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India

Daily Brief India: Adani Enterprises, Britannia Industries, Healthvista India, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, Zomato, China South City, Dredging Corp Of India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Should Replace Shree Cement
  • India Channel Insight #42 | Britannia, Dabur
  • Healthvista India Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN): Set to Benefit from Medical Tourism Resumption in India
  • Zomato IPO Lock-Up – A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India
  • Morning Views Asia: China South City, NagaCorp Ltd, Vedanta Resources
  • Dredging Corp Of India: Lapse of Governance Controls

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Should Replace Shree Cement

By Brian Freitas


India Channel Insight #42 | Britannia, Dabur

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • The current excess rainfall across India is so far not leading to any material damage in rural India. 
  • Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) continues to operate in a favourable environment and is possibly even immune to down trading. 
  • Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) channels remain optimistic about matching YoY value growth, however, in terms of volume there still is quite a bit of ambiguity. 

Healthvista India Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Healthvista India (1370230D IN) is looking to raise about US$126m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by SBI Cap, IIFL Securities and JM Financial.
  • Healthvista India is an out-of-hospital healthcare service provider. Under its brand Portea, it offers services such as primary care, geriatric and palliative care, amongst others. 
  • It also distributes specialty pharmaceuticals and provides “point of care” medical equipment for sale and rental.

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN): Set to Benefit from Medical Tourism Resumption in India

By Tina Banerjee

  • Medical tourism in India was negatively impacted by the pandemic. As the government is lifting travel restrictions, reopening border, and resuming international flight services, medical tourists have started returning back.
  • Large corporate hospitals, having pan-India presence, like Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) are set to benefit from this trend. Medical tourism contributed 10% of revenue of Apollo in pre-pandemic era.
  • Apollo’s market dominance and expansion plan in hospital and foray into online services have sharpened its competitive edge over competitors. Its healthcare business is expected to grow mid-teens this year.

Zomato IPO Lock-Up – A US$3.4bn Lockup Release Test Case for India

By Sumeet Singh

  • Zomato (Zomato IN) raised US$1.3bn in its India IPO in Jul 2021. At that time, it was the largest technology sector listing in India.
  • Zomato is one of two leading food delivery app operators in India. It recently acquired Blinkit marking its foray into the instant grocery segment.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Morning Views Asia: China South City, NagaCorp Ltd, Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Dredging Corp Of India: Lapse of Governance Controls

By Nitin Mangal

  • Dredging Corp Of India (DCIL IN) has been seeing a heavy churn in top personnel lately, including the most critical sacking of MD and CEO, Mr. G.Y.V Victor.
  • It was reported that there has been suppression of facts, material misrepresentation of facts and false claims in support of his experience criteria submitted by GYV Victor.
  • This is a key governance red flag and the fact that the investigation was made after one year of his appointment indicates loopholes in the governance and recruitment controls.

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Daily Brief India: Corning Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Corning Incorporated: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy, Segment, New Glass Composition, & Other Drivers Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)
  • Corning Incorporated: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report, Key Risks & ESG Assessment (07/2022)

Corning Incorporated: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy, Segment, New Glass Composition, & Other Drivers Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • This is our first report on the material science behemoth, Corning.
  • Both the gross margin and operating margin have been increasing since the start of 2022.
  • The company also collaborated with 5E Advanced Materials to supply boron specialty materials.

Corning Incorporated: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report, Key Risks & ESG Assessment (07/2022)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Corning is a major material science player that has been experiencing a rapidly improving margin profile since the past few results.
  • Both the gross margin and operating margin have been increasing since the start of 2022.
  • The management appears confident in their ability to promote long-term profitable growth combined with their steps to increase margins.

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Daily Brief India: Tata Motors Ltd, Vedanta Resources, Alkem Laboratories Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata’s Nexon EV Leads
  • Weekly Wrap – 15 Jul 2022
  • Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Strong India Business to Drive Future Performance

India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata’s Nexon EV Leads

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Tatas are scripting India’s early journey in electric carsTata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) accounted for 87% of the 8077 electric cars sold in Q1FY23 (1605 units in Q1FY22).
  • The rapid roll-out of charging infrastructure across the country by Tata Power (TPWR IN) and the success of Tata’s electric car (compact SUV). Tata Nexon EV, are key factors. 
  • Demand and infrastructure for electric cars seem to be in place but market growth is restricted by a lack of choice/adequate supply in the popular price range (<USD 20K).

