Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: 2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Most Reliable Timing Models and more

In today’s briefing:

  • 2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Most Reliable Timing Models
  • Celebrate the Season of Saturnalia


2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Most Reliable Timing Models

By Cam Hui

  • Instead of giving you a fish for the day, we are offering to teach you how to fish.
  • Our high conviction idea for 2026 and beyond consists of five U.S. equity market timing models with near 100% reliability and differing time horizons.
  • In addition, investors can consider two timing models with strong success rates, but will need some degree of risk management.

Celebrate the Season of Saturnalia

By Cam Hui

  • The market is exhibiting number signs of a sustainable risk-on tone, which should carry the stock market rally into year-end and possibly into January.
  • Market internals point to the an internal rotation, led by small-caps,  as a source of leadership.
  • Despite the recent AI-related wipeout of technology names, market internals of tech stocks remains  constructive and could see a recovery in the near  future.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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