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Daily Brief India: Asian Paints, KEC International, Vedanta Resources, Canara Bank, JSW Cement Limited, Ethos , Aarti Pharmalabs and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition
  • Temporary Shock, Structural Strength: Why KEC’s Upcycle Still Holds
  • Primer: Vedanta Resources (VED LN) – Nov 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?
  • JSW Cement: The Green Giant’s Blueprint for Aggressive Expansion and Margin Re-Rating
  • Primer: Ethos ( ETHOSLTD IN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Aarti Pharmalabs (AARTIPHA IN) – Nov 2025


Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Asian Paints achieved a 7-quarter high in Q2FY26 with 10.9% domestic volume growth, driven by easing raw material costs and strategic integration, leading to a 2% margin expansion.
  • Despite heavy monsoons, strong execution drove a double-digit volume rebound, signaling stabilized consumer demand. This coupled with a key competitor’s executive loss, validates the firm’s defensive market position.
  • Asian Paints’ strong performance deserves a premium valuation but justifying it hinges on the perfect execution of its backward integration project and defending its competitive position.

Temporary Shock, Structural Strength: Why KEC’s Upcycle Still Holds

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) has barred KEC from new tenders for nine months starting November 18, 2025, though ongoing Rs.39,000 crore plus projects is unaffected.
  • KEC’s diverse orders limit PGCIL’s impact, PGCIL’s share in new orders is only 4% YTD, much lower than last year.
  • KEC’s Q2 success counters the PGCIL ban. With strong Q2 results and 8% FY26 margin guidance, the focus is now on execution and cash flow from its global pipeline.

Primer: Vedanta Resources (VED LN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Vedanta Resources is a globally diversified natural resources company with a strong foothold in India, focused on zinc, aluminium, oil and gas, and other base metals. The company is currently undergoing a significant strategic transformation, including a planned demerger of its primary businesses into separate listed entities to unlock value and attract investment.
  • The company has been aggressively deleveraging its balance sheet, having reduced debt at the parent level significantly over the past few years. Recent credit rating upgrades from agencies like S&P Global reflect improved financial flexibility and easing refinancing risks, supported by strong operational cash flows and successful bond issuances.
  • Future growth is centered on a $20 billion, four-year investment plan focused on India, targeting expansion in technology, electronics, and semiconductors, alongside its core commodities. This ambitious plan aims to capitalize on India’s economic growth but faces execution risks and is dependent on volatile commodity markets.

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The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Canara Bank reported a robust Q2 FY26, defying sector-wide headwinds. The headline surprise was the sharp asset quality improvement, with GNPA collapsing to 2.35% and NNPA at a pristine 0.54%.
  • The bank has successfully pivoted from “balance sheet repair” to “sustainable compounder.” While NII is flat, the bank is offsetting this with volume growth and 42% jump in non-interest income.
  • With the “bad bank” legacy officially buried(PCR >93%), the narrative now shifts to value unlocking. The listing of subsidiaries and the decline in credit costs makes the current valuation attractive.

JSW Cement: The Green Giant’s Blueprint for Aggressive Expansion and Margin Re-Rating

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The company is executing an ambitious capital expenditure plan focused on integrating raw material sources and nearly doubling grinding capacity to 41.85 MTPA by CY28.
  • JSW Cement reported robust Q2 FY26 results, delivering a 64.2% YoY surge in operating EBITDA to INR267.5 crore, underpinned by 14.9% volume growth, cost control, achieving an EBITDA/tonne of INR860.
  • JSW Cement’s ‘green premium’ strategy and structural cost advantage position it for a potential re-rating.

Primer: Ethos ( ETHOSLTD IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Ethos is India’s largest retailer of luxury and premium watches, commanding a significant market share of 13% in the combined premium/luxury segment and 20% in the exclusive luxury segment.
  • The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the rapidly growing Indian luxury market, which is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 11-12% annually, driven by rising affluence, increasing brand awareness, and a trend towards premiumization.
  • Strong revenue and profit growth underscore the company’s successful expansion and operational execution, though the premium valuation and negative operating cash flow warrant careful monitoring.

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Primer: Aarti Pharmalabs (AARTIPHA IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Aarti Pharmalabs is a significant player in the global pharmaceutical industry, specializing in Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs), Xanthine derivatives, and offering Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) services. The company was demerged from Aarti Industries in 2022 to create a focused pharmaceutical entity.
  • The company holds a dominant position in the Xanthine derivatives market, being the largest Indian manufacturer and commanding a 15-20% global market share. This segment benefits from its use in beverages, nutraceuticals, and pharmaceuticals.
  • Strategically, Aarti Pharmalabs is focused on expanding its capacities, particularly in the Xanthine and API segments, and increasing its presence in regulated markets. A major greenfield project at Atali, Gujarat, is expected to be a key growth driver upon its commissioning.

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Daily Brief India: Tata Capital Limited, Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd, Aarti Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings Shaking Up the Rankings
  • Sify Infinit Spaces Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum, but Margins Remain Volatile
  • Primer: Aarti Industries (ARTO IN) – Nov 2025


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings Shaking Up the Rankings

By Brian Freitas

  • We forecast 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 3 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
  • From the new listings, 13 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 5 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
  • With the review period nearing completion, there could still be more outperformance given the momentum, but we would look to take profit on the stocks as the divergence gets wider.

Sify Infinit Spaces Pre-IPO: Strong Topline Momentum, but Margins Remain Volatile

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd (2026850D IN) is looking to raise US$484m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Sify Infinit Spaces Ltd is a provider of data center colocation services in India.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Primer: Aarti Industries (ARTO IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Aarti Industries is a leading Indian specialty chemical manufacturer with a diversified product portfolio catering to various industries, including pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, polymers, and pigments. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in these end-user markets and the “China plus one”strategy.
  • The company is currently in a significant capital expenditure phase, focusing on expanding existing capacities and venturing into new high-value product chains. While this is expected to drive long-term growth, it has led to a recent decline in profitability and free cash flow due to higher depreciation and interest costs.
  • Despite near-term headwinds such as margin pressures and global demand slowdown, Aarti Industries has demonstrated resilience with consistent volume growth. The company’s focus on cost optimization, backward integration, and securing long-term contracts is expected to improve profitability and shareholder returns in the medium to long term.

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Daily Brief India: Physicswallah Limited, Syrma SGS Technology, Amber Enterprises India, Bank Of Baroda, Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd, Union Bank Of India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Physicswallah IPO Trading – Decent Anchor but Low Demand
  • Syrma SGS’s Strategic Foray into Defence Electronics: Elcome and Navicom Acquisitions
  • Amber Enterprise–Shogini Deal: A Strategic Leap Toward Full-Stack Electronics Manufacturing
  • Stat-Arb Pair Trade: Long Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) Vs. Short Canara Bank (CBK IN)
  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO Trading: Strong Insti Demand and Overall Sub Rate
  • Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks


Physicswallah IPO Trading – Decent Anchor but Low Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • Physicswallah raised around US$430m in its India IPO, despite having a decent anchor book.
  • Physicswallah Ltd (PWL) offers test preparation courses for competitive examinations, and other courses such as for upskilling, across 13 education categories, including JEE, NEET, and UPSC, among others.
  • We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Syrma SGS’s Strategic Foray into Defence Electronics: Elcome and Navicom Acquisitions

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Syrma SGS Technology is acquiring a 60% stake in Elcome Integrated Systems, with a path to 100% via performance-linked earn-outs, alongside Elcome’s simultaneous acquisition of Navicom Technology.
  • This strategic move marks Syrma SGS’s formal entry into the high-barrier, long-cycle Indian defence electronics market, offering diversification from its core EMS business and aligning with India’s “Aatmanirbhar Bharat” initiative.
  • The accretive nature, revenue visibility of over INR 400 crore, and design-led capabilities gained position Syrma SGS for a structural re-rating.

