index trackers and outflows from the STAR100 Index and CSI1000 Index trackers.


STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ All Share Semi Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Flows for Some Stocks

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change each for the STAR Chip Index and CNI Semiconductor Chips Index, and 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in June.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, STAR 100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>, CSI 1000 Index and CSI A500 Index. </li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is CNY 2.9bn (US$400m) and will add to the impact across the other China indices that rebalance on the same day.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change each for the STAR Chip Index and CNI Semiconductor Chips Index, and 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in June.
There are a few stocks that will have same-way flow from passive trackers of the STAR50 INDEX, STAR 100 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI 1000 Index and CSI A500 Index. 
The round-trip trade across the indices is CNY 2.9bn (US$400m) and will add to the impact across the other China indices that rebalance on the same day.


STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 4 changes for the STAR100 Index in June.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 2.26% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 5.05% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 8.1bn (US$1.11bn).</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks that are forecast adds or deletes for other indices and the passive flows will be a lot larger than just for the STAR50/STAR100 indices.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 1 change for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 4 changes for the STAR100 Index in June.
We estimate turnover of 2.26% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 5.05% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 8.1bn (US$1.11bn).
There are multiple stocks that are forecast adds or deletes for other indices and the passive flows will be a lot larger than just for the STAR50/STAR100 indices.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Outperformance for STAR50 Changes

China

SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index consists of 50 securities with largest market capitalization and good liquidity listed on SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board. The index aims to reflect the overall performance of leading technological innovation-based enterprises’ securities.

SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)

Hygon/Sugon Merger: BIG Index Flows on Completion

Hygon and Dawning have announced an all-stock merger. Uncertainty over the timeline has Dawning trading at 10% discount to the merger ratio. There...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: 10 Changes and US$1.4bn Trade

There is 1 STAR50 changes and 4 STAR100 changes. The round-trip trade across both indices is US$1.4bn. Bestechnic Shanghai will have more inflows...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

There will be multiple changes across the indices with many stocks having same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. Announcement on...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Outperformance for STAR50 Changes

There could be 1/4 changes for the STAR50/100 indices. Estimated net round-trip trade is US$1.1bn. There are multiple stocks that will have same...

Brian Freitas

Hygon/Sugon Merger: BIG Index Flows on Completion

Hygon and Dawning have announced an all-stock merger. Uncertainty over the timeline has Dawning trading at 10% discount to the merger ratio. There...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: 10 Changes and US$1.4bn Trade

There is 1 STAR50 changes and 4 STAR100 changes. The round-trip trade across both indices is US$1.4bn. Bestechnic Shanghai will have more inflows...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ All Share Semi Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Flows for Some Stocks

There are 4 changes for the STAR Chip Index, 8 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index and 11 changes for the CSI All-Share...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip/ CES Chips/ CNI Chips Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Stocks with Overlapping Flow

There will be multiple changes across the indices with many stocks having same-way flow from passive trackers of other indices. Announcement on...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Outperformance for STAR50 Changes

There could be 1/4 changes for the STAR50/100 indices. Estimated net round-trip trade is US$1.1bn. There are multiple stocks that will have same...

Brian Freitas