Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Jensen Got What He Wanted And/Or Pres. Trump Needed a Sweetener for China and more

• Pres Trump authorized sales of H200 to China, with unknown conditions attached.  Not clear who the US will agree to sell to, who in China will be “allowed” to buy
• More clear: H20 was not appealing – too under-powered. H200 is above the threshold at 2x the performance of Huawei Ascend 910C. So, Nvidia could find buyers in China.
• H200 could represent 23% upside to Nvidia 2026 revenues (max). But the stock price moved up 1.7% on Monday, down -0.3% yesterday. The market is concerned by bigger issues.

• InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s 2,000+ flight cancellations expose internal planning failures, triggering regulatory scrutiny and a fall of more than 15% in the stock price. 
• The crisis mandates permanent higher crew costs, challenging the core cost moat, but regulatory dependence shields its 63%+ dominance. 
• Short-Term volatility will persist, yet the long-term outlook remains bullish, supported by unmatched scale and a consolidated market structure.

• Meesho successfully went  public with a Fresh Issue of up to INR4,250 crore. Notably, nearly 44% of the fresh capital is earmarked specifically for deepening its technology and AI moat.
• Unlike traditional search-led e-commerce, Meesho is proving the viability of a “discovery-led” model powered by an immense data engine (5.9 billion daily data points), integrating a high-growth content commerce business. 
• Meesho presents a compelling play on consumption. IPO is not just for funding growth, but for funding AI infrastructure required to defend its “Everyday Low Price” moat against deep-pocketed competitors.

• The somewhat unexpected outperformance in H1 FY3/26 reflects the volatile nature of the shipping industry, and the impact of macro events.
• The stability provided by the Real Estate segment remains a key enabler for IINO Lines’ long-term strategy.
• With a conservative D/E ratio of 0.79x, the Company retains significant financial flexibility to withstand shipping cycle volatility while funding its capital- intensive fleet renewal program. 

• Indian Bank (INBK IN)’s management has aggressively revised its full-year GNPA guidance down to below 2% from previous targets, driven by a best-in-class NNPA ratio of 0.16% in Q2 FY26.
• The sharp reduction in credit costs, management’s confident guidance is amplifying earnings, driving a high RoE of nearly 20%, and attracting substantial, yet still value-seeking, DII flows.
• With asset quality structurally de-risked and the core business growing robustly through high-yielding RAM segments, Indian Bank presents a compelling re-rating candidate.

• In 2026, one of the emerging investment themes will likely be the main value-chain suppliers to SpaceX which is gearing up for a huge IPO next year.
• Seah Besteel Holdings is expected to be one of the specialty steel suppliers to SpaceX. Seah is investing about US$155 million to build a special alloy plant in the US.
• In addition to SpaceX, Seah Besteel Holdings plans to gain additional major US customers including Boeing Co (BA US), Lockheed Martin (LMT US), GE Aerospace, and Pratt & Whitney.

• H1 FY3/26 results demonstrated solid execution, highlighted by visible efficiency gains.
• We believe visibility toward growth acceleration has improved post- Q2; the recovery in Individual Life is gaining momentum, evidenced by accelerating AP growth and improved profitability from tech- driven efficiency initiatives.
• Furthermore, the new partnership with The Kyoto Shinkin Bank clarifies the GCL segment’s growth upside by opening a strategic pathway to the vast domestic bank mortgage market. 

• DraftKings Inc. recently held its third-quarter 2025 earnings call, highlighting both achievements and challenges.
• The company reported $1.144 billion in revenue, growing 4% year-over-year, though this was below their expectations due to unfavorable sports outcomes impacting revenue by over $300 million.
• Despite these challenges, some positive developments were noted.

• Japan’s leading on-site urethane foam insulation installer with strong growth Nippon Aqua Co., Ltd. (hereinafter, the Company) is a high-growth enterprise listed on the Prime Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
• Guided by its management philosophy— “Contribution to society through the creation of living environments that are friendly to people and the earth”—the Company leverages insulation and waterproofing technologies to drive energy efficiency and support a sustainable society.
• It holds the leading domestic share in on-site urethane foam insulation installation and operates its business through three key divisions: Single-family homes, Buildings, and Waterproofing.

• Dominant Market Leader Poised for Diversified Growth: Gabriel India is the flagship company of the ANAND Group and a market leader in ride control products in India, with an 89% market share in the commercial vehicle segment, 32% in two/three-wheelers, and 24% in passenger vehicles. A recent strategic restructuring is set to transform the company from a suspension-focused entity into a diversified mobility solutions provider, integrating businesses in EV drivetrains, automotive fluids, NVH solutions, and sunroofs.
• Strong Financial Performance and Growth Trajectory: The company has demonstrated a robust growth track record, with a 3-year revenue CAGR of 20.35% and a net income CAGR of 39.88%. This financial strength is underpinned by its leadership position, strong OEM relationships, and a vast aftermarket network of over 700 dealers and 12,000 retailers.
• Strategic Pivot to High-Growth Areas: Gabriel is proactively adapting to industry trends by expanding into higher-growth segments. It has a first-mover advantage in the electric two-wheeler (E2W) space, commanding over 70% market share. Furthermore, new joint ventures for sunroofs and EV fluids position the company to capitalize on vehicle premiumization and electrification trends.

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