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Health Care: Boryung Pharmaceutical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): Focus on Prescription Drugs for Stability and Accelerated Growth

Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): Focus on Prescription Drugs for Stability and Accelerated Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS) aims to achieve a revenue CAGR of 10.9% during 2022–2026 (from 7.8% in 2017–2021) through a chronic disease-focused prescription drug portfolio.  
  • While hypertension and dyslipidemia drugs remain its cash cow, Boryung has identified oncology and CNS as its new growth engine to achieve KRW1 trillion revenue in 2026.
  • Driven by a 28% y/y growth in prescription drug revenue, Boryung has reported record high quarterly sales and operating profit in Q1 2022. The company is continuously launching new drugs.

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Health Care: Tactile Systems Technology I and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD US): Subsiding COVID to Drive Mid-Teens Sales Growth in 2022

Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD US): Subsiding COVID to Drive Mid-Teens Sales Growth in 2022

By Tina Banerjee

  • Tactile Systems Technology I (TCMD US) offers pneumatic compression pump, which has total current addressable market opportunity of $10B+ in the U.S. The company’s annual run rate is ~$200M.
  • To penetrate the addressable market deeper, Tactile is aggressively expanding commercial team, which should lay the foundation for long-term sustainable revenue growth and margin expansion.
  • With the declining COVID-related headwinds, new product launch, and better commercial execution, Tactile should be well-positioned for accelerated growth trajectory.  

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Health Care: Endo International, Shukun (Beijing) Technology, Top Glove Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Endo International (ENDP US): Still in Troubled Waters; No Near-Term Growth Driver Is Seen
  • Pre IPO Shukun Technology – Obvious Strength in Technology/Products but Commercialization Is the Key
  • Top Glove (TPGC.KL) – Near Term Outlook Remains Challenging

Endo International (ENDP US): Still in Troubled Waters; No Near-Term Growth Driver Is Seen

By Tina Banerjee

  • Endo International (ENDP US) shares are trading near their lows. However, Endo does not seem to be an attractive bottom fishing idea as opioid litigation is still the major overhang.
  • Endo’s top selling drug Vasostrict is facing generic competition, which has dragged Q1 performance of the company. Q1 revenue declined 9%, while Q2 revenue is expected to decline 28%.
  • Endo is banking on specialty branded drug Xiaflex and QWO, and sterile injectables for its long-term growth. However, they cannot fully offset the impact of Vasostrict revenue loss in near-term.

Pre IPO Shukun Technology – Obvious Strength in Technology/Products but Commercialization Is the Key

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • China’s AI medical imaging industry is still in its infancy, and needs to face industry supervision, data safety, potential compliance issues, doubts on commercialization prospects, NRDL coverage and increasing competition. 
  • Shukun has its obvious technical advantage, rich product portfolio and many registration certificates, but the Company’s path to commercialization and profitability still remains to be seen.
  • Infervision and Airdoc could be the benchmark companies. Considering the strength, the moat, and the potential of Shukun, its valuation could be higher than Infervision and Airdoc.

Top Glove (TPGC.KL) – Near Term Outlook Remains Challenging

By Maybank Research

  • Profit fell short; reiterate SELL
  • Results below expectations
  • Defers its capacity expansion
  • Earnings adjustments

TOPG’s 3QFY22 net profit of MYR15m was below our and consensus full-year estimates. Management expects near-term outlook to remain challenging with oversupply issue and escalating raw material costs although the decline in ASP is at slower pace. TOPG will defer some of its capacity expansions. We lower our FY22 earnings forecasts by 40% after assuming a lower utilisation rate. Our TP is unchanged at MYR0.91 (on 13x CY23PER). Maintain SELL.


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Health Care: Abbott Laboratories, Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc, Mega Genomics, Abbvie Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Diamond Hill Long-Short Fund 2022 Market Commentary
  • Ironwood Pharmaceuticals (IRWD US): Brand Leadership of Linzess Continues; Pipeline Advances
  • Pre-IPO Mega Genomics – Immature Market and Over-Reliance on Meinian Put Future Performance in Doubt
  • Diamond Hill All Cap Select Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

Diamond Hill Long-Short Fund 2022 Market Commentary

By Fund Newsletters

  • Diamond Hill invests on behalf of clients through a shared commitment to its valuation-driven investment principles, long-term perspective, capacity discipline and client alignment.
  • The Diamond Hill Long-Short Fund’s returns were just about flat—slightly positive— in Q1.
  • After a strong rebound in 2021, global GDP growth is expected to moderate in 2022.
  • From current levels, equity market returns over the next five years are likely to be below historical averages.

