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Equity Bottom-Up Archives | Page 86 of 222 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Travelsky (696): Time to Fly and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Travelsky (696): Time to Fly
  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Export Restrictions Add to Uncertainty
  • Infineon Technologies: Top European Semi Player At A Discount.
  • [Bilibili(BILI US, SELL, TP US$12.3)Update]: Still Struggling to Balance Growth and Monetization
  • Oriental Land: A Potential Beat Next Quarter, but Unrealistic Consensus for Long-Term
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Japan Semi Restrictions Take Effect; Apple IPhone Volumes; Hon Hai Acquisition
  • Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK) Vs Pharmaron Beijing (3759.HK) – Deep Dive the Logic and the Outlook
  • Pounding the Table on EPAM
  • Santen Pharmaceutical (4536 JP): Aims to Ride Patent Cliff Through Focus on Improving Profitability
  • Visa Earnings: Business Momentum Is Likely To Be Sustained, But Clouds Are Gathering


Travelsky (696): Time to Fly

By Henry Soediarko

  • Share price of Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) is still down YTD as investors are still overly cautious on Chinese travel data. 
  • YTD operational data shows that the number of flights processed is very close to the pre-COVID era. 
  • The company announced a profit alert recently, that should help to boost share price. 

Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Export Restrictions Add to Uncertainty

By Scott Foster

  • Japan’s new restrictions on exports of semiconductor production equipment to China are a potential threat to Screen.
  • TSMC’s announcement that 2023 capex is likely to be at the low end of the forecast range is another negative. 
  • Share price consolidation should continue until guidance is lowered or verified.

Infineon Technologies: Top European Semi Player At A Discount.

By Alexis Dwek

  • Infineon benefits from a strong market position in an industry with high barriers to entry.
  • The Company’s backlog of €36bn, representing over 2x annual revenues, reduces the impact of end-market volatility. 
  • Silicon carbide, the material for semiconductor wafers, is becoming more prevalent. Infineon is well on track to have a material cost advantage and better technology versus its silicon carbide competitors.

[Bilibili(BILI US, SELL, TP US$12.3)Update]: Still Struggling to Balance Growth and Monetization

By Shawn Yang

  • We were invited to BILI’s 2023 investor day, during which BILI management presented several catalysts. 
  • However, most of these catalysts appear to be minor. BILI management is fully aware of the challenges in the industry.
  • We maintain a SELL rating, and investors may consider shorting BILI after <Uma Musume> is launched.

Oriental Land: A Potential Beat Next Quarter, but Unrealistic Consensus for Long-Term

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • There is a possibility that Oriental Land (4661 JP)‘s revenue and OP in 1QFY24 could surpass the consensus estimates by 8% and 21%, respectively.
  • However, the outlook for the next three quarters may be different, as consensus appears inflated with annual OP expectations of ¥154.5bn compared to the company’s guidance of ¥122bn.
  • We find medium term consensus expectations unrealistic, leading to potential downside for Oriental Land. We expect FY+2 EV/OP to decline from 46x to 20-30x.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Japan Semi Restrictions Take Effect; Apple IPhone Volumes; Hon Hai Acquisition

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Japan’s semiconductor technology export restrictions took effect on Sunday and are unlikely to ease for China any time soon.
  • Apple is reportedly telling suppliers that its flagship iPhone volumes will be similar to last year.
  • Hon Hai acquires 50% stake in German auto chassis maker, marking a significant expansion in its EV manufacturing efforts.

Asymchem Laboratories (6821.HK) Vs Pharmaron Beijing (3759.HK) – Deep Dive the Logic and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Understanding the essential differences in business characteristics of CRO and CDMO could help investors better understand the differences between Asymchem and Pharmaron in terms of investment logic, financial performance, and prospects.
  • Since Pharmaron didn’t obtain COVID-19 big orders, it would maintain normal revenue growth in 2023. However, increasing labor costs and uncontrollable investment business would lead to unsatisfactory net profit performance.
  • Asymchem’s performance would be disappointing in 2023. However, its growth momentum is expected to restore after it digest the impact of COVID-19 orders. Then, Asymchem’s valuation could surpass Pharmaron afterwards. 

Pounding the Table on EPAM

By Value Punks

  • As most AI heavyweight stocks (e.g. Nvidia, Microsoft) have already soared, some investors may be left feeling that they have missed the AI bandwagon.
  • We believe there’s a delayed “AI winner” which the market is still sleeping on: EPAM Systems.
  • With the stock back at ~$230, the risk-reward here is highly attractive in our view.

Santen Pharmaceutical (4536 JP): Aims to Ride Patent Cliff Through Focus on Improving Profitability

By Tina Banerjee

  • Santen Pharmaceutical (4536 JP) expects generic competition for mainstay product in Japan in FY24, while overseas business should continue stable growth. The company guided for FY24 revenue of ¥273B (-2%).
  • Due to the absence of impairment loss, Santen is expected to report operating profit of ¥32B in FY24 from an operating loss of ¥3B in FY23.
  • Santen has unveiled new medium-term management plan, which calls for revenue of ¥280B, core operating profit of ¥56B, core ROE ratio of 13%, and core EPS growth rate of 10%+.

Visa Earnings: Business Momentum Is Likely To Be Sustained, But Clouds Are Gathering

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Visa continues to deliver as the company fully capitalizes on recent macroeconomic and industry-wide tailwinds.
  • The expectations for the upcoming quarter are high and the second half of the fiscal year is also likely to be more challenging.
  • This creates certain risks for the share price that are not necessarily priced in at the moment.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Meilan Airport (357 HK): Mixed Takeaways from Conversations with the Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Meilan Airport (357 HK): Mixed Takeaways from Conversations with the Company
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of ‘Storm’ Passed (July 2023)
  • Harvesting Gains


Meilan Airport (357 HK): Mixed Takeaways from Conversations with the Company

By Eric Chen

  • We had a chance talking to the company about key topics about outlook of passenger traffic, recovery of duty-free sales and details about the arbitration.
  • The takeaway is mixed as we see both positives and negatives relative to our expectations.
  • We cut our forecast of 2023 net profit from RMB400 million to RMB300 million and expect the earnings to be back-end loaded.

