Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We first review at  Q1 performance in the major markets we follow</li>
<li>Then our outlook for Q2 with the Iran War outcome the major wild card</li>
<li>Some short-term vs  long term  implications of the ongoing Iran war </li>
</ul>


We first review at  Q1 performance in the major markets we follow
Then our outlook for Q2 with the Iran War outcome the major wild card
Some short-term vs  long term  implications of the ongoing Iran war 


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are officially downgrading our outlook to bearish with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, NQ violating 24,000, and Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking below crucial $245 support.</li>
<li>This comes after downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass.</li>
<li>We view this latest rally as a selling opportunity at resistance at 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA</li>
</ul>


We are officially downgrading our outlook to bearish with the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, NQ violating 24,000, and Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking below crucial $245 support.
This comes after downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass.
We view this latest rally as a selling opportunity at resistance at 6480-6520 and the 200-day MA


Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; $SPX Rally a Selling Opportunity?

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Headline driven markets are driving intra-day volatility in all asset markets</li>
<li>Tentative signs of a key signal change in last week's price action</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Headline driven markets are driving intra-day volatility in all asset markets
Tentative signs of a key signal change in last week's price action


Overview #55 – Filtering Out the Noise in the Headlines

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>High Oil prices start to filter into other sectors of the market</li>
<li>Pressure is mounting on US assets as financial conditions tighten</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
High Oil prices start to filter into other sectors of the market
Pressure is mounting on US assets as financial conditions tighten


<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Short-Term market impact of the recent attack against Iran vs the longer-term outlook</li>
<li>Unintended consequences throw out investment opportunities as portfolio degrossing occurs</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Short-Term market impact of the recent attack against Iran vs the longer-term outlook
Unintended consequences throw out investment opportunities as portfolio degrossing occurs


Overview #52 – Oil Shocks, De-Grossing, and Trend Breaks?

United States

VanEck Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index. The ETF invests in materials stocks of all cap sizes across the globe. Its largest allocation is in North American companies, principally those domiciled in Canada. The ETF weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology.

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VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)

Q2 Outlook – A Tale of Two Regimes

Our outlook for Q2 2026. Separating the short-term noise from our longer-term investment themes. In Part 1 we look at hard assets while we look at...

Rikki Malik

Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; $SPX Rally a Selling Opportunity?

Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive; Latest $SPX Rally Likely to Roll Over Here at 6480-6520 or 200-day MA resistance

Vermilion Research

Overview #55 – Filtering Out the Noise in the Headlines

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at a potential key divergence in last week's price action

Rikki Malik

Overview #53 – Second Order Effects

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at other stock market sectors benefiting from higher oil prices.

Rikki Malik

Overview #52 – Oil Shocks, De-Grossing, and Trend Breaks?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the action in stock and commodity markets impacted by the...

Rikki Malik

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