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals (IRWD US): Brand Leadership of Linzess Continues; Pipeline Advances

By Tina Banerjee

  • Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc (IRWD US)’s sole marketed drug Linzess is the #1 prescribed branded treatment in the U.S. for adults with IBS-C/CIC with ~4M unique patients since launch.
  • First commercialized in December 2012, Linzess achieved blockbuster drug status in 2021. The earliest licensed entry of any generic Linzess in the U.S. is expected only in March 2029.
  • The company’s potential drug candidate IW-3300 is in phase 1 trial for interstitial cystitis/bladder pain syndrome (IC/BPS). Recently, Ironwood has shared positive findings from the study.  

Pre-IPO Mega Genomics – Immature Market and Over-Reliance on Meinian Put Future Performance in Doubt

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Mega should establish core competitiveness via entering hospital market and being recognized by hospitals. It’s not a long-term solution to exploit the market by mainly relying on Meinian.
  • Although Mega’s competitive advantage in the channels is still more obvious due to Meinian, it is actually a double-edged sword, especially when Meinian is in financial difficulty.
  • Without Meinian, whether Mega can develop independently is a question mark. In terms of valuation, BGI and Berry could be comparable companies, and Mega’s valuation could be lower than Berry.

Diamond Hill All Cap Select Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

By Fund Newsletters

  • Diamond Hill invests on behalf of clients through a shared commitment to its valuation-driven investment principles, long-term perspective, capacity discipline and client alignment.
  • During a volatile quarter, the Diamond Hill All Cap Select Fund held up meaningfully better than the Russell 3000 Index.
  • After a strong rebound in 2021, global GDP growth is expected to moderate in 2022.
  • While the year-to-date pullback in equity markets has created some investment opportunities, broad market valuations remain above historical averages.

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Health Care: Shockwave Medical Inc, Metropolis Healthcare Limited, Abbott Laboratories, Gland Pharma Ltd, Marksans Pharma and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): An Emerging High-Quality Cardiovascular Devices Idea
  • Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal
  • Diamond Hill Large Cap Concentrated Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary
  • Gland Pharma- Management Meet Update
  • Marksans Pharma- Management Meet Update

Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): An Emerging High-Quality Cardiovascular Devices Idea

By Tina Banerjee

  • Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US), with its differentiated local delivery of sonic pressure waves for the treatment of calcified plaque, seeks to establish a new standard of care through IVL.  
  • The company is advancing IVL system for multiple large addressable markets totaling over $8.5B. Shockwave’s revenue has five-year CAGR of 244%, with continued improvement in gross margins.
  • Ongoing clinical programs to expand geographies and indications should further accelerate growth. Recently, the company obtained marketing approval in China and Japan.

Metropolis Healthcare (METROHL IN): Adani & Apollo Eyeing Majority Stake? Could Outperform Dr Lal

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Several press reports regarding potential takeover speculations related to Indian diagnostics company Metropolis Healthcare Limited (METROHL IN) have emerged in the Indian press over the last few days.
  • Metropolis Healthcare Limited currently has a total market capitalization of US$1bn.
  • Below is a closer look at the details of the situation.

Diamond Hill Large Cap Concentrated Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

By Fund Newsletters

  • Diamond Hill invests on behalf of clients through a shared commitment to its valuation-driven investment principles, long-term perspective, capacity discipline and client alignment.
  • During a volatile quarter, Diamond Hill Large Cap Concentrated Fund performed roughly in line with the Russell 1000 Index.
  • The market environment in Q1 provided a meaningful opportunity for us to initiate positions in high-quality names.
  • From current levels, equity market returns over the next five years are likely to be below historical averages.