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of ‘Storm’ Passed (July 2023)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Rates remain depressed but stable, and easier Y/Y comps will arrive in late Summer
  • Fuel costs should be a tailwind in Q2 results; Danish giant Maersk reports on August 4th
  • We expect Q2/H1 results to support our view that the worst of the storm has passed

Harvesting Gains

By subSPAC

  • In the past several years, the agricultural market has been subject to escalating uncertainty, catalyzed by a triad of disruptive forces, including a global pandemic, the geopolitical uncertainty exemplified by the ongoing war in Ukraine, and unpredictable climatic events leading to droughts and diminished yields.
  • These factors have injected volatility into the market, causing prices to move unpredictably due to periods of shortages and excess supply. 
  • Despite the volatility, however, prices remain on a long-term upward trajectory.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Rohm (6963): Investment in Toshiba Rounds Out Long-Term Plans and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Rohm (6963): Investment in Toshiba Rounds Out Long-Term Plans
  • TSMC: 2023 Guidance Reduction Excuse To Take Profit? Guidance Also Affirmed Long-Term Bullishness
  • [Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$50) Preview]: Monetization Is On-Track Amid Competitive Pressure
  • Itau Unibanco Holding S.A.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • Monolithic Power Systems Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Product Portfolio
  • HDFC Bank: Seasonality Impacts Q1 Growth, But All Is Well
  • 2023 High Conviction Update | Polycab: Played Out As Anticipated, Now Time to Exit
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.21) – New Growth Points by NDRC, License-In Model Isn’t Outdated, Intco
  • Discover Financial Services: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • America Movil ADR: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers


Rohm (6963): Investment in Toshiba Rounds Out Long-Term Plans

By Scott Foster

  • As expected, Rohm has decided to invest ¥300 billion in the JIP-led buyout of Toshiba: ¥100 billion in voting equity shares and ¥200 billion in non-voting preferred shares. 
  • This would make Toshiba an equity-method affiliate of Rohm, facilitating synergetic cooperation in power semiconductors. The investment is large, but Rohm would still have a sound balance sheet.
  • Rohm also plans to buy Solar Frontier’s Kunitomi factory to meet SiC power device capacity requirements through 2030. Investors can now focus on profit growth, which should resume next year.

TSMC: 2023 Guidance Reduction Excuse To Take Profit? Guidance Also Affirmed Long-Term Bullishness

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC reduced 2023 revenue guidance when it reported results during the week. A weaker than expected economy in China and general economic weakness was blamed.
  • However, the company’s results beat Street expectations and management maintained its long-term gross margin guidance of 53%+, which implies the company maintaining a structurally higher margin.
  • Shares fell after results on a profit taking excuse — We however note that latest guidance also reaffirmed multi-year strength ahead. Structural Long.

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, SELL, TP HK$50) Preview]: Monetization Is On-Track Amid Competitive Pressure

By Shawn Yang

  • We expect Kuaishou to report C2Q23 revenue and non-IFRS net income that are in-line and 27% vs consensus, respectively.
  • We slightly cut our revenue forecast for live streaming but increased our revenue forecast for online ads. Kuaishou’s margin beat is mainly due to efficient cost control, especially in overseas.
  • Kuaishou still has several minor positive catalysts, but WeChat Video Accounts is the major short thesis in the long run. We raise EPS forecasts, but maintain SELL.

Itau Unibanco Holding S.A.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on one of the largest private sector banks in Brazil, Itau Unibanco.
  • The loan portfolio showcased growth despite signs of a slowdown, with the SMEs loan portfolio registering an increase of 9.2% for Q1 2023 compared to Q1 2022.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. with a ‘Hold’ rating.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Product Portfolio

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Monolithic Power Systems, one of the largest semiconductor-based equipment companies.
  • Revenue from communications also increased due to a slight increase in revenue from the 5G infrastructure.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. with a ‘Hold’ rating.

HDFC Bank: Seasonality Impacts Q1 Growth, But All Is Well

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) reported weak QoQ growth in deposits and advances. This is however temporary due to seasonality. The growth trajectory for rest of the year remains intact. 
  • HDFCB continues to invest aggressively into expanding its geographical presence to drive growth. Benign credit cost enables investments without impacting the ROA.
  • HDFC Ltd (“HDFC”) has been also merged into HDFCB effective Jul 1. The merged entity is carrying sufficient liquidity at 120%+ LCR to meet the additional CRR and SLR needs.

2023 High Conviction Update | Polycab: Played Out As Anticipated, Now Time to Exit

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • We published on Polycab as our 2023 high conviction idea on Dec 25 2022. Since then, the stock has been up 75%+, exceeding our 65%+ upside FY26 target.
  • The steep rise was probably driven by strong earnings growth on the back of upbeat demand environment led by healthy domestic capex, rising exports and robust housing demand.
  • At the current valuation, Polycab is richly valued and we assign a “SELL” rating. Polycab’s current market cap at INR 68700cr+ is well above our FY26 projection of INR 63500cr+.

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.21) – New Growth Points by NDRC, License-In Model Isn’t Outdated, Intco

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • NDRC issued “Guiding Catalogue for Industrial Structure Adjustment“. The newly proposed adjustments deserve investors’ attention, because they are the areas where investors could receive excess returns in China healthcare.
  • Obtaining assets from external sources remains paramount for MNCs. License-in mode isn’t outdated. As long as companies can make money, the ways to acquire assets can be diversified.
  • Intco’s performance/stock price has bottomed out, and would gradually resume growth/rebound afterwards. Its market value would return to RMB20-30 billion. Intco would achieve a distress reversal, with attractive investment value.

