In today’s briefing:
- Global Foods Creators (7559) – Another Stupidly Cheap MBO With Rigged DCF
- Whirlpool Corporation’s Big Exit: What’s Behind the Stake Reduction?
- Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Renewing Strategies for 2025
- Hagihara Industries Inc. (7856 JP) Research update
- Walmex De Mexico (WALMEX *) – Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
- GES: Snapping the Store: Shifting to Spring With Vigor; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT
- Is the Decline in Number of Listed Companies the Beginning of a Shift to Value-Creating Management?

Global Foods Creators (7559) – Another Stupidly Cheap MBO With Rigged DCF
- Today after the close, Global Food Creators (7559 JP) announced that the CEO would sell his 1.23% of the company into an MBO by a company he set up.
- The family company which owns 27%, and he would fund the takeover of the other 73% with 1% equity taken from his share sale, and 99% bank loans.
- The TOB is at 0.65x book for a cash-rich company. Liquidate the cash and the rest is being taken over at 0.33x book. Aaaaargh.
Whirlpool Corporation’s Big Exit: What’s Behind the Stake Reduction?
- Whirlpool Corp (WHR US) plans to sell a 31% stake in Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) reducing ownership to 20% by 2025, triggering a 20% decline due to valuation concerns.
- The implied sale valuation is lower than market expectations, raising concerns about growth, profitability, and stock overvaluation, while the parent company capitalizes on an asset arbitrage opportunity.
- Short-Term stock pressure due to stake sale overhang, declining profitability, and reduced parent control, but potential long-term re-rating if operational performance improves.
Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Renewing Strategies for 2025
- Sumber Alfaria Trijaya is set to book a strong finish to the year, with revenues on track to meet guidance and 4Q benefiting from supplier rebates and seasonal festivities.
- The company is guiding for revenue growth in 2025 in line with that of 2024, with a plan to open at least 1,000 new Alfamart stores during the year.
- The guidance for Lawson and Alfamidi store expansion has yet to be announced but numbers are likely to be similar or higher than 2024. Valuations remain attractive versus growth expectations.
Hagihara Industries Inc. (7856 JP) Research update
- Hagihara Industries reported FY24 (Oct year-end) earnings results on 10 December with FY24 operating profit [OP] of ¥2,097mil (+6.0% YoY) on sales of ¥33,118mil (+6.0% YoY) versus an OP target of ¥2,200mil (+11.2% YoY) on sales of ¥32,000mil (+2.4% YoY).
- While sales overshot the firm’s guidance, OP fell short due to costs associated with a core system renewal and real estate acquisition tax incurred on the Kasaoka Factory.
- Management is guiding for FY25 1H OP of ¥1,160mil (-8.8% YoY) on sales of ¥16,780mil (+2.5% YoY), and FY25 OP of ¥2,400mil (+14.4% YoY) on sales of ¥34,000mil (+2.7% YoY).
Walmex De Mexico (WALMEX *) – Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
- Mexican market attractiveness discussed, focusing on Walmart de Mexico y Centroamerica (Walmex)
- Mexican equities de-rated due to government policies, leading to discounted valuations for quality businesses like Walmex
- Walmex, largest retailer in Mexico and Central America with 3,901 stores, seen as well-run, high-quality business and long-term investment opportunity
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
GES: Snapping the Store: Shifting to Spring With Vigor; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT
- We are reiterating our Buy rating, $23 price target and projections for Guess?
- after visiting stores in the New York City metro area and Long Island.
- With Guess?
Is the Decline in Number of Listed Companies the Beginning of a Shift to Value-Creating Management?
- While the number of listed companies worldwide has been on a declining trend, the TSE has experienced growth in market capitalization, but growth in market capitalization has been slow.
- TSE requested companies to raise their P/B, but admits that many companies have yet to reach this goal and that it’ll take considerable time to change to such management style.
- Shareholder proposals are increasing. This could hasten the shift to value-creating management, or companies that find it burdensome as a cost of listing may choose to go private.
