Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

Equity Bottom-Up

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL-SR SP)

<ul>
<li>The market still largely values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-shs-unsp-singapore-depositary-receipt-repr-1-30-sh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48890:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL-SR SP)</a> as a cyclical EV battery manufacturer, underestimating how AI-driven electricity demand shifts value toward storage integration and electricity infrastructure.</li>
<li>The VNET-related investment is unlikely to materially affect near-term earnings, but signals CATL positioning around AI-linked electricity infrastructure, storage integration and localized power resilience systems.</li>
<li>We remain constructive on CATL, with 12-month valuation outcomes ranging from HK$490 to HK$860+, depending on whether ESS achieves infrastructure-quality earnings, while our base-case valuation remains HK$720-750.</li>
</ul>


The market still largely values Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL-SR SP) as a cyclical EV battery manufacturer, underestimating how AI-driven electricity demand shifts value toward storage integration and electricity infrastructure.
The VNET-related investment is unlikely to materially affect near-term earnings, but signals CATL positioning around AI-linked electricity infrastructure, storage integration and localized power resilience systems.
We remain constructive on CATL, with 12-month valuation outcomes ranging from HK$490 to HK$860+, depending on whether ESS achieves infrastructure-quality earnings, while our base-case valuation remains HK$720-750.


CATL: From Battery Supplier Toward Data Center Energy Infrastructure

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ly-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">LY (4689 JP)</a>'s ¥3,232/share bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a>, contingent on DD being granted and passed. should be enough to get <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a> triggered. There's more to come.</li>
<li>Concurrent with dispatching its Bidder's Statement for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a>, IFM lodges its own Panel application, specifically centred on Chicago Skyway's right of first offer involving Ontario Teachers</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>, who's upstream transiton has proved challenging, announced CEO, non-executive chair, and NED changes/retirements; and following an independent review, a move towards a smaller board.</li>
</ul>



LY (4689 JP)'s ¥3,232/share bid for Kakaku.com (2371 JP), contingent on DD being granted and passed. should be enough to get Digital Garage (4819 JP) triggered. There's more to come.
Concurrent with dispatching its Bidder's Statement for Atlas Arteria (ALX AU), IFM lodges its own Panel application, specifically centred on Chicago Skyway's right of first offer involving Ontario Teachers

Strike Energy (STX AU), who's upstream transiton has proved challenging, announced CEO, non-executive chair, and NED changes/retirements; and following an independent review, a move towards a smaller board.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakadu, Atlas Arteria, Strike Energy, New World Development

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>The latest CES, announced from NVDA CEO, signaled a technological shift from Blackwell architecture to the Rubin platform and has fundamental implications to DC operators</li>
<li>For Chinese carriers GDS and VNET, the transition necessitates a total recalibration of power delivery, thermal management, and geographic distribution.  It signals a multi-year tailwind for GDS and VNET</li>
<li>The change in compute requirements and higher entry barrier favor established players with the technical expertise and capital access to build liquid-cooled, AI-native environments.</li>
</ul>


The latest CES, announced from NVDA CEO, signaled a technological shift from Blackwell architecture to the Rubin platform and has fundamental implications to DC operators
For Chinese carriers GDS and VNET, the transition necessitates a total recalibration of power delivery, thermal management, and geographic distribution.  It signals a multi-year tailwind for GDS and VNET
The change in compute requirements and higher entry barrier favor established players with the technical expertise and capital access to build liquid-cooled, AI-native environments.


NVDA’s CES 2026: Architectural Implications for Data Center Operators GDS and VNET

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/203678/What's%20Up%20(&amp;%20Up)%20With%20Shandong%20Hi-Speed%20(412%20HK)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?</a>, I thought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)</a> was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. </li>
<li>My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.</li>
<li>The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. </li>
</ul>


In What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?, I thought Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. 
My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.
The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. 


Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>HSTECH index on the verge of breaking through its Deepsek high</li>
<li>The market is again rewarding AI and cloud infrastructure spending</li>
<li>We add some names to benefit from this ongoing trend</li>
</ul>


HSTECH index on the verge of breaking through its Deepsek high
The market is again rewarding AI and cloud infrastructure spending
We add some names to benefit from this ongoing trend


Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

China

VNET Group, Inc. provides carrier-neutral Internet data center services. The Company hosts its customers' servers and networking equipment, as well as provides interconnectivity to enable customers to deliver data across the Internet. VNET Group conducts business in Beijing, China.

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VNET Group (VNET US)

CATL: From Battery Supplier Toward Data Center Energy Infrastructure

AI-driven electricity demand is shifting value toward storage integration and infrastructure economics, potentially changing how CATL’s earnings...

Duncan Chan

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakadu, Atlas Arteria, Strike Energy, New World Development

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

NVDA’s CES 2026: Architectural Implications for Data Center Operators GDS and VNET

We think NVDA's CES 2026 has profound implications on DC operators like GDS and VNET. The transition means a total recalibration of power...

Jacob Cheng

Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

I'd look to get some exposure here. But I wouldn't chase it. I doubt the days of large share price gyrations are a thing of the past.

David Blennerhassett

Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

CATL: From Battery Supplier Toward Data Center Energy Infrastructure

AI-driven electricity demand is shifting value toward storage integration and infrastructure economics, potentially changing how CATL’s earnings...

Duncan Chan

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakadu, Atlas Arteria, Strike Energy, New World Development

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

NVDA’s CES 2026: Architectural Implications for Data Center Operators GDS and VNET

We think NVDA's CES 2026 has profound implications on DC operators like GDS and VNET. The transition means a total recalibration of power...

Jacob Cheng

Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

I'd look to get some exposure here. But I wouldn't chase it. I doubt the days of large share price gyrations are a thing of the past.

David Blennerhassett

Tactical Trading – Adding AI Infrastructure to the China Tech Trade

​HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries

Rikki Malik

HSTECH index showing increased momentum as market approaches Deepseek high. We look at some AI infrastructure beneficiaries