Discover Financial Services: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Discover Financial Services, a prominent consumer finance company.
  • Net interest income grew significantly, supported by an expanding net interest margin driven by higher prime rates.
  • Additionally, the company introduced Discover Financial Health Improvement Fund to improve the financial well-being of low- and middle-income individuals, communities, and small enterprises.

America Movil ADR: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Latin American telecom major, America Movil.
  • Growth in prepaid and postpaid subscriptions remained steady, contributing to an 8.3% expansion in the postpaid base and a 5.3% increase in the prepaid base.
  • Despite a 4.6% year-on-year decrease in Q2 revenue due to the Mexican peso’s appreciation against other currencies, the company still posted MXN 203 billion in revenue, with service revenues declining by 4.2%.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC Sees Continued Weakness and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC Sees Continued Weakness, and EUV’s Quandary (ASML)
  • Nippon Paint (Part I): A Deep Dive into NP’s Japan Business
  • Voltronic Power: Rising Up the Ranks
  • Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT): Besremi Revenue Is Recovering; Fund Raising Through GDS Completed
  • Digital Realty Trust: A Dividend Growth Investor’s Pal
  • OpGen – Feasibility milestone from FIND collaboration
  • Wheaton Precious Metals – Honing Q223 forecasts


TSMC Sees Continued Weakness, and EUV’s Quandary (ASML)

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • TSMC reported earnings. They beat Q2 estimates, but importantly they guided down Q3 and FY 2023 estimates.
  • The Q2 beat was widely expected regarding revenue, given that TSMC reports monthly revenue, but the Q3 guide was not.
  • The midpoint of the guidance has the year-over-year decline decelerating, which I didn’t expect. Moreover, the -10% annual guide throws some water on the second-half recovery. Yes, the second half will be higher than the first, but the recovery is much more muted than historical. And what’s more, margins are looking worse for N3 than a typical node.

Nippon Paint (Part I): A Deep Dive into NP’s Japan Business

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • This is the First of a series of reports on Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) and in this insight, we deep dive into the company’s Japanese business.
  • The automotive coating biz in Japan is heavily reliant on the domestic automotive market while decorative paints is facing challenges due to slowdown in population in the country.
  • The outlook for Japan biz remains stagnant with growth rates slowing down and margins on a downward trend.

Voltronic Power: Rising Up the Ranks

By Steven Holden

  • Ownership levels in Voltronic Power Technology rise as EM funds open new positions.
  • A record 15.7% of EM long-only funds own a position, with Wasatch and Morgan Stanley among the high conviction holders.
  • Voltronic Power Technology is now the 12th most widely owned stock in Taiwan and the 7th most overweighted company.  

Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT): Besremi Revenue Is Recovering; Fund Raising Through GDS Completed

By Tina Banerjee

  • Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) has reported record-high revenue of NT$509 million for June 2023, representing growth of 84% YoY and 22% MoM, mainly driven by its sole marketed product Besremi.
  • Besremi got marketing approval in Japan this year. Besremi’s marketing application is also under review process in China, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Malaysia.
  • In April, Pharmaessentia has raised $462.74M through the issuance of 34M GDS to accelerate commercialization of Besremi and global clinical trials. The company has also announced NT$9.6B equity buyback program.

Digital Realty Trust: A Dividend Growth Investor’s Pal

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Digital Realty Trust, Inc. is executing a phenomenal strategy, with additional pipeline developments coming online soon.
  • Digital Realty is faced with cyclical valuation concerns, we think they will be short-lived.
  • Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:DLR) presents an interesting talking point

OpGen – Feasibility milestone from FIND collaboration

By Edison Investment Research

OpGen has announced that Curetis (its German subsidiary) has met its objectives agreed under its extended R&D collaboration with FIND (a global non-profit alliance for diagnostics), triggering a $0.2m milestone payment to OpGen. Under the expanded scope of the feasibility study for the Unyvero A30 RQ platform, OpGen was required to provide three more deliverables: an antimicrobial stewardship module, a ‘data everywhere’ concept and next-generation sequencing (NGS) strain analysis. While successful completion of the feasibility stage supports Unyvero A30’s applicability in low-to-middle income countries (LMICs), it also paves the way for a subsequent R&D agreement with FIND in developing LMIC-specific Unyvero A30 antimicrobial resistance (AMR) solutions. We await further details from management on the next potential steps of the collaboration.


Wheaton Precious Metals – Honing Q223 forecasts

By Edison Investment Research

Ahead of Wheaton Precious Metals’ (WPM’s) Q223 results, scheduled for 10 August, we have honed our forecasts to reflect, principally (1) Newmont’s suspension of mining at Penasquito since 8 June, (2) updated metals prices, (3) estimated production from Salobo in the light of Vale’s Q223 production and sales report (released on 18 July) and (4) the closure of the Minto mine on 13 May. As a result, we have reduced our Q223 basic EPS forecast by 5 US cents per share to 28 cents per share and our FY23 adjusted basic EPS by 8 cents per share (or 6.1%) to 124 cents per share.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nidec (6594) | Big Revision Down to E-Axle Sales and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Nidec (6594) | Big Revision Down to E-Axle Sales
  • Pinduoduo (PDD US): Resetting Expectations
  • Yakult: Yakult 1000 Could Deliver a Surprise Yet Again
  • Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – In Ramping Up Mode
  • China Resources Beer (291 HK):  High Visibility; Steady Growth; Reasonable Valuation
  • ASML. Sanctions? Moi?
  • Acer Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Cementing a Positive Performance
  • Huawei Launches AI for Commercial Use in Mining Sector
  • SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Starts 2023 on Strong Note; Unveils New Mid to Long-Term Strategy
  • United Arrows Plans to Double Sales in 10 Years but 2x OPM May Come Sooner


Nidec (6594) | Big Revision Down to E-Axle Sales

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nidec reported strong Q1 results – operating profit of ¥60.2 billion (+35% YoY), significantly above Street expectations of ¥45 billion
  • The big positive was a rebound in profitability following successful structural cost cuts last year. The key negative is a cut to unit shipments for key growth driver, E-axles. 
  • We remain bearish for now given valuation of 25x EV/EBIT.  We are not sure that the new growth driver in Motion & Energy will offset lowered expectations for EVs. 

