Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Profit flow through from far higher net interest income is meager</li>
<li>Credit costs moving from reversals to high figures is a key reason</li>
<li>Surging quarterly credit costs stand in stark contrast to peers</li>
</ul>


Profit flow through from far higher net interest income is meager
Credit costs moving from reversals to high figures is a key reason
Surging quarterly credit costs stand in stark contrast to peers


Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/okp-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13193:1" rel="noopener">OKP (OKP SP)</a> is an SGX Mainboard-listed civil engineering and infrastructure group specialising in public-sector transport and commuter infrastructure. It holds an A1 grade civil engineering status.</li>
<li>The group's work spans expressways, flyovers, vehicular bridges, urban and arterial roads, airport infrastructure and oil-and-gas-related infrastructure.</li>
<li>We initiate coverage on OKP Holdings with a BUY rating and a TP of S$0.98/share</li>
</ul>



OKP (OKP SP) is an SGX Mainboard-listed civil engineering and infrastructure group specialising in public-sector transport and commuter infrastructure. It holds an A1 grade civil engineering status.
The group's work spans expressways, flyovers, vehicular bridges, urban and arterial roads, airport infrastructure and oil-and-gas-related infrastructure.
We initiate coverage on OKP Holdings with a BUY rating and a TP of S$0.98/share


OKP Holdings Initiation - Staying Prudent While Riding The Construction Upcycle

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Further to Asian AT1s part I – Our picks on Chinese G-SIBs AT1s on 12 Oct’22, we turned our focus to AT1s in developed markets (DM) in Asia, i.e. Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Australia.</li><li>Our picks in this space are DBSSP 3.3 PERP, UOBSP 3.875 PERP, and SHINFN 5.875 PERP in view of their more balanced risk and return profile, as well as shorter tenor.</li><li>These AT1s also offer quite competitive yield pick-up (418-1255bps) over their senior bonds recently.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Further to Asian AT1s part I – Our picks on Chinese G-SIBs AT1s on 12 Oct’22, we turned our focus to AT1s in developed markets (DM) in Asia, i.e. Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Australia.Our picks in this space are DBSSP 3.3 PERP, UOBSP 3.875 PERP, and SHINFN 5.875 PERP in view of their more balanced risk and return profile, as well as shorter tenor.These AT1s also offer quite competitive yield pick-up (418-1255bps) over their senior bonds recently.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>Singapore recently announced the pricing of its inaugural sovereign green bond issue marking Singapore's momentous entrée into the growing global sovereign green bond market.</li>
<li>Big deal, and big impact. Singapore's S$2.4 billion 50-year green bond ranks among the largest inaugural sovereign issuances and the proceeds are funding impactful "green projects."</li>
<li>Proceeds will fund two Clean Transportation projects (electric rail mass transit) and contribute to an 80% reduction in land transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.</li>
</ul>


Singapore recently announced the pricing of its inaugural sovereign green bond issue marking Singapore's momentous entrée into the growing global sovereign green bond market.
Big deal, and big impact. Singapore's S$2.4 billion 50-year green bond ranks among the largest inaugural sovereign issuances and the proceeds are funding impactful "green projects."
Proceeds will fund two Clean Transportation projects (electric rail mass transit) and contribute to an 80% reduction in land transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.


Singapore's Inaugural Green Bond: Big Deal, Big Impact

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Allocations in Singapore Financials continue their turnaround. From a low of 0.67% in early 2021, average weights have soared to 1.81%, closing in on the highs of 2%+ in 2018</li>
<li>Clear active rotation, with the percentage of managers exposed to the sector increasing from 45.2% in 2021 to 63.4% today.</li>
<li>Strong ownership growth seen in DBS and UOB, with +10.75% and +6.45% of managers opening positions over the last 6-months.  SGX also saw ownership rise.</li>
</ul>


Allocations in Singapore Financials continue their turnaround. From a low of 0.67% in early 2021, average weights have soared to 1.81%, closing in on the highs of 2%+ in 2018
Clear active rotation, with the percentage of managers exposed to the sector increasing from 45.2% in 2021 to 63.4% today.
Strong ownership growth seen in DBS and UOB, with +10.75% and +6.45% of managers opening positions over the last 6-months.  SGX also saw ownership rise.


Singapore

United Overseas Bank is a leading Asian bank offering a comprehensive range of financial services across its Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets segments. Its offerings include personal, private, commercial, and corporate banking, investment banking, asset management, and insurance services. The bank is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 1935.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

United Overseas Bank (UOB SP)

DBS - Limited Net Flow Through

DBS saw its credit costs in 3Q22 surge to a level that is more than the past 6 quarters, combined. This is highly unusual, and not what we see with...

Daniel Tabbush

OKP Holdings Initiation - Staying Prudent While Riding The Construction Upcycle

OKP (OKP SP) is an SGX Mainboard-listed civil engineering and infrastructure group specialising in public-sector transport and commuter...

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Asian AT1s Part II – Picks on DM AT1s

Our picks in this space are DBSSP 3.3 PERP, UOBSP 3.875 PERP, and SHINFN 5.875 PERP in view of their more balanced risk and return profile, as well...

CMB International

Singapore's Inaugural Green Bond: Big Deal, Big Impact

Singapore’s inaugural green bond is a big deal, in size and impact. It is one of the world’s largest debut issues and funds Clean Transportation...

Kyle Rudden

Singapore Financials: Surging Higher

Asia Ex-Japan funds ramp up Singapore Financial allocations . A key beneficiary in this year’s sector rotations, new positions have been added...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)