Weekly Wrap – 15 Jul 2022

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Yankuang Energy Group
  2. Powerlong Real Estate Holdings
  3. Sawit Sumbermas Sarana
  4. Vedanta Resources
  5. Tata Motors Ltd

and more…


Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Strong India Business to Drive Future Performance

By Tina Banerjee

  • Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN) earns 71% of total revenue from domestic business, which is the most important growth lever of the company. Domestic business revenue grew 29% in FY22.
  • The company dominates the anti-infective segment, through its mega brands, with a market share of 12.9%. In the chronic segment, Alkem is growing fast to emerge as a significant player.
  • Regular new product launches, including biosimilars, should continue to contribute to Alkem’s growth and fill portfolio gaps. Entry into new therapies would also be an important growth engine, going forward.

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Daily Brief India: HDFC Bank, Bharat FIH, Piramal Enterprises, Innova Captab, Vedanta Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • HDFC/​HDFC Bank Mega Merger: Foreign Selling Leads to Higher Foreign Room
  • Bharat FIH Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Not a Whole Lot to Show Yet
  • Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN): Demerger to Create a Differentiated and Niche Pharmaceutical Business
  • Innova Captab Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources, Yankuang Energy Group

HDFC/​HDFC Bank Mega Merger: Foreign Selling Leads to Higher Foreign Room

By Brian Freitas

  • Foreign selling has continued on HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) and foreign room on the proforma merged entity is 17.23%.
  • Higher than 15% foreign room will require passive MSCI trackers to buy 209m shares (US$4.05bn) of HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) at the time of merger implementation.
  • If foreign selling continues and foreign room on the merged entity exceeds 20%, there will be buying from passive FTSE trackers as well.

Bharat FIH Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Not a Whole Lot to Show Yet

By Sumeet Singh

  • Bharat FIH (BFIH) aims to raise around US$660m in its India IPO via selling a mix of both primary and secondary shares. BFIH is a subsidiary of Foxconn.
  • Its initial operations were focused on mobile phones, of late it has been expanding its portfolio to include mechanics, electric vehicles, televisions and hearables. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN): Demerger to Create a Differentiated and Niche Pharmaceutical Business

By Tina Banerjee

  • Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) obtained shareholders nod for demerging its pharma business and consolidated under Piramal Pharma Limited (PPL). Later, PPL will be listed on India stock exchange.
  • PPL has a differentiated pharmaceutical business model, with three business verticals. CDMO, the largest revenue contributor, has track record of consistent above-market growth due to its niche and complex capabilities.  
  • Listed as a separate entity, PPL will see multiple expansion and command premium valuation over other Indian generic drug makers, due to its niche and limited competition portfolio.

Innova Captab Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Innova Captab (1605221D IN)  is looking to raise about US$115m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI and JM Financial.
  • Innova Captab is an integrated pharmaceutical company in India with a presence across the pharmaceuticals value chain including research and development, manufacturing, drug distribution and marketing and exports. 
  • Its business includes a contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) business providing manufacturing services to Indian pharmaceutical companies, a domestic branded generics business and an international branded generics business.

Morning Views Asia: Vedanta Resources, Yankuang Energy Group

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Walmart and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Walmart (WMT US) | Why Walmart Is Likely to Win in India’s ONDC World Compared to Amazon

Walmart (WMT US) | Why Walmart Is Likely to Win in India’s ONDC World Compared to Amazon

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • India’s Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) is expected to break duopolies across the digital commerce ecosystem including e-marketplaces like Flipkart Online Services (1398508D IN) & Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)
  • We think it is the other way around. We expect them to thrive and become even more dominant in case the market expands as envisioned under ONDC. 
  • While it could be too early & premature, Walmart (WMT US) thanks to its investments in Flipkart and the path chosen by PhonePe is better placed compared to Amazon in India.