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Resetting Expectations

By Eric Chen

  • We think the tailwinds of China’s consumption downgrade for PDD are overblown, while TEMU will be more of a drag than a support for bottom-line in quarters ahead.
  • 2Q results to be announced next month will finally validate our thesis on the company’s earnings risk which we flagged back in last December.  
  • The markets have been pricing in a sharp slowdown after a short-lived euphoria around its seemingly strong 1Q results, yet downside surprises could still catch investors off guard. Stay neutral.

Yakult: Yakult 1000 Could Deliver a Surprise Yet Again

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Market expectations for Yakult’s 1QFY24 earnings seem weak, with consensus looking light, and the share price currently lingering near the lower boundary of the minus 2x trend channel.
  • Therefore, we believe that even a minor earnings beat next week could potentially drive Yakult Honsha (2267 JP)‘s share price back up to the ¥10,000 level.
  • We anticipate that Yakult 1000 has the potential to drive that earnings beat, as it is projected to grow by as much as 65% YoY this quarter.

Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ) – In Ramping Up Mode

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Erajaya recently released its 1Q2023 results with net sales increasing by +29% YoY but with -20.5% decrease in net profit due to increased opex related to its expansion and inventory build.
  • The company plans to add 400 new outlets this year, lower than last year’s 575, as it ramps up its newer stores, which should help to improve profitability in 2H2023.
  • Erajaya continues to add to its stable of brands outside mobile handsets, including JD Sports, Wellings, Grand Lucky, The Face Shop, Paris Baguette, and has launched EraBlue with Mobile World.

China Resources Beer (291 HK):  High Visibility; Steady Growth; Reasonable Valuation

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) is a USD21bn red-chip company, and the largest beer company in China in terms of sales volume.
  • The company is a perfect fit for the GARP (growth at a reasonable price) strategy, and visibility in earnings is also high for the next 3-5 years.
  • Weak sentiment in H-share stocks and in overall China macro/consumption numbers provide a good entry opportunity for the stock.  

ASML. Sanctions? Moi?

By William Keating

  • FY’23 growth forecast increased despite push outs in the EUV order book and lower than expected IBB revenues.
  • Broad-Based recovery is now looking more like a H1’24 scenario with lingering uncertainty as to how it quickly it will unfold thereafter
  • System sales to China increased from 8% of revenues in Q1’23 to 24% in Q2’23. Non-China DUV order cancellations are being snapped up by China at an unprecedented rate. 

Acer Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Cementing a Positive Performance

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Ace Hardware‘s June SSSG confirmed very strong growth momentum and the positive impact of its BOOM sale, with headline SSSG at +10.7% YoY, after a flat post-Lebaran performance in May.
  • The company’s strategy of using influencers to promote the company has been a great success for its #Bisakejadian campaign, and BOOM sale with foot traffic continuing to improve at stores.
  • Ace Hardware plans to step up its store expansion and ramp up new store formats to drive growth, with up to 15 new stores this year. Valuations are attractive.

Huawei Launches AI for Commercial Use in Mining Sector

By Caixin Global

  • Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd. on Tuesday launched the first commercial use of its artificial intelligence (AI) large language model (LLM) Pangu for the mining industry, as it seeks to make use of the next-generation technology to improve the sector’s safety and productivity.
  • Developed in partnership with state-owned Shandong Energy Group Co. Ltd. and its unit Yunding Technology Co. Ltd. (000409.SH), the Pangu Mine Model has been deployed in the coal giant’s mines in East China’s Shandong province, Huawei said in a press release Wednesday.
  • It also touted the launch as the world’s first commercial large AI model for the energy sector.

SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Starts 2023 on Strong Note; Unveils New Mid to Long-Term Strategy

By Tina Banerjee

  • In 1Q23, SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd (326030 KS) recorded Xcopri U.S. revenue of KRW53.9B, up 70% YoY and 8% QoQ. Xcopri growth is expected to accelerate in US in H2.
  • The company’s operating loss narrowed to KRW23B in 1Q23, recording the lowest level excluding the one-off sales, compared with operating loss of KRW45B in 4Q22 and KRW37B in 1Q22.
  • The company is looking for Xcopri revenue of KRW300B in 2023. With stable cash generation and expansion into three new modalities, SKBP aims to become a $15B company by 2026.

United Arrows Plans to Double Sales in 10 Years but 2x OPM May Come Sooner

By Michael Causton

  • United Arrows (7606 JP) is a bellwether retailer for the premium fashion sector.
  • Its slow initial recovery after the pandemic worried many but the last year saw a solid improvement, even if sales are still well below the peak.
  • Following rationalisation, the fashion firm has now put in place plans to double sales to ¥250 billion in the next decade and we expect a return to 10% OPM.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact
  • Hysan Dev. 14 HK: Lack of Visible Catalyst with Low Trading Liquidity, Limited Re-Rating Potential
  • Imugene (IMU AU): Got US Patent for Oncolytic Virotherapy- A Crucial Step Forward for US Entry
  • ChipMOS: Results Ahead & Key Clients for Display and Memory Signal a Turn Around Is Happening
  • [iQIYI (IQ US, BUY, TP US$6.25) Rating Change]: Competitive Advantage Is Established, Raise to BUY
  • MillerKnoll, Inc. – Refreshing Estimates and Presenting New Model
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results Today; ASML Beats & Raises; AMD in Taiwan Sparking Rallies
  • Nano Dimension – Tender offer for Stratasys extended again
  • Carly Holdings Limited – Fleet Expansion Has Driven Revenue
  • Numinus Wellness, Inc. – A Quarter of Strong Growth; Focus on Cash Burn Reduction


