In today’s briefing:
- ICICI Prudential AMC – Reasonably Priced for the Longer Term.
- From Free Banking to Stablecoins: A Historical Parallel for the US Dollar
- Developed Market (DM) Exchanges – 2026 High Conviction Calls
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- Primer: Columbia Banking System (COLB US) – Dec 2025
- Howard Hughes Holdings: An Inside Look at Its Rising Property Values
- Phoenix Spree Deutschland — Further progress with releasing value
- LMND: Initiating Coverage; From Code to Coverage

ICICI Prudential AMC – Reasonably Priced for the Longer Term.
- Ipru AMC, the largest AMC with high active AUM share and 60+% of Equity AUM boasts of one of the best operating metrics in the industry.
- The IPO is being priced in line with peers based on FY25 accounting PE (40x vs 40-44x), however, based on Core PE the relative valuations stands at 40x vs 48/52x
- We are bullish on the industry/company from a long-term perspective, although near-term valuations may look fully priced in light of regulatory tightening of profit pool and intensifying competition.
From Free Banking to Stablecoins: A Historical Parallel for the US Dollar
- The recent turbulence in the crypto-native stablecoins, marked by de-pegging and liquidations, exposes vulnerabilities in reserve management and a lack of capacity to handle “bank runs”.
- These vulnerabilities are a replica of the “wildcat banking” that occurred during the “free banking era” in the US.
- This era was characterized by state-chartered banks issuing notes with diverse and inconsistent practices, leading to discounts on notes circulated outside the issuing state, and instability from fraudulent or under-reserved banks.
Developed Market (DM) Exchanges – 2026 High Conviction Calls
- LSEG’s share price has performed poorly in 2025 due to AI disruption concerns relating to its data and analytics business; we believe LSEG can fend off this risk of disruption
- In our view, LSEG’s data and analytics segment harbours a defensive moat shielding it from potential disrupters; we believe LSEG shares are deep value relative to its DM exchange peers
- We keep our buy on flow monster CME Group for its dominant franchise – despite FMX – in its trading and post-trading operations dedicated to interest rates and other products
Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Seazen Group, Nickel Industries
- UST yields were stable yesterday, with long-end yields rising marginally despite a decent auction of 30Y notes (which stopped through marginally, at 4.773% award vs. the 4.774% when-issued yield).
- The yield on the 2Y UST was unchanged at 3.54%, while the yield on the 10Y UST rose 1 bp to 4.16%. Equities were mixed, as tech stocks declined on disappointing earnings from Oracle Corp. The S&P 500 rose 0.2% to 6,901, while the Nasdaq declined 0.3% to 23,594.
Primer: Columbia Banking System (COLB US) – Dec 2025
- Transformed Scale and Market Position: Following its merger with Umpqua Holdings in early 2023, Columbia Banking System has emerged as a leading regional bank in the Western U.S., with over $50 billion in assets. This increased scale provides the resources and sophistication of a larger institution while maintaining a community-focused, relationship-banking model.
- Strategic Repositioning for Higher Quality Earnings: The bank is actively shifting its loan portfolio away from transactional, lower-margin assets towards relationship-driven commercial and industrial (C&I) lending. This strategy, coupled with an expanding suite of non-interest income services like treasury management and wealth advisory, aims to create more durable, high-quality earnings streams and improve net interest margins (NIM).
- Attractive Shareholder Returns Profile: COLB offers a compelling dividend yield, currently standing at 4.92%, which is significantly above the market average. The company has a track record of consistent dividend payouts and growth, supported by a manageable payout ratio, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors.
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Howard Hughes Holdings: An Inside Look at Its Rising Property Values
- Howard Hughes Holdings’ third-quarter 2025 results showcased a balanced performance, with both promising advancements and cautious considerations across its different business segments.
- On the positive side, Howard Hughes reported a strong quarter in its Master Planned Communities (MPC) segment, achieving a record $205 million in earnings before taxes (EBT), primarily driven by robust land sales in Summerlin.
- The sale of 319 acres, including a significant 231-acre bulk sale, although below the company’s average price per acre due to the lack of required upfront infrastructure, contributed notably to the quarterly performance.
Phoenix Spree Deutschland — Further progress with releasing value
Phoenix Spree Deutschland (PSD) has completed the refinancing of its debt facilities, a significant step forward in its orderly wind-down and managed realisation strategy and paving the way for capital to be returned to shareholders. With condominium sales continuing to run ahead of plan, the company expects to launch a programme of compulsory pro rata share redemptions, settled in cash, starting in 2026.
LMND: Initiating Coverage; From Code to Coverage
- Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE: LMND) is a full-stack digital insurance carrier that has built its entire operation—from underwriting to claims—on artificial intelligence (AI) since inception.
- Founded in 2015 and publicly traded on the NYSE, the company sells renters, homeowners, pet, auto, and life insurance through a single mobile app.
- Its AI chatbots can bind policies in as little as 90 seconds and settle straightforward claims in minutes, with more than 55% of claims now processed without human adjusters.

