Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If you like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.</li>
<li>Current NAV levels for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>).</li>
<li>China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a>is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.</li>
</ul>


If you like Toyota Industries (6201 JP)'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.
Current NAV levels for Prosus NV (PRX NA) are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in Tencent (700 HK)).
China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MUYUAN plans to issue 274 million shares at a maximum price of HK$39/share. If based on net profit forecast of 2025, 2026, 2027, P/E would be 11x, 9.5x, 7.7x, respectively.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation of MUYUAN-A share and MUYUAN-H share would be higher than peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wens-foodstuff-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22859:1" rel="noopener">Wens Foodstuff </a>(P/E of 12.9x by Jan.30), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group </a>(P/E of 9x by Jan.30).</li>
<li>If industry average valuation is used as the benchmark, based on 2026 forecast, the IPO pricing leaves decent room for stock price increases for both MUYUAN A and H share. </li>
</ul>


MUYUAN plans to issue 274 million shares at a maximum price of HK$39/share. If based on net profit forecast of 2025, 2026, 2027, P/E would be 11x, 9.5x, 7.7x, respectively.
Reasonable valuation of MUYUAN-A share and MUYUAN-H share would be higher than peers such as Wens Foodstuff (P/E of 12.9x by Jan.30), WH Group (P/E of 9x by Jan.30).
If industry average valuation is used as the benchmark, based on 2026 forecast, the IPO pricing leaves decent room for stock price increases for both MUYUAN A and H share. 


Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-2714-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219264" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at HK$39 per share. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods is based on P/E of 12.9x our estimated net profit of RMB25.3 billion in 2027. </li>
<li>Our target P/E multiple of 12.9x is 20% higher than the comps' average P/E multiple in 2027.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at HK$39 per share. 
Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods is based on P/E of 12.9x our estimated net profit of RMB25.3 billion in 2027. 
Our target P/E multiple of 12.9x is 20% higher than the comps' average P/E multiple in 2027.


Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Hong Kong

WH Group is the world's largest pork company, operating across China, the US, and Europe. It integrates hog production, slaughtering, and the processing and distribution of packaged meats and fresh pork. The company's core business includes a wide range of packaged meat products and fresh pork. Headquartered in Hong Kong, the company traces its origins back to 1958.

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WH Group (288 HK)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

The IPO pricing of MUYUAN is attractive, with potential decent upside(e.g. up 34% if based on industry average valuation). Based on the forecast of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at...

Douglas Kim

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Muyuan Foods (2714.HK) - Thoughts on IPO Pricing and Valuation Outlook

The IPO pricing of MUYUAN is attractive, with potential decent upside(e.g. up 34% if based on industry average valuation). Based on the forecast of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.

Arun George

Muyuan Foods Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) is implied market cap of HK$368 billion post IPO which is 24% higher than HK$297 billion at...

Douglas Kim

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...