Money Forward: Non-BO Margin on a Decline and Upcoming Fee Revision to Have Negative Impact

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Money Forward (3994 JP) reported 2QFY11/2023 results yesterday. Revenue increased 43.5% YoY to ¥7.3bn (vs consensus ¥7.18bn) while operating losses dropped to ¥1.58bn vs ¥2.15bn in 2QFY11/22 (vs consensus ¥1.65bn).
  • 2Q revenues were within its guidance of ¥7.1-7.4bn and MF has revised its FY11/23E guidance upward based on the progress made during the first half of the year.
  • MF’s non-BO business margins continue to decline, and the plan to revise price plans for sole proprietors in December should result in attrition and further increase in advertising spend.

Hysan Dev. 14 HK: Lack of Visible Catalyst with Low Trading Liquidity, Limited Re-Rating Potential

By Jacob Cheng

  • In this insight, we conducted fundamental analysis and look at major share price drivers for Hysan Development, who is a major landlord in Hong Kong
  • Hysan Development has a simple business model and owns a retail/office portfolio in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.  Its retail properties are largely tourist-centric
  • Despite trading at attractive valuation, the stock has low trading liquidity.  Also there is no visible catalyst which means there is little chance for re-rating for the stock

Imugene (IMU AU): Got US Patent for Oncolytic Virotherapy- A Crucial Step Forward for US Entry

By Tina Banerjee

  • Imugene Ltd (IMU AU) got US patent for its oncolytic virotherapy CF33 products, including VAXINIA and CHECKVacc. The patent protects the method of composition and use of CF33 until 2037.
  • Imugene has appointed two-decade experienced Dr Ron Weitzman as Interim Chief Medical Officer. Dr Weitzman’s expertise in solid-tumor and hematologic malignancies is of particular interest for Imugene.
  • Imugene is actively recruiting patients for its five ongoing clinical trials. The company has a strong balance sheet holding more than A$150 million in cash, providing a runway through 2025.

ChipMOS: Results Ahead & Key Clients for Display and Memory Signal a Turn Around Is Happening

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We had a call with ChipMOS management about their latest long-term R&D efforts and drivers. 
  • We see many of the company’s key clients’ businesses turning a corner, hence see these developments likely to benefit ChipMOS.
  • The company will be reporting earnings on August 3rd, we have an Outperform rating for the shares. Could see some continued margin weakness, however we believe forward outlook is improving.

[iQIYI (IQ US, BUY, TP US$6.25) Rating Change]: Competitive Advantage Is Established, Raise to BUY

By Shawn Yang

  • We raise iQIYI’s membership/ads growth in 2Q23 from 12.9%/10.6% to 15.7%/22.4% YoY because of high quality content and recovery of major advertisers.
  • We upgrade iQIYI’s rating to BUY because:1) iQIYI exhibits advantages in content quality and production capabilities. 2) Major advertisers are expected to increase their advertising budgets continuously.
  • Emergency of mini drama is another variable for the Chinese online video industry. However, we anticipate the impact on iQIYI is relatively limited currently.

MillerKnoll, Inc. – Refreshing Estimates and Presenting New Model

By Water Tower Research

  • Herein we revise and update MLKN estimates following MillerKnoll’s FY23 earnings report and FY24 guidance.

  • Our 1QFY24 diluted non-GAAP EPS estimate is now $0.20, down $0.10 from our previous (reduced) $0.30 estimate.

  • Our FY24 annual estimate is now $1.82 (down from $2.00), below the midpoint of the $1.70-$2.00 management outlook.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results Today; ASML Beats & Raises; AMD in Taiwan Sparking Rallies

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC will report its 2Q23 results today in the afternoon Taiwan time. Look for key readthroughs from the company in terms of robustness of the AI boom and PC recovery.
  • AMD’s Chairman and CEO arrived in Taiwan and met with key supply chain partners — Related stocks are surging; ASML beat expectations and raised its guidance.
  • Taiwan AI,  PC-linked, and AMD-linked shares are flying; Our recent Memory Monitor piece also highlights signs that the DRAM cycle has bottomed.

Nano Dimension – Tender offer for Stratasys extended again

By Edison Investment Research

Nano Dimension has raised its tender offer for Stratasys again, increasing its cash offer from $24 to $25 per share and extending the closing date to 31 July. If successful, it plans to explore options for further consolidation of the industry. If unsuccessful, it will review its Stratasys investment and may sell its stake on the open market.


Carly Holdings Limited – Fleet Expansion Has Driven Revenue

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Carly Holdings Limited (ASX:CL8) operates a vehicle subscription business, which it launched in March 2019, leveraging existing operations, strategic relationships and technology.
  • Car subscription allows business and retail customers to pay a single monthly fee to access a car for 30 days or more and is an alternative to purchasing or financing a vehicle.
  • Carly has attracted larger automotive industry businesses as shareholders, with a model that facilitates sales volumes of new vehicles and delivers a new recurring revenue stream for automotive manufacturers and dealers. 

