Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing
  • Plover Bay 1523 HK FY24 Earnings Preview: What Should We Expect in FY25
  • China Consumption Weekly (13 Jan 2025): NEV 2024, Tencent in Blacklist, Energy Monster Going Private
  • Imugene (IMU AU): Pipeline Progresses; Capital Injection to Extend Cash Runway to Late 2025


China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The prices of the construction materials stocks collapsed recently, with China National Building Material (3323 HK) holding firm, thanks to the buyback proposal.
  • A sustained drop in cement prices and continued weakness in fixed asset investment revealed the challenging demand environment, making CNBM’s offer attractive.
  • The buyback price equals 25.7x and 10.8x PERs for FY24F and FY25F, representing a hefty premium over peers. We continue to believe this is a good exit opportunity. 

Plover Bay 1523 HK FY24 Earnings Preview: What Should We Expect in FY25

By Sameer Taneja

  • We preview Plover Bay Technologies’ (1523 HK) FY24 earnings and expect 25% revenue growth and 38% profit growth, aligning with the profit alert’s trends.
  • The company will declare its results on February 27th and hold a conference call to clarify its growth prospects for FY25 (vs our assumption of 20% avg-10 Yr growth)
  • This is a name worth exploring, trading at 16x/14x FY24e/25e, net cash, with >50% ROEs and 5%/6% dividend yields for FY24e/25e. 

China Consumption Weekly (13 Jan 2025): NEV 2024, Tencent in Blacklist, Energy Monster Going Private

By Ming Lu

  • NEV retail deliveries grew by 41% in 2024, higher than 36% in 2023.
  • The US Department of Defense designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company.
  • Smart Share Global plans to go private, as the company has no exclusive advantage.

Imugene (IMU AU): Pipeline Progresses; Capital Injection to Extend Cash Runway to Late 2025

By Tina Banerjee

  • Imugene Ltd (IMU AU) announced dosing of the first Australian patient in the Phase 1b clinical trial of its allogeneic CAR T-cell therapy azer-cel in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.
  • Azer-Cel is one of the few allogeneic CAR T-cell therapies currently being evaluated in Australia. Azer-cel has potential revenue opportunity of $2.5B per annum.
  • Imugene intends to raise A$46M through convertible bonds and warrants. Cost savings initiatives provide cash runway into late 2025. Early-stage pipeline and fund raising requirement make Imugene a risky bet.

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