Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

China Southern Airlines / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Outbound &amp; domestic travel activity continued to recover nicely in August</li>
<li>Initial reports suggest Mid-Autumn Festival travel activity was solid, too</li>
<li>After recent surge, we've cut Trip.com to HOLD; check out airlines instead</li>
</ul>


Outbound &amp; domestic travel activity continued to recover nicely in August
Initial reports suggest Mid-Autumn Festival travel activity was solid, too
After recent surge, we've cut Trip.com to HOLD; check out airlines instead


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker: Solid Outbound & Domestic Numbers in August | Cut Trip.com to HOLD

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.</li><li>We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.</li><li>Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>BEKE US/BZ US/ATAT US/3690 HK/TCOM US:September Politburo Meeting Unusually Discusses Economic Topics, bodes well for catering and tourism consumption, Employment, and Real Estate(+)</li>
<li>2618 HK/002352 CH: JD and Alibaba reconcile, JD Logistics to launch on Taobao and Alipay to launch on JD.com (+/-)</li>
<li>NIO US: NIO Lowers Battery Swap Service Fees to Encourage Frequent Battery Swaps(-)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US/BZ US/ATAT US/3690 HK/TCOM US:September Politburo Meeting Unusually Discusses Economic Topics, bodes well for catering and tourism consumption, Employment, and Real Estate(+)
2618 HK/002352 CH: JD and Alibaba reconcile, JD Logistics to launch on Taobao and Alipay to launch on JD.com (+/-)
NIO US: NIO Lowers Battery Swap Service Fees to Encourage Frequent Battery Swaps(-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/BZ US/ATAT US/3690 HK/TCOM US/2618 HK/002352 CH/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>NTES US: Blizzard's &lt;Hearthstone&gt; Resumes Operations in China Today with High Player Enthusiasm (+)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN: AliExpress to promote new merchant models and faster logistics at Double 11 and Black Friday promotions (+/-/-/-) </li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall to offer no extra service fees on “buy-now pay-later” orders during Double 11 (-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


NTES US: Blizzard's &lt;Hearthstone&gt; Resumes Operations in China Today with High Player Enthusiasm (+)
BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN: AliExpress to promote new merchant models and faster logistics at Double 11 and Black Friday promotions (+/-/-/-) 
BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall to offer no extra service fees on “buy-now pay-later” orders during Double 11 (-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/JD US/2230CH/600398CH/3690HK/TCOM

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, China announced fresh stimulus measures targeting the stock market and property sector.</li>
<li>The PBoC reduced the main policy rate and cut the RRR, signaling that further cuts were on the cards for later this year.</li>
<li>Further stimulus measures were announced today ahead of the Golden Week holiday. The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied on the news, we see room for further upside.</li>
</ul>


On Tuesday, China announced fresh stimulus measures targeting the stock market and property sector.
The PBoC reduced the main policy rate and cut the RRR, signaling that further cuts were on the cards for later this year.
Further stimulus measures were announced today ahead of the Golden Week holiday. The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied on the news, we see room for further upside.


Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker: Solid Outbound & Domestic Numbers in August | Cut Trip.com to HOLD

Chinese travel activity in August continued its gradual recovery, and early reports from the recent Mid Autumn Festival suggest activity remained...

Tracking Traffic

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/BZ US/ATAT US/3690 HK/TCOM US/2618 HK/002352 CH/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK

Chinese companies discuss economic topics, JD and Alibaba reconcile for cross-platform launches, NIO lowers battery swap fees.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/JD US/2230CH/600398CH/3690HK/TCOM

Blizzard's resumes operations in China with high player enthusiasm, AliExpress to promote new merchant models and faster logistics at Double 11...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied following news flow out of China on fresh stimulus measures. There is likely room for further...

DMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker: Solid Outbound & Domestic Numbers in August | Cut Trip.com to HOLD

Chinese travel activity in August continued its gradual recovery, and early reports from the recent Mid Autumn Festival suggest activity remained...

Tracking Traffic

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/BZ US/ATAT US/3690 HK/TCOM US/2618 HK/002352 CH/NIO US/XPEV US/1211 HK

​Chinese companies discuss economic topics, JD and Alibaba reconcile for cross-platform launches, NIO lowers battery swap fees.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/JD US/2230CH/600398CH/3690HK/TCOM

​Blizzard's resumes operations in China with high player enthusiasm, AliExpress to promote new merchant models and faster logistics at Double 11...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied following news flow out of China on fresh stimulus measures. There is likely room for further...

DMA

Chinese companies discuss economic topics, JD and Alibaba reconcile for cross-platform launches, NIO lowers battery swap fees.

Blizzard's resumes operations in China with high player enthusiasm, AliExpress to promote new merchant models and faster logistics at Double 11...