Gland Pharma- Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • Shortages that affected US business are resolved: Gland Pharma faced challenges in the US business on account of key component shortages like syringes, vials, stoppers & needles etc. as its major USFDA-approved supplier rooted its capacity for vaccine manufacturing, leading to residual orders getting piled up.
  • Levers for EBITDA margin enhancement going forward: Gland Pharma will have a single- minded focus on EBITDA margin rather than gross margin.
  • Effect of thrust on the CDMO business: Gland Pharma does not see significant enhancement in opex on account of CDMO business going forward given that costs have already been absorbed in 4QFY22.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Marksans Pharma- Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • Efforts around portfolio selection and disciplined R&D has helped the company profitably build its export formulations business
  • Outlook: The company will incur capital expenditure on its existing facility upgradation; and it is also open to pursuing an acquisition (~Rs2,000mn is the allocation).
  • Targeting customer acquisition and geographic expansion in the US market: The company has added new retailers in the US market with an intention to penetrate tier 2 & tier 3 cities.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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Health Care: Remegen Co Ltd, Biocon Ltd, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Indoco Remedies, J.B. Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Remegen (9995HK) Vs Keymed Biosciences (2162HK)-Deep Dive the Logic & Internationalization Prospects
  • Biocon- Management Meet Update
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories – Management Meet Update
  • Indoco Remedies- Management Meet Update
  • J B Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals – Management Meet Update

Remegen (9995HK) Vs Keymed Biosciences (2162HK)-Deep Dive the Logic & Internationalization Prospects

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Commercialization prospects of domestic autoimmune disease market is highly uncertain. Related drugs’ sales could be very limited in short term. Overseas market space is much larger, so internationalization is inevitable.
  • Our forecast on RemeGen’s total sales is just RMB3.5-4 billion. The deal with Seagen still puzzles us, which is the key to determine how far RemeGen can go in internationalization.
  • Keymed is like “a younger RemeGen” due to the differentiation strategy of pipeline layout. However, Keymed’s internationalization progress is much weaker, with higher risks and uncertainties than RemeGen.

Biocon- Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • Biosimilar Business: If all goes well, the closure of Viatris transaction (acquisition of its biosimilar portfolio) may happen as early as 2HFY23.
  • The acquired business would have a topline of US$800mn and EBITDA of US$175mn.
  • Biocon will be able to build on the Viatris acquisition as it has multiple launches lined up in the biosimilar space and the same should help it to build on the base.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories – Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • Russia Business: DRL’s business was strong in 4QFY22, partially due to overstocking, which should normalize in 1QFY23.
  • India Branded Prescription Business: DRL is aiming to keep improving its ranking in the IPM.
  • Novartis brands’ acquisition: The acquired brands will be promoted with a mix of existing field force and addition of new salesforce.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Indoco Remedies- Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • Domestic Business: The domestic business growth should be driven by new launches, price increase (6%) and volume growth.
  • US Business: Indoco’s solid oral dosage portfolio has not seen much price erosion.
  • Inflationary pressures are easing, but still not fully normalised: The company acts as a contract manufacturer for several of its products in Europe and it has been able to pass on the cost increases in these products.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


J B Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals – Management Meet Update

By Nirmal Bang

  • CMO Business: JB Chemicals is the largest lozenges manufacturer in India with a capacity of 150cr units.
  • Reiteration of FY23 guidance: Expected future revenue growth in mid-teens and EBITDA margin expansion to 24-26%. R&D expense as a % of sales should not exceed 3%.
  • Domestic Market Reach: The company reaches out to a doctor base of 3,00,000 and a sales force of ~2,500 MRs with a large presence in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities/towns, which make up ~40% of domestic sales.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


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Health Care: Cal Maine Foods, Green Cross LabCell, iRay Technology and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary
  • GC Cell (144510 KS): Enviable Portfolio of Cell Therapy Funded by Sample Test Service Business
  • IRay Technology (688301.CH) – Limited Market Space Casts Doubt on Future Growth Potential

Diamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

By Fund Newsletters

  • Diamond Hill invests on behalf of clients through a shared commitment to its valuation-driven investment principles, long-term perspective, capacity discipline and client alignment.
  • Amid a rocky market quarter overall, our portfolio’s negative returns still outpaced the Russell 2500 Index by a healthy margin in Q1.
  • From current levels, equity market returns over the next five years are likely to be below historical averages.
  • We believe we can achieve better-than-market returns over the next five years through active portfolio management.

GC Cell (144510 KS): Enviable Portfolio of Cell Therapy Funded by Sample Test Service Business

By Tina Banerjee

  • Green Cross LabCell (144510 KS) (now known as GC Cell) the world’s largest cell therapy product producer with its top selling anticancer drug, Immunecell-LC. The drug has label expansion scope.
  • The company has developed a pipeline of late and early-stage cell therapy candidates for solid tumors. It also has a strong position in global cell therapy CDMO business.
  • GC Cell’s unrivaled position in the specimen test services in Korea acts as the main cash cow to feed its future growth engine of cell therapy development.

