Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li id="98cd" style="list-style-type: disc;" data-selectable-paragraph="">Price Movements: BTC staged a strong comeback early Monday morning, trading above $22k for the first time in 10 days. ETH is up 30% over the last week.</li><li id="e22d" style="list-style-type: disc;" data-selectable-paragraph="">Market Liquidity: BTC-EUR trade volume fell relative to BTC-USD as the Euro reached parity with the Dollar.</li><li id="8027" style="list-style-type: disc;" data-selectable-paragraph="">Derivatives: BTC open interest climbed and funding rates flipped positive as market sentiment improved.</li></ul>

Price Movements: BTC staged a strong comeback early Monday morning, trading above $22k for the first time in 10 days. ETH is up 30% over the last week.Market Liquidity: BTC-EUR trade volume fell relative to BTC-USD as the Euro reached parity with the Dollar.Derivatives: BTC open interest climbed and funding rates flipped positive as market sentiment improved.

Crypto Markets Recover Despite 9.1% Inflation.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>USD bull energy appears unabated amid yield dips and risk on phases. Red flags are brewing for USD breakout levels in EM and vulnerable FX in Asia.</li>
<li>The greenback will find a short term top ahead or into the Fed rate hike. A USD pullback in July/August if viewed as a fresh buying opportunity.</li>
<li>We see September/October (will start in August) and Q1 2023 as windows for USD power moves/breakouts that would lead equity risk (bear phases).</li>
</ul>


USD bull energy appears unabated amid yield dips and risk on phases. Red flags are brewing for USD breakout levels in EM and vulnerable FX in Asia.
The greenback will find a short term top ahead or into the Fed rate hike. A USD pullback in July/August if viewed as a fresh buying opportunity.
We see September/October (will start in August) and Q1 2023 as windows for USD power moves/breakouts that would lead equity risk (bear phases).


EM and Asian FX Break Points that Will Inflect Risk

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

FX & Rates

<ul>
<li>The slip in US yields has lead the US_Japan yield spread to move lower thereby putting USDJPY out of line with it</li>
<li>The danger is that once month end is over, USDJPY may “catch up” by trending down in the short term</li>
<li>In addition we see price action developments on USDJPY itself that reflects weakness in the uptrend</li>
</ul>


The slip in US yields has lead the US_Japan yield spread to move lower thereby putting USDJPY out of line with it
The danger is that once month end is over, USDJPY may “catch up” by trending down in the short term
In addition we see price action developments on USDJPY itself that reflects weakness in the uptrend


<ul>
<li>Japan is clearly worried about a weaker JPY despite the BoJ's bond  market policy</li>
<li>Could they be saved by external factors - namely a calming down or even reversal of rising US yields?</li>
<li>Historical comparisons as well as developments in commodities and the economy suggests the answer could be yes</li>
</ul>


Japan is clearly worried about a weaker JPY despite the BoJ's bond  market policy
Could they be saved by external factors - namely a calming down or even reversal of rising US yields?
Historical comparisons as well as developments in commodities and the economy suggests the answer could be yes


United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and  major world currencies.  The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>. 

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Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Crypto Markets Recover Despite 9.1% Inflation.

Price Movements: BTC staged a strong comeback early Monday morning, trading above $22k for the first time in 10 days. ETH is up 30% over the last...

Kaiko

EM and Asian FX Break Points that Will Inflect Risk

USD bull energy appears unabated amid yield dips and risk on phases. Red flags are brewing for USD breakout levels in EM and vulnerable FX in Asia.

Thomas Schroeder

USDJPY Disconnect

The price action on USDJPY & the DXY Index as well as short term developments in the fixed income markets are beginning to warn of a stretched USD...

Shyam Devani

Could the BoJ Be Saved?

The Bank of Japan's concerns about a weakening JPY may be alleviated because of developments in markets outside their control such as commodities...

Shyam Devani

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