In today’s briefing:
- Hang Seng Index (HSI) Profit Targets: Has The Rally Topped?
- Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI): IPO Blasts Off With Retail Fuel, But Gravity Hits Late
- Lamda Development — €450m land disposal to ION Group
- Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?
- Intuition Protocol: Building the Internet’s Trust Layer

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Profit Targets: Has The Rally Topped?
- The Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) has been rallying +37% since its plunge to 19260 on April 7th. It is +6% higher than its previous high in mid-March.
- The sentiment towards the index remains positive lately, and our model indicates the HSI is a bit overbought but could go higher.
- The HSI INDEX starts to be toppish around 26874 (75% prob. of reversal). Covering past that point is not a bad idea, especially if the index is up 3-4 weeks.
Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI): IPO Blasts Off With Retail Fuel, But Gravity Hits Late
- Gemini Space Station made a splashy debut on Friday, pricing 15.2 million shares at $28.00, above its upwardly-revised $24-$26 range (originally $17-$19). The stock opened at $37.01.
- Gemini hit an intraday high of $45.89, but selling pressure quickly came in as investors took profits. The stock stabilized in the low $30s, closing at $32.00.
- Retail investors played a central role in the offering, with 31% of shares allocated to individual investors—far above the typical 6–8% seen in traditional deals.
Lamda Development — €450m land disposal to ION Group
LAMDA Development’s agreed disposal of land to ION Group for €450m is a landmark in the long-term development of the Ellinikon project and, if it successfully completes the relevant due diligence process, will underpin the long-term value of the company’s post-Phase 1 (PP1) development plans. We value LAMDA’s existing mall and marina operations plus Phase 1 at around €12.30/share. In addition, investors can take further comfort in the potential value of the PP1 developments, which we originally valued at €9.30/share. LAMDA is due to announce H125 results on 17 September and more detail relating to the ION disposal may be forthcoming at that stage.
Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?
- Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.
- Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.
- Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.
Intuition Protocol: Building the Internet’s Trust Layer
- The report explores Intuition Protocol, a decentralized trust layer designed to solve the internet’s core challenge: how information is discovered, validated, and shared.
- Unlike centralized Web2 platforms or binary prediction markets, Intuition introduces Token Curated Graphs built from Atoms (unique data identifiers) and Triples (relationships between them).
- By aligning economic incentives, social capital, and portable data structures, the protocol turns knowledge into an asset class—one that individuals, communities, and AI agents can own, curate, and monetize.
