Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 20 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.8% and a one-way trade of US$1.37bn.</li>
<li>There are 16 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1-day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 20 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.8% and a one-way trade of US$1.37bn.
There are 16 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1-day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2023 review.</li>
<li>There are some key changes to expectations since my last TDIV insight as a consequence of changes in share prices and/or dividend expectations.</li>
<li>I currently expect 6 ADDs and 5 DELs during the December 2023 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2023 review.
There are some key changes to expectations since my last TDIV insight as a consequence of changes in share prices and/or dividend expectations.
I currently expect 6 ADDs and 5 DELs during the December 2023 review.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.</li>
<li>Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.
Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech, Compal Elec, Mediatek, Accton Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech, Compal Elec, Mediatek, Accton Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Recent underperformance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.</li>
<li>Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> holding reflects a strategic urgency. </li>
</ul>


Recent underperformance of Newmont Mining (NEM US) vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". 

PCCW Ltd (8 HK) has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.
Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s Oriental Land (4661 JP) holding reflects a strategic urgency. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

Taiwan

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation operates in the tramp shipping business. The Company mainly ships bulk raw materials such as iron ore, coal, grains, and cement.

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U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

There should be 6 adds, 5 deletes and capping changes leading to 1-way turnover of 17.8% and 1-way trade of US$1.37bn. 16 stocks could have over 3x...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

I expect one-way capping flows to be around US$1.36bn which is a turnover of approximately 20.5%. According to my estimates, currently there are 30...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

There should be 6 adds, 5 deletes and capping changes leading to 1-way turnover of 17.8% and 1-way trade of US$1.37bn. 16 stocks could have over 3x...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 23: US$1.36bn One-Way, 20%+ Turnover, 2 Weeks to Announcement

I expect one-way capping flows to be around US$1.36bn which is a turnover of approximately 20.5%. According to my estimates, currently there are 30...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron, Gigabyte Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, TSMC, Via Tech, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 18% One-Way Turnover & US$2.74bn Trade

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows