Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We rank more than 350 Global equity funds using our proprietary Quality framework to identify the highest-quality portfolios, which we classify as Quality Leaders.</li>
<li>Quality investing is driven more by stock selection than large country or sector bets, with broad ownership of Microsoft, Alphabet, TSMC and NVIDIA across Quality Leader portfolios.</li>
<li>Quality comes at a price. Despite owning many of the world’s strongest businesses, Quality Leaders have been the weakest-performing group over the past five years.</li>
</ul>


We rank more than 350 Global equity funds using our proprietary Quality framework to identify the highest-quality portfolios, which we classify as Quality Leaders.
Quality investing is driven more by stock selection than large country or sector bets, with broad ownership of Microsoft, Alphabet, TSMC and NVIDIA across Quality Leader portfolios.
Quality comes at a price. Despite owning many of the world’s strongest businesses, Quality Leaders have been the weakest-performing group over the past five years.


AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BofA now sees ABF deficits of 7%/14%/19% in 2026–28, while Goldman is far more aggressive at 14%/34%/51% from 2H26 through 2028.</li>
<li>Ibiden, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and ATS are all seeing AI, server-CPU and networking demand tighten advanced-substrate capacity, with new expansion increasingly backed by customer commitments.</li>
<li>The shortage is harder to solve than headline capacity additions imply because larger, higher-layer packages consume more processing time and qualify at lower initial yields.</li>
</ul>


BofA now sees ABF deficits of 7%/14%/19% in 2026–28, while Goldman is far more aggressive at 14%/34%/51% from 2H26 through 2028.
Ibiden, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and ATS are all seeing AI, server-CPU and networking demand tighten advanced-substrate capacity, with new expansion increasingly backed by customer commitments.
The shortage is harder to solve than headline capacity additions imply because larger, higher-layer packages consume more processing time and qualify at lower initial yields.


Why More ABF Capacity May Still Not Be Enough

<ul>
<li>Chips &amp; Memory is now the largest theme in active Global funds, at 9.70% of the average portfolio versus 8.96% for Hyperscalers.</li>
<li>AI Build-out accounts for 24.4% of the average fund, well ahead of AI Adoption at 14.7%.</li>
<li>Ownership is spreading into memory stocks, but both leading themes remain underweight the benchmark. Rising exposure does not represent a uniform buying wave</li>
</ul>


Chips &amp; Memory is now the largest theme in active Global funds, at 9.70% of the average portfolio versus 8.96% for Hyperscalers.
AI Build-out accounts for 24.4% of the average fund, well ahead of AI Adoption at 14.7%.
Ownership is spreading into memory stocks, but both leading themes remain underweight the benchmark. Rising exposure does not represent a uniform buying wave


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>NVIDIA lined up US$625bn of AI financing in one week, from OpenAI's Ohio lease to Hut 8's Texas campus; the cost of insuring its debt rose the most on record.</li>
<li>Macronix's gross margin reached 64.4% and CXMT raised US$8.6bn, evidence memory pricing power kept climbing even as Korea's chip stocks swung double digits in both directions.</li>
<li>Quanta raised US$2.2bn in Asia's largest tech GDR, ASE lifted 2026 capex to US$10.5bn, and MediaTek raised its 2027 AI ASIC share target to 15-20%.</li>
</ul>


NVIDIA lined up US$625bn of AI financing in one week, from OpenAI's Ohio lease to Hut 8's Texas campus; the cost of insuring its debt rose the most on record.
Macronix's gross margin reached 64.4% and CXMT raised US$8.6bn, evidence memory pricing power kept climbing even as Korea's chip stocks swung double digits in both directions.
Quanta raised US$2.2bn in Asia's largest tech GDR, ASE lifted 2026 capex to US$10.5bn, and MediaTek raised its 2027 AI ASIC share target to 15-20%.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVIDIA Guarantees Its AI Landlords; Quanta Raises Asia's Biggest GDR

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Roundhill Memory ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>2-Month base breakout on ACWI-US, MSCI EM(EEM-US) reversing its 1+month downtrend, and MSCI EAFE's(EFA-US) 5.5+ month base breakout reinforces our bullish outlook; these display bull flag patterns and remain healthy.</li>
<li>All signs are pointing to a resumption of prior uptrends, and we continue to recommend adding exposure to global Technology stocks (today buy list includes Samsung and SK Hynix).</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.
2-Month base breakout on ACWI-US, MSCI EM(EEM-US) reversing its 1+month downtrend, and MSCI EAFE's(EFA-US) 5.5+ month base breakout reinforces our bullish outlook; these display bull flag patterns and remain healthy.
All signs are pointing to a resumption of prior uptrends, and we continue to recommend adding exposure to global Technology stocks (today buy list includes Samsung and SK Hynix).


Buying Samsung and SK Hynix; MSCI EM (EEM-US) And Korea (EWY-US) Remain Buys

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Defining Global Quality

Quality investing is synonymous with owning the world’s best businesses. But what does a Global Quality fund actually look like, and have they...

Steven Holden

Why More ABF Capacity May Still Not Be Enough

ABF capacity is expanding, yet shortages may worsen. We examine why CPUs, bigger packages and customer-backed capex are tightening supply, and...

Mint Finance

The AI Build-Out Reshapes Global Funds

Chips & Memory has overtaken Hyperscalers as the largest theme in active Global funds. We examine the shift towards AI Build-out, growing memory...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVIDIA Guarantees Its AI Landlords; Quanta Raises Asia's Biggest GDR

NVIDIA secures massive AI financing, memory pricing power remains strong, Quanta and MediaTek make significant financial moves in tech industry.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Buying Samsung and SK Hynix; MSCI EM (EEM-US) And Korea (EWY-US) Remain Buys

Thursday pre-market report: Buying Samsung and SK Hynix $SKHY; MSCI EM $EEM and Korea $EWY $DRAM Remain Buys. Actionable Themes: Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Defining Global Quality

Quality investing is synonymous with owning the world’s best businesses. But what does a Global Quality fund actually look like, and have they...

Steven Holden

Why More ABF Capacity May Still Not Be Enough

ABF capacity is expanding, yet shortages may worsen. We examine why CPUs, bigger packages and customer-backed capex are tightening supply, and...

Mint Finance

The AI Build-Out Reshapes Global Funds

Chips & Memory has overtaken Hyperscalers as the largest theme in active Global funds. We examine the shift towards AI Build-out, growing memory...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: NVIDIA Guarantees Its AI Landlords; Quanta Raises Asia's Biggest GDR

​NVIDIA secures massive AI financing, memory pricing power remains strong, Quanta and MediaTek make significant financial moves in tech industry.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Buying Samsung and SK Hynix; MSCI EM (EEM-US) And Korea (EWY-US) Remain Buys

Thursday pre-market report: Buying Samsung and SK Hynix $SKHY; MSCI EM $EEM and Korea $EWY $DRAM Remain Buys. Actionable Themes: Technology,...

Vermilion Research

NVIDIA secures massive AI financing, memory pricing power remains strong, Quanta and MediaTek make significant financial moves in tech industry.