Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: The Long-Overdue NIFTY Index Rally: Let’s Talk About PROFIT TARGETS and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The Long-Overdue NIFTY Index Rally: Let’s Talk About PROFIT TARGETS
  • EQD Intraday | Tariff Tantrum Impact on Intraday Volatility
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): $18.1bn Inflows
  • S&P/ASX 200 Flashes a Strong Tactical BUY Signal
  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Skc


The Long-Overdue NIFTY Index Rally: Let’s Talk About PROFIT TARGETS

By Nico Rosti

  • The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) has been pullingback for 5 consecutive months. However the index may be at a juncture where it could start to rally and rise again.
  • This insight discusses the short-term (WEEKLY, for the next few weeks) tactical profit targets for the NIFTY.
  • According to our NIFTY WEEKLY model, the index has a good chance to reverse and go higher, as long as Trump suddenly does not put some tariffs also on India!

EQD Intraday | Tariff Tantrum Impact on Intraday Volatility

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • This Insight presents intraday data to illustrate regional volatility moves over the past one and a half trading days. 
  • Sunday’s US tariff announcement led to a global decline in equities and a spike in volatility on Monday. Asian indices began to recover today with a slight decrease in volatility.
  • Market reaction to Sunday’s announcement was short-lived, so far, and the impact on implied volatility muted. The risk of a renewed volatility spike to or above Monday’s intraday high’s remains.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): $18.1bn Inflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight inflows into Tencent, SMIC, ICBC, China Mobile, Xiaomi and outflows from Meituan.

S&P/ASX 200 Flashes a Strong Tactical BUY Signal

By Nico Rosti

  • The S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) last week closed up, reached an 8566.90 all time high peak on Jan 31st, then began a sharp pullback this Monday.
  • The pullback has just begun, but has already reached the WEEKLY OVERSOLD area (50% probability of reversal) according to out PRICE model
  • If the pullback continues this week or the next, we see it as a strong BUY opportunity, the index’s uptrend can continue after the pullback.

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Skc

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jan 31st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Skc.

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