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Daily Brief India: Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC), Bharat FIH, Anton Oilfield and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks
  • Bharat FIH Pre-IPO – The Positives – A Whole Lot of Promise
  • Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, China Datang Corp Renewable Power, Vedanta Resources

NIFTY100 & CPSE Index Rebalance: Some Big Changes in 3 Weeks

By Brian Freitas


Bharat FIH Pre-IPO – The Positives – A Whole Lot of Promise

By Sumeet Singh

  • Bharat FIH (BFIH) aims to raise around US$660m in its India IPO via selling a mix of both primary and secondary shares. BFIH is a subsidiary of Foxconn.
  • Its initial operations were focussed on mobile phones, of late it has been expanding its portfolio to include mechanics, electric vehicles, televisions and hearables. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, China Datang Corp Renewable Power, Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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India: Mahindra & Mahindra, Suprajit Engineering, Tata Consultancy Svcs and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Mahindra & Mahindra – Equity Infusion at a ‘Too Good’ to Be True Valuation
  • Suprajit Engineering – Replicating Indian Success on the Global Platform
  • Tata Consultancy Services – Steady as of Now but Visibility and Order Inflow Seem Challenges

Mahindra & Mahindra – Equity Infusion at a ‘Too Good’ to Be True Valuation

By Nirmal Bang

  • Demand trend and outlook: M&M is seeing strong demand for its products and expects this growth momentum to continue, backed by a robust order book (~170k). 
  • It has launched the new Scorpio N in June’22, which is further expected to propel overall bookings.
  • Furthermore, we expect tractor volume to grow at low single digits in FY23, driven by the good monsoon season and higher rural incomes.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Suprajit Engineering – Replicating Indian Success on the Global Platform

By Nirmal Bang

  • Exports to drive growth ahead of industry in Automotive Cables business: SEL is the market leader in Automotive Cables with a ~75% market share in 2W OEMs (48% of segment revenue) and ~32% in 4W OEMs (18% of segment revenue).
  • While we believe that in 2W and 4W OEMs, the company will grow in line with industry growth, the next leg of outperformance will be led by pick-up in exports.
  • Exports contribute ~18% to the Auto Cable revenue.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Tata Consultancy Services – Steady as of Now but Visibility and Order Inflow Seem Challenges

By Nirmal Bang

  • Macro not hitting demand yet: TCS indicated that order pipeline velocity and deal closures continue to be strong.
  • While client conversations at the CXO levels see great deal of discussions on the macro challenges, they have not translated into spending cuts yet.
  • TCS stated that it has been constantly polling clients to see whether there is an early indication of demand softening, and as of now there is none to speak of.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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India: Haier Smart Home Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • India Channel Insight #41 | Haier, Samsung, Voltas

India Channel Insight #41 | Haier, Samsung, Voltas

By Pranav Bhavsar


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India: Allied Blenders & Distillers, Marico Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO Tear Sheet
  • Marico Ltd – Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO Tear Sheet

By Sumeet Singh

  • Allied Blenders and Distillers (ABD) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ISec, Axis, JM Fin, Kotak and Equirus.
  • ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY21.
  • It had a market share of 8.2% in the IMFL market by sales volumes in FY21. Its products are retailed at over 64,000 outlets in India.

Marico Ltd – Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

By Nirmal Bang

  • Tepid demand leads to mid-single-digit volume decline in India business: MRCO’s domestic business (~77% of revenue) saw mid-single-digit volume decline in 1QFY23, largely dragged by a sharp drop in Saffola Oils, which had high in-home consumption in the base quarter and also witnessed significant downtrading from super premium to mass segment in Edible Oils.
  • Gross margins to stay flat sequentially: Trends seen in certain key raw materials for MRCO in 1QFY23: (i) Copra prices remained soft, (ii) Edible and crude oil prices cooled off to some extent towards the end of the quarter.

  • View & Valuation: Barring the recent quarters (affected by overall deceleration in market demand), MRCO’s core portfolio has delivered a strong performance and the company continues to make efforts towards meeting its medium-term growth aspirations.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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India: Kids Clinic India, ABM Investama and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Kids Clinic India Pre-IPO – Losses Narrowing with Cluster Model Growth Strategy
  • Asia HY Monthly – June 2022 – Lucror Analytics

Kids Clinic India Pre-IPO – Losses Narrowing with Cluster Model Growth Strategy

By Ethan Aw

  • Kids Clinic India (9890311Z IN) is looking to raise approximately US$160m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Kids Clinic India (KCI) is a super-specialty mother and baby-care provider, offering end-to-end coverage of all stages of the parenthood journey, beginning with fertility treatments, through maternity, neonatology and paediatrics.
  • KCI’s growth has been impressive, becoming operating EBITDA and CFO positive in recent years. However, it remains unclear as to which business segment or regions are KCI’s largest growth drivers.

Asia HY Monthly – June 2022 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors’ understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.


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