In today’s briefing:
- Ohayo Japan | Small Gains: Record Closes
- EP: 126 NVIDIA/AMD Back in China! TSMC Earnings, and Agentic AI Causes Total Infra Upgrade
- HK Banks – Credit Growth Improves, but Property Worsening. LDR Continues to Move Lower.
- Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape for Semi’s with AI up and Power and Industrial Down Further
- India’s GCCs: From $64B Cost Centers to $116B Innovation Powerhouses

Ohayo Japan | Small Gains: Record Closes
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite achieved record closes Thursday, rising 0.1% to and 0.2% to respectively
- Alphabet rising 1% after beating earnings and revenue expectations; Tesla declined 8% as auto revenue fell for the second consecutive quarter.
- Bandai Namco and Sony announced a strategic business alliance, with Sony acquiring 16 million Bandai Namco shares from existing shareholders for approximately 68 billion yen, giving Sony a 2.5% stake
EP: 126 NVIDIA/AMD Back in China! TSMC Earnings, and Agentic AI Causes Total Infra Upgrade
- Discussion with Josh Lipton about the resolution of companies not being locked out of China
- Jensen and Lisa Su lobbying for their businesses in China
- Political implications and progress in US-China trade relations
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HK Banks – Credit Growth Improves, but Property Worsening. LDR Continues to Move Lower.
- There are some improvements in HK domestic credit growth, but not in the key property sector, which continues to see contraction, at worsening pace
- LDR contraction in HK is another concern, for NIM, core interest income, while China credit metrics remain a concern – not only domestic HK.
- Singapore banks also exposed to HK and to Mainland China, it is not only HK local banks which bear this risk. Chailease from Taiwan is another good example.
Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape for Semi’s with AI up and Power and Industrial Down Further
- STM adds to the gloom for power semis after surprise loss and -16% drop. Fuji Elec and Renesas report today in Japan.
- Dow -18% after tariff uncertainty hist exports sending peers lower. Watch Shin Etsu despite its more PVC focus.
- Intel’s new CEO struggling to turn the ship around with a competitive AI offering still a ways off.
India’s GCCs: From $64B Cost Centers to $116B Innovation Powerhouses
- India’s GCCs evolved: 15% cost arbitrage, 50% skill arbitrage, 35% innovation-led growth model
- Market boom: 1,352 deals worth $56B in 2024, office space expanding from 245M to 300M+ sq ft by 2027
- Growth metrics: Revenue jumped from $11.5B (2010) to $64.6B (2024), talent pool reached 1.9M+ people
