Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> has raised wafer prices, with 2nm wafers expected to cost at least 50% more—exceeding USD 30,000 per wafer.   </li>
<li>Rapidus plans to begin 2nm engineering production in 1Q26 and target mass production by 2027, likely one node behind TSMC.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> is expected to be ready for iPhone 17 production.</li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) has raised wafer prices, with 2nm wafers expected to cost at least 50% more—exceeding USD 30,000 per wafer.   
Rapidus plans to begin 2nm engineering production in 1Q26 and target mass production by 2027, likely one node behind TSMC.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) is expected to be ready for iPhone 17 production.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Has Raised Wafer Prices; Rapidus Provides 2nm Milestone.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 26.2% Premium; Historically Extreme Level to Open Fresh Short of the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: +1.0% Premium: Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short</li>
<li>ASE: +2.7% Premium; Open Fresh Longs of ADR Spread Closer to Parity</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 26.2% Premium; Historically Extreme Level to Open Fresh Short of the Spread
UMC: +1.0% Premium: Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short
ASE: +2.7% Premium; Open Fresh Longs of ADR Spread Closer to Parity


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at Historically Extreme Level; ASE Bounces Off Parity

<ul>
<li>Samsung’s potential Intel stake highlights need for packaging know-how, not customers, and provides a hedge if its 2nm yields or production slip.</li>
<li>TSMC extends lead with stable N3, on-track N2, AI packaging dominance, and customer migrations, while Samsung’s foundry share declines below 8%.</li>
<li>Implications: Positive for TSMC (2330 TT), negative signal for Samsung (005930 KS), validating for Intel (INTC US) though regulatory and governance constraints remain important.</li>
</ul>


Samsung’s potential Intel stake highlights need for packaging know-how, not customers, and provides a hedge if its 2nm yields or production slip.
TSMC extends lead with stable N3, on-track N2, AI packaging dominance, and customer migrations, while Samsung’s foundry share declines below 8%.
Implications: Positive for TSMC (2330 TT), negative signal for Samsung (005930 KS), validating for Intel (INTC US) though regulatory and governance constraints remain important.


Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Fresh Short of the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -0.6% Discount; Wait for More Extreme ADR Spread Level</li>
<li>ASE: +0.4% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Higher Premium Before Fresh Short of the Spread
UMC: -0.6% Discount; Wait for More Extreme ADR Spread Level
ASE: +0.4% Premium; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

<ul>
<li>Apple Secures Over Half of TSMC’s Cutting-Edge 2nm Capacity; How TSMC Anchors Apple’s Product Leadership Strategy</li>
<li>NVIDIA Results Key Take-Away: Long-Reasoning AI Models Driving Massive Compute Demand</li>
<li>Intel (INTC.US): Intel–U.S. Government Equity Deal: Implications and Industry Perspective </li>
</ul>


Apple Secures Over Half of TSMC’s Cutting-Edge 2nm Capacity; How TSMC Anchors Apple’s Product Leadership Strategy
NVIDIA Results Key Take-Away: Long-Reasoning AI Models Driving Massive Compute Demand
Intel (INTC.US): Intel–U.S. Government Equity Deal: Implications and Industry Perspective 


Taiwan Teck Weekly: Apple Snags Over Half of TSMC's Best Chips; Long-Reasoning AI Will Surge Compute

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Has Raised Wafer Prices; Rapidus Provides 2nm Milestone.

TSMC raises wafer prices for 2nm chips, with costs exceeding $30,000 per wafer, positioning itself ahead of Rapidus in production timeline and...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at Historically Extreme Level; ASE Bounces Off Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Teck Weekly: Apple Snags Over Half of TSMC's Best Chips; Long-Reasoning AI Will Surge Compute

Apple secures majority of TSMC's 2nm capacity, NVIDIA sees demand for AI models, Intel's equity deal with US government raises industry implications.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Has Raised Wafer Prices; Rapidus Provides 2nm Milestone.

​TSMC raises wafer prices for 2nm chips, with costs exceeding $30,000 per wafer, positioning itself ahead of Rapidus in production timeline and...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at Historically Extreme Level; ASE Bounces Off Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Samsung’s Intel Gambit: A Signal of TSMC’s Widening Lead

​Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains Elevated; ASE Drops Down to Near Parity

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Teck Weekly: Apple Snags Over Half of TSMC's Best Chips; Long-Reasoning AI Will Surge Compute

​Apple secures majority of TSMC's 2nm capacity, NVIDIA sees demand for AI models, Intel's equity deal with US government raises industry implications.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC raises wafer prices for 2nm chips, with costs exceeding $30,000 per wafer, positioning itself ahead of Rapidus in production timeline and...

Samsung's potential Intel stake underscores the importance of packaging know-how over customers, serving as a hedge for production issues, while...

Apple secures majority of TSMC's 2nm capacity, NVIDIA sees demand for AI models, Intel's equity deal with US government raises industry implications.