IRay Technology (688301.CH) – Limited Market Space Casts Doubt on Future Growth Potential

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • IRay’s performance has shown a trend of accelerating growth in 2021/2022Q1, mainly driven by the mobile DR sales during COVID-19 as well as the dental (CBCT) and industrial security businesses.
  • The sales of mobile DR would slow down after COVID is under control. The decreasing price due to fierce competition in grassroots markets would finally drag down gross profit margin. 
  • The concern is that the market space (DR/dental/industrial fields) is not big, with obvious growth ceiling. So, we lowered our revenue/profit margin forecast and we think iRay is overvalued 

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Health Care: Celltrion Inc, Enzychem Lifesciences Corp, Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • FnGuide Top 10 Rebalancing: How We Trade Shinhan IN/Celltrion OUT
  • Enzychem Lifesciences Corp (183490 KS): Picked New Drug Development as Future Growth Engine
  • Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

FnGuide Top 10 Rebalancing: How We Trade Shinhan IN/Celltrion OUT

By Sanghyun Park

  • With the screening period over (May 3-31), Shinhan IN/Celltrion OUT is virtually a foregone conclusion.
  • We should consider an individually-hedged approach, instead of a plain long/short, with a tightly moving-together peer, preferably on a single-day trading window.
  • I suggest using KB Financial and Celltrion Healthcare as hedges of LONG & SHORT for Shinhan and Celltrion, respectively.

Enzychem Lifesciences Corp (183490 KS): Picked New Drug Development as Future Growth Engine

By Tina Banerjee

  • Enzychem Lifesciences Corp (183490 KS) is eyeing on its lead innovative drug candidate, EC-18 for long-term sustainable growth driver. EC-18 is in late-stage clinical trial for couple of indications.
  • EC-18 is in phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of chemoradiation-induced oral mucositis (CRIOM), an acute inflammation of the oral mucosa following systemic chemoradiation therapy.
  • Currently, CRIOM has no approved therapies. Enzychem Lifesciences has filed for FDA breakthrough therapy designation for EC-18 in CRIOM, which will enable designing of phase 3 study.  

Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund Q1 2022 Market Commentary

By Fund Newsletters

  • Diamond Hill invests on behalf of clients through a shared commitment to its valuation-driven investment principles, long-term perspective, capacity discipline and client alignment.
  • Amid a rocky market environment, our portfolio’s negative returns still outpaced the Russell 2000 Index by a healthy margin in Q1.
  • After a strong rebound in 2021, global GDP growth is expected to moderate in 2022.
  • From current levels, equity market returns over thenext five years are likely to be below historical averages.

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Health Care: Bukwang Pharmaceutical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS): Open Innovation Approach on Track to Launch New Drugs

Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS): Open Innovation Approach on Track to Launch New Drugs

By Tina Banerjee

  • Bukwang Pharmaceutical (003000 KS) is developing innovative new drug candidates in partnership with pharmaceutical and bio-venture companies in Korea and abroad.
  • Antipsychotic lurasidone (brand name: Latuda), in-licensed from Sumitomo Pharma is the lead candidate of Bukwang’s innovative drug pipeline. Lurasidone will be launched in 3–4 years in Korea.
  • Recently, Bukwang announced positive phase 1 trial for SOL-804 for the treatment of prostate cancer, in-licensed from Solural Pharma. SOL-804 has an addressable market opportunity of KRW23 trillion in 2027.

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Health Care: Burning Rock Biotech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) 1Q22: Double-Digit Revenue Growth; China Re-Opening to Boost Recovery

Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) 1Q22: Double-Digit Revenue Growth; China Re-Opening to Boost Recovery

By Tina Banerjee

  • Burning Rock Biotech (BNR US) reported strong Q1 2022 results, with accelerated double-digit revenue growth of 27% y/y, higher than full year 2022 revenue growth guidance of 22%.
  • Operating loss widened due to 41% y/y surge in opex, primarily attributed to higher staff cost, which resulted from an increase in headcount.
  • Management reiterated 2022 revenue growth guidance of 22% y/y. With Shanghai re-opening, this seems to be achievable.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma