Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: BeiGene (6160.HK/​ONC US) 2024 Results – The Performance Is Outstanding and more

In today’s briefing:

  • BeiGene (6160.HK/​ONC US) 2024 Results – The Performance Is Outstanding
  • Airtasker Ltd – Media deals drive positive revenue trends
  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Brilliant FY24 Results/Growth To Continue
  • Best Idea of 2025: Medexus Pharmaceuticals
  • Raccoon Holdings, Inc. (3031 JP): Q3 FY04/25 flash update


BeiGene (6160.HK/​ONC US) 2024 Results – The Performance Is Outstanding

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • BeiGene’s 2024 results beat expectations, mainly driven by strong sales growth of BRUKINSA. In 2025, BRUKINSA’s sales would exceed Calquence for the first time.But sales performance of tislelizumab remains lackluster.
  • Based on positive trend, turning losses into profits is just a matter of time. BeiGene is expected to achieve positive GAAP operating income in 2025, which is an inflection point.
  • US$24.5-26.5 billion is the valuation bottom line, below which BeiGene is undervalued. Our forecast is that market value would reach US$37.5 billion. So, there is still upside potential in valuation.

Airtasker Ltd – Media deals drive positive revenue trends

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Airtasker Limited (ASX:ART) is an online marketplace for local services, connecting people and businesses who need work done with people who want to work.
  • ART’s reported H1 FY25 results are messy, with a number of non-cash items including media capital spend distorting reported numbers.
  • On an adjusted basis revenue growth was 11%, with Airtasker marketplace growth closer to 15%.

Plover Bay (1523 HK): Brilliant FY24 Results/Growth To Continue

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported FY24 revenues/profits up 23.9%/35.4% YoY. H2 FY24 revenue/profit growth was steady at 20%/20% YoY.
  • On the conference call, the company did not provide explicit guidance for FY25 but mentioned that growth has been healthy for the six weeks of FY25 and will continue. 
  • Trading at 19x/16.4x FY24/25e (assuming 20% growth and flat margins), with a dividend yield of 5.8% and 10% of the market cap in net cash, the stock is worth exploring.

Best Idea of 2025: Medexus Pharmaceuticals

By Richard Howe

  • Medexus (MDP.TO / MEDXF) is my best idea for 2025. The stock trades at a distressed valuation despite the current launch of a new drug that could double revenue and triple EBITDA within 3 years.
  • I see 100% upside in 2025, but there is the potential for 400% to 500% upside over a three year period.
  • Downside is limited as Medexus has minimal debt (net debt to EBITDA of 0.7x) and a stable base business.

Raccoon Holdings, Inc. (3031 JP): Q3 FY04/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 6.0% YoY to JPY4.6bn, with operating profit up 104.7% YoY to JPY952mn.
  • EC business revenue rose 7.1% YoY to JPY2.6bn, with segment profit increasing 47.4% YoY to JPY915mn.
  • Financial business revenue grew 4.6% YoY to JPY1.9bn, with segment profit up 59.5% YoY to JPY572mn.

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