Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After releasing its FY24 results last Friday, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a></strong> declared a S$1.00/share special dividend, in addition to a final dividend of S$0.20/share.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Haw Par - and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12891:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)</a></strong> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


After releasing its FY24 results last Friday, Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP) declared a S$1.00/share special dividend, in addition to a final dividend of S$0.20/share.
Preceding my comments on Haw Par - and Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Haw Par's S$1.00/Share Special Divvy

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.</li>
<li>The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24</li>
</ul>


Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. 
We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.
The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24


DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CGSI maintains buy rating on Genting Singapore despite slow tourism recovery, indicating confidence in long-term prospects.</li><li>DBS and RHB lower CDLHT target price due to Singapore hotel oversupply, reflecting concerns about industry saturation.</li><li>Market may be overreacting to Digital Core REIT's Linton Hall data centre, according to DBS, suggesting potential undervaluation.</li></ul>

CGSI maintains buy rating on Genting Singapore despite slow tourism recovery, indicating confidence in long-term prospects.DBS and RHB lower CDLHT target price due to Singapore hotel oversupply, reflecting concerns about industry saturation.Market may be overreacting to Digital Core REIT's Linton Hall data centre, according to DBS, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Singapore Market Roundup (04-Feb-2025): CGSI keeps buy rating on Genting S'pore despite tourism outlook.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Banks DBS, OCBC, and UOB, accounting for 54% of STI's weight, averaged 3.2% returns in January 2025.  </li><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow exceeding S$500 million in January 2025.  </li><li>Keppel Pacific Oak REIT led the S-REIT sector with a 17.1% return in USD terms in January 2025.</li></ul>

Banks DBS, OCBC, and UOB, accounting for 54% of STI's weight, averaged 3.2% returns in January 2025.  Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow exceeding S$500 million in January 2025.  Keppel Pacific Oak REIT led the S-REIT sector with a 17.1% return in USD terms in January 2025.

STI Begins New Year with 1.8% Return, Led by Singtel & Seatrium

<ul><li>DBS to kick off bank results on Feb 10, emphasis on capital management; Maybank anticipates surprises from DBS and UOB.</li><li>DBS maintained 'buy', while OCBC downgraded Starhill Global REIT to 'hold' after 1HFY2025 results, resulting in a lowered TP.</li><li>DBS raised Yangzijiang Shipbuilding's TP to $3.80 due to improved margins and robust orderbook, reflecting an upgrade.</li></ul>

DBS to kick off bank results on Feb 10, emphasis on capital management; Maybank anticipates surprises from DBS and UOB.DBS maintained 'buy', while OCBC downgraded Starhill Global REIT to 'hold' after 1HFY2025 results, resulting in a lowered TP.DBS raised Yangzijiang Shipbuilding's TP to $3.80 due to improved margins and robust orderbook, reflecting an upgrade.

Singapore Market Roundup (03-Feb-2025): DBS reports Feb 10, Maybank predicts surprises.

Singapore

United Overseas Bank Limited provides a wide range of financial services including personal financial services, wealth management, private banking, commercial and corporate banking, transaction banking, investment banking, corporate finance, capital market activities, treasury services, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management and insurance.

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UOB (UOB SP)

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (04-Feb-2025): CGSI keeps buy rating on Genting S'pore despite tourism outlook.

CGSI maintains buy on Genting Singapore despite slow tourism recovery; DBS and RHB lower CDLHT target price; market may be overreacting to Digital...

Singapore Market Roundup

STI Begins New Year with 1.8% Return, Led by Singtel & Seatrium

Banks DBS, OCBC, and UOB, accounting for 54% of STI's weight, averaged 3.2% returns in January 2025. Institutions were net sellers of Singapore...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Market Roundup (03-Feb-2025): DBS reports Feb 10, Maybank predicts surprises.

DBS announces bank results, Maybank predicts surprises; OCBC downgrades Starhill Global REIT, DBS upgrades Yangzijiang Shipbuilding.

Singapore Market Roundup

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StubWorld: Haw Par's S$1.00/Share Special Divvy

After today's move, there's not a lot to do in Haw Par. I'd pivot to Singapore Land, an indirectly held company, which is trading too cheap. ...

David Blennerhassett

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (04-Feb-2025): CGSI keeps buy rating on Genting S'pore despite tourism outlook.

CGSI maintains buy on Genting Singapore despite slow tourism recovery; DBS and RHB lower CDLHT target price; market may be overreacting to Digital...

Singapore Market Roundup

STI Begins New Year with 1.8% Return, Led by Singtel & Seatrium

Banks DBS, OCBC, and UOB, accounting for 54% of STI's weight, averaged 3.2% returns in January 2025. Institutions were net sellers of Singapore...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Market Roundup (03-Feb-2025): DBS reports Feb 10, Maybank predicts surprises.

DBS announces bank results, Maybank predicts surprises; OCBC downgrades Starhill Global REIT, DBS upgrades Yangzijiang Shipbuilding.

Singapore Market Roundup