Numinus Wellness, Inc. – A Quarter of Strong Growth; Focus on Cash Burn Reduction

By Water Tower Research

  • Strong sequential revenue growth. Numinus’ fiscal third quarter ended May 31, 2023, delivered revenues of C$6M, a 713% increase from the year ago quarter which was prior to the Novamind acquisition.
  • Of greater significance, the company delivered double-digit sequential growth of 12.6%, highlighting the growth track in demand for its clinic and clinical research offerings.
  • On this basis, revenues generated across Numinus’ wellness clinics in the US and Canada grew by 5.5% Q/Q, while its clinical research operations (CCR) recorded a sequential revenue surge of 66.7%, as a result of which the division’s share of total revenues climbed to 17% from the prior quarter’s 12%.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Whitehaven Coal June Quarterly: 45% of Mkt Cap in Cash and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Whitehaven Coal June Quarterly: 45% of Mkt Cap in Cash, >20% OCF Yield, Aggressive Buyback
  • Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (3898): Growth at a Discounted Valuation
  • Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Record High Sales and Profitability in Q4; Expansion to Drive Growth
  • Porton Pharma Solutions (300363.CH) 23H1 – Performance Pressure Would Remain in 2023
  • RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. – Revenues Meet Expectations
  • Diverse Income Trust (The) – Delivering on its income and growth mandate
  • OGO: Premium Brand Launch Supports Margin Expansion
  • Ally Financial Earnings: 3 Areas To Focus On


Whitehaven Coal June Quarterly: 45% of Mkt Cap in Cash, >20% OCF Yield, Aggressive Buyback

By Sameer Taneja

  • Whitehaven Coal (WHC AU) released its June Quarterly. The company is in blackout (starting July 1st) till its release of annual results on August 24th, 2023.
  • June quarter OCF was 435 mn AUD ( Avg Coal Px 177 USD/ton), and net cash on the balance sheet was 2.65 bn AUD representing 45% of market capitalization.
  • To complete its buyback program, 147 million shares remain left to repurchase (current o/s shares 836 mn). 196 million shares have been repurchased so far since March 2022.

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (3898): Growth at a Discounted Valuation

By Henry Soediarko

  • The company has shifted its growth driver from rail equipment to EV parts supplier.
  • Q1 23 growth came from emerging equipment coming to the rescue at a double digit rate when the train equipment segment recorded a slight decrease. 
  • Compared to last year, the company is trading at a lower valuation, yet its key growth driver has a better and more sustainable quality. 

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Record High Sales and Profitability in Q4; Expansion to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported robust Q4 performance, with revenue and EBITA increasing 26% and 44%, YoY, respectively. Growth was driven by increase in ARPOB and occupied bed days.
  • Max commissioned new 92 beds oncology block at one of its network hospitals in March. New oncology block contributed positively to revenue and EBITDA in the first month of launch.
  • Max is on track to double its bed capacity in next 5–6 years. Apart from ongoing brownfield expansions, the company has land parcels with potential to add 1,000 beds.

Porton Pharma Solutions (300363.CH) 23H1 – Performance Pressure Would Remain in 2023

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Porton’s performance declined significantly in 23H1 compared with high base last year, because most of Pfizer’s COVID-19 big orders have been completed. Porton’s performance in 2023 would be under pressure.
  • Porton isn’t a first-tier CXO and lags behind industry leaders in terms of new businesses (CGT/ADC CXO). Valuation of entire CXO sector and Porton hasn’t yet reached an inflection point.
  • Market’s expectation for CXO would decrease and then bottom out in 2023H2. Whether CXO’s performance would rebound in 2024 still needs to wait for the turnaround in macro environment.

RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. – Revenues Meet Expectations

By Water Tower Research

  • Multiple Catalysts on the Horizon. Total revenues were essentially in line with our forecast, and we see an attractive runway for growth with at least 10 new locations contributing to revenues through FY24: (1) 4Q23: First full quarter of another Baby Dolls, the reopening of a closed club, and the opening of a new Bombshells, all in Texas; (2) FY24: Opening of two new clubs in Texas, three new Bombshells in Texas and Colorado, and two casinos in Central City, CO. Potential club M&A activity could provide additional upside.

  • Potential club M&A activity could provide additional upside.

  • Nightclubs + Bombshells’ sales increased 8.9% Y/Y. On July 11, RCI announced its preliminary revenues for nightclubs and Bombshells.


Diverse Income Trust (The) – Delivering on its income and growth mandate

By Edison Investment Research

The Diverse Income Trust (DIVI) has two co-managers, Gervais Williams and Martin Turner at Premier Miton, who employ a genuine all-cap UK equity income strategy. DIVI’s long-term total returns are a function of its income and above-average income growth and although valuations can vary, over time they become less important as they trade in a range. While the trust’s performance has been disappointing over the last two years as stocks have derated and AIM stocks have underperformed, its income profile remains robust; hence, the managers are anticipating an improvement in DIVI’s performance. The trust has delivered a rising level of regular annual dividends throughout a range of market conditions.


OGO: Premium Brand Launch Supports Margin Expansion

By Atrium Research

  • Organto announced the launch of ORO, a brand focused on premium non-GMO fruits and vegetables.
  • This morning, Organto Foods (OGO:TSXV) announced the introduction of its latest innovative brand offering, ORO.
  • ORO focuses on premium non-GMO fruits and vegetables, complimenting the I AM Organic brand (organic fruits and vegetables) and =Awesome Fruits (mid-tier non-GMO fruits).

Ally Financial Earnings: 3 Areas To Focus On

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Ally Financial is about to release its Q2 2023 earnings tomorrow as tightening within the auto loans market continues.
  • The deposit mix will be a key area to watch as it will have a major impact on the company’s return on tangible common equity.
  • The company is expected to report its second quarter of 2023 on Thursday.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: [JD.com (JD US and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • [JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Preview]: Short-Term Demand Doesn’t Indicate a Long-Term Trend
  • Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2023
  • China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 1
  • Shakeys Pizza: What to Expect From Q2 2023
  • Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK): A Proxy for Hong Kong and Diversified Play – a Value Trade
  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Strong Result, New Drug Launch, & Share Buyback Brighten Outlook
  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Enhancing Its Values
  • HSBC Holdings PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Increased Distribution & Transformation Strategy & Other Drivers
  • UBS Group AG: Initiation of Coverage – The Credit Suisse Acquisition & Other Drivers
  • Truist Financial Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers


[JD.com (JD US, SELL, TP US$32) Preview]: Short-Term Demand Doesn’t Indicate a Long-Term Trend

By Shawn Yang

  • We expect JD to report C2Q23 revenue in-line vs. cons., and non-IFRS net income 6% vs. consensus.
  • Although we raised our GMV estimate, our 5% YoY revenue growth estimate is unchanged as we expect 3P take rate decline to partially offset GMV growth.
  • We maintain SELL and TP but cut FY23 non-GAAP net margin to 3% due to the greater share of lower margin 1P revenue vs. our prior estimate.

Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q 2023. 
  • The excessive gaps in the preferred and common shares of Kumho Petrochem, LG Electronics, and Samsung Electronics could reverse in the next several months, in our view.
  • We see some attractive longer-term opportunities for Amorepacific Corp, Doosan Fuelcell, LG Electronics, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics which have especially high discounts for the preferred shares versus their counterpart common shares. 

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 1

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • China has started taking measures to optimize fertility policies. The inclusion of assisted reproduction technologies in medical insurance is a general trend, which would generate increasing demand in the future.
  • From the current domestic assisted reproductive industry chain, there is significant import substitution space and growth potential in the fields of related drugs, prenatal/newborn genetic testing, and downstream medical services.
  • Companies such as Livzon/BGI/Jinxin would be the direct beneficiaries of related policy. We analyzed the industry characteristics, investment rationale, key risks and comparison with peers of these companies. 

Shakeys Pizza: What to Expect From Q2 2023

By Sameer Taneja

  • We expect Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) to release its results for H1 2023 in the second week of August. The stock just went ex-dividend today (17th July 2023).
  • We estimate Q1/H1 FY23 revenue to grow 36%/59% and profits to increase by 31%/71%, led by slight margin expansion for Q2 over Q1 as guided by the company. 
  • Trading at 14.5x/11.1x PE with a growth profile of >20% CAGR over the next 4-5 years, given the Potato Corner expansion, Shakey’s Pizza could be an attractive investment opportunity. 

Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK): A Proxy for Hong Kong and Diversified Play – a Value Trade

By Jacob Cheng

  • In this insight, we conducted fundamental analysis for SHKP, which is a proxy for Hong Kong given 70% of its GAV comes from Hong Kong
  • SHKP has well diversified businesses in residential, retail and office in Hong Kong and China, and there are a lot of share price drivers
  • We would recommend a BUY as long as the stock trades below HKD100, as the stock has a trading range of HKD100 to HKD 130

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Strong Result, New Drug Launch, & Share Buyback Brighten Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) announced strong Q1FY24 result, with double-digit top-line and triple-digit bottom-line growth, driven by its largest selling OTC product, Salonpas. The company has reiterated FY24 guidance.
  • In Q1FY24, Hisamitsu has launched Apohide Lotion in Japan for the treatment of primary palmar hyperhidrosis and Xelstrym transdermal system in the U.S. for the treatment of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD).
  • Hisamitsu has announced buyback of up to 2M of its shares (representing 2.57% of issued shares) from July 2023 to February 2024 for ¥10B.

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Enhancing Its Values

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We expect Shenzhen International (152 HK) to sustain efforts in realising and releasing the value of its assets, and this will be positive in narrowing its discount to book.
  • The plan to issue REIT by using Hangzhou and Guizhou logistics projects as underlying assets will add to earnings. We estimate they account for 14% of SZI’s total project area.
  • Subscription to A-share issuance of Shenzhen Expressway Co (548 HK) will increase its book value by Rmb5bn. This will lower its P/B multiple to 0.46x, from 0.54x.

HSBC Holdings PLC: Initiation of Coverage – Increased Distribution & Transformation Strategy & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on HSBC Holdings PLC, one of the biggest banks and financial service providers in the world.
  • Notably, Hong Kong, Mainland China, the Middle East, and the U.K. have shown strong economic resilience and recovery.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of HSBC Holdings PLC with a ‘Hold’ rating.

UBS Group AG: Initiation of Coverage – The Credit Suisse Acquisition & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on UBS Group AG, one of the largest banking service companies.
  • The company delivered a decent result in the last quarter driven by strong flows across Global Wealth Management and Asset Management.
  • The company will continue to prioritize a capital-light and client-focused Investment Bank model while managing activities outside its strategic focus.

Truist Financial Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Truist Financial Corporation, one of the largest regional banks in the United States.
  • Truist opened 146,000 bank accounts online.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Truist Financial Corporation with a ‘Hold’ rating.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Talking Mini-Markets and Convenience and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Talking Mini-Markets and Convenience
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Staying High Ahead of Earnings This Week; UMC at Par
  • High Conviction Shift: Upbeat Quarter, Share Price Up More Than 39% YTD and There’s Further Upside
  • New Horizon Health 1H23: Management Call Takeaway
  • Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05%
  • [JD Logistics (2618 HK, SELL, TP HK$9.4) TP Change]: Premium Parcel Delivery Is Increasingly Crowded
  • REIT Watch – 10 S-Reits which outperformed in H1
  • A Spoonful of Reality


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Talking Mini-Markets and Convenience

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked some strong SSSG for June bringing its YTD number into line with its FY2023 projections after post Lebaran adjustment in May. 
  • The company will embark on a more aggressive store rollout for this year with plans for 2,100 new stores, including 200 Alfamidi stores and 500 Lawson convenience stores. 
  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) continues to grow its membership program under AlfaGift with 16.3m members, which helps to gather valuable data and grow sales. Valuations are attractive.  

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Staying High Ahead of Earnings This Week; UMC at Par

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: 9.9% premium, continues to stay above one standard deviation from historical median… Earnings coming this week.
  • UMC: 0.0% ADR premium… Trading on par with local shares… Earnings next week.
  • Chunghwa Telecom: -0.8% discount represents relatively deep discount vs. history.

High Conviction Shift: Upbeat Quarter, Share Price Up More Than 39% YTD and There’s Further Upside

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Shift reported 3QFY08/2023 results on Friday and the company’s revenues increased 34.2% YoY and OP more than doubled during the quarter. Both revenue and OP beat consensus estimates.
  • Conclusion of unprofitable projects and expansion into upstream services have helped earnings to expand, and we expect full-year earnings to comfortably beat guidance and consensus estimates.
  • Shift’s share price moved up by 19% following earnings announcement and has been up more than 39% YTD, and we would recommend holding on as there is further upside.

New Horizon Health 1H23: Management Call Takeaway

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • New Horizon Health reported a solid set of preliminary results for 1H2023
  • We speak to the company’s management post result announcement to figure out the key drivers and summarize the key points in this note.
  • The company upgraded its full year guidance and is on track to meet its long term target.

Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05%

By Geoff Howie

  • Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05% Seatrium, Wilmar International, Singapore Airlines (SIA), UOL Group and DBS Group led the net institutional inflow for the five sessions.
  • With over 40 years of operating track record, Union Gas Holdings’ three key businesses comprise liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and diesel.

[JD Logistics (2618 HK, SELL, TP HK$9.4) TP Change]: Premium Parcel Delivery Is Increasingly Crowded

By Shawn Yang

  • We expect JDL to report C2Q23 revenue and non-IFRS net profit margin (1.5%) and 0.4ppts vs. consensus. We expect 2Q revenue (excl. Deppon) to grow 5%~ YoY .
  • JDL is facing increasing competition from (1) the recent launch of Cainiao’s high-end delivery service, (2) improved ZTO service, and (2) Douyin’s actions to increasingly in-source logistics.
  • We maintain JDL’s SELL rating but raise its TP to HK$ 9.4, as we expect JDL will lower staffing costs, and by reducing staff redundancy.

REIT Watch – 10 S-Reits which outperformed in H1

By Geoff Howie

  • SINGAPORE-LISTED real estate investment trusts (S-Reits) continue to hold up despite decelerating global growth, with the iEdge S-Reit Index generating 2.1 per cent in total returns in the first half of 2023, outperforming the Straits Times Index’s 1.2 per cent and the FTSE EPRA Nareit Asia ex Japan Index’s -1.7 per cent.
  • The 10 S-Reits were Keppel DC Reit, Cromwell European Reit (Cromwell E-Reit), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, Paragon Reit, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Aims Apac Reit, ParkwayLife Reit, CapitaLand India Trust, and CapitaLand Ascott Trust.
  • Outperformance was driven across specialised, healthcare and hospitality sub-sectors at 7.5 per cent, 5.2 per cent, and 4.1 per cent total returns respectively.

A Spoonful of Reality

By subSPAC

  • Whole Earth Brands, a sustainable sweetener firm, has seen a slowdown in growth, tightening margins, and rising debt since going public.
  • Despite the odds, the company is countering these challenges with a strategy that includes cost reduction, improved distribution, and portfolio expansion.
  • A recent buyout proposal from the company’s largest shareholder has added a new dimension to the company’s future. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Wharf REIC 1997HK: Should We Bet on HK Luxury Retail? Lack of Catalyst & Weak Chinese Spending Power and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Wharf REIC 1997HK: Should We Bet on HK Luxury Retail? Lack of Catalyst & Weak Chinese Spending Power
  • Bank of New York Mellon Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers
  • Molson Coors Beverage Company: Initiation of Coverage – Diversification
  • State Street Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers
  • The Allstate Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? Financial Forecasts


Wharf REIC 1997HK: Should We Bet on HK Luxury Retail? Lack of Catalyst & Weak Chinese Spending Power

By Jacob Cheng

  • In this insight, we conducted fundamental analysis on Wharf REIC .  It has a simple business model that it operates key malls in HK including Harbour City and Times Square
  • Macro-Wise, despite Wharf REIC should be seeing a recovery trend in terms of retail sales, the weak Chinese economy could pose concern on Wharf REIC’s retail sales
  • Wharf REIC is also facing several headwinds such as high interest cost and weak office market in Hong Kong.  We view the re-rating potential limited despite attractive valuation

Bank of New York Mellon Corp: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This iThis is our first report on a global custodian and asset management behemoth, Bank of New York Mellon Corp.
  • This After a surge in deposit balances following recent market fluctuations, BNY Mellon finished the quarter slightly higher than its starting point.
  • The company’s broader liquidity platform, managing over $1.3 trillion of cash and short-term investments, witnessed growth in most channels.

Molson Coors Beverage Company: Initiation of Coverage – Diversification

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on global beverage giant, Molson Coors Beverage Company. has exhibited commendable resilience this quarter, particularly with their premium light brands in the U.S.
  • Their brands, Coors Light and Miller Lite, registered double-digit revenue growth, significantly aided by their first Super Bowl campaign in over three decades.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Molson Coors Beverage Company with a ‘Hold’ rating.

State Street Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on State Street, a prominent provider of asset servicing and other financial services in the U.S.
  • The company experienced a varied market performance in the second quarter due to continued strength in developed equity markets, weakness in emerging markets, and a subdued market environment.
  • State Street onboarded $1.2 trillion of Assets Under Custody/Administration (AUC/A) primarily through the State Street Alpha platform, underscoring its effectiveness.

The Allstate Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – What Is Its Biggest Competitive Advantage? Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on one of the largest insurance companies, the Allstate Corporation.
  • The company had a mediocre quarterly result and saw a 26% year-over-year increase in total revenues, totaling $13.8 billion.
  • This was fueled by a rise in premiums, investment income, and realized capital gains, with total premiums showing a 9% year-over-year growth to reach $12.5 billion, driven by growth across all segments, especially the auto insurance segment which grew 11% year over year.

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