Amber Enterprise–Shogini Deal: A Strategic Leap Toward Full-Stack Electronics Manufacturing

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Amber has signed a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake in Pune-based PCB manufacturer Shogini Technoarts through its subsidiary ILJIN Electronics (India) Pvt. Ltd.
  • This move strengthensAmber’s backward integration in printed circuit boards at a time when India’s PCB market is expanding quickly and still relies heavily on imports.
  • The acquisition supports Amber’s transition from a primarily HVAC and consumer-durables component player to a more complete EMS and PCB solutions provider, an important shift that deserves closer analysis.

Stat-Arb Pair Trade: Long Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) Vs. Short Canara Bank (CBK IN)

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Bank of Baroda (BOB IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 9% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO Trading: Strong Insti Demand and Overall Sub Rate

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) raised US$406m in its India IPO.
  • TCAIL designs and manufactures clean air, powertrain, and suspension solutions for Indian OEMs, export markets, and the aftermarket, serving PVs, CVs, OHs, and industrial applications.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) vs. Canara Bank (CBK IN) price ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) and short Canara Bank (CBK IN) targets a 10% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

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Daily Brief India: Thyrocare Technologies, Aster DM Healthcare Ltd, Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Thyrocare Technologies Limited: Positioned for the GLP-1 Diagnostics
  • 2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM (ASTERDM IN)- Stable Q2 Show on Continued Business Recovery
  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading – Lacklustre Demand


Thyrocare Technologies Limited: Positioned for the GLP-1 Diagnostics

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The generic availability of GLP-1 drugs from 2026 presents a structural, high-volume, and repetitive diagnostics opportunity that perfectly fits Thyrocare’s low-cost, centralized B2B model.
  • Thyrocare Technologies (THYROCAR IN) reported robust Q2 FY’26 consolidated revenue growth of 22% YoY, coupled with a normalized EBITDA margin expansion to 34.8%.
  • Strong execution and quality improvements position Thyrocare to capture this multi-year GLP-1-driven volume surge.

2025 High Conviction Update: Aster DM (ASTERDM IN)- Stable Q2 Show on Continued Business Recovery

By Tina Banerjee

  • Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) reported double-digit growth in revenue and EBITDA in Q2FY26, led by substantial recovery in Kerala, strong growth in international revenue, and better case mix.
  • In Q2FY26, Kerala delivered its highest-ever quarterly revenue of INR6B, growing 24% increase over Q4 FY25. Profitability improved sharply, with EBITDA margins expanding to 26.8% from 22.3% in Q4FY25.
  • Since our initiation of Aster DM as ‘2025 High Conviction’ idea in last November, shares rose ~55%. Main investment thesis of margin improvement still holds good.

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading – Lacklustre Demand

By Akshat Shah

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN) (EPPL) raised around US$327m in its India IPO.
  • EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief India: SG Mart , Dharmaj Crop Guard and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: SG Mart (SGMART IN) – Nov 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Dharmaj Crop Guard – From Capex Drag to Operating Leverage Propellant


Primer: SG Mart (SGMART IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • SG Mart is rapidly expanding its B2B marketplace for building materials, primarily focusing on steel, with an aggressive growth strategy aiming to capture a significant share of the large and fragmented Indian market.
  • The company benefits from the strong backing of the APL Apollo Group, providing it with industry relationships, funding, and brand leverage for its B2C distribution.
  • Key risks include the highly competitive nature of the steel trading industry, which operates on thin margins, and the volatility of steel prices, which can impact profitability.

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The Beat Ideas: Dharmaj Crop Guard – From Capex Drag to Operating Leverage Propellant

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Dharmaj Crop Guard had commissioned its INR 275 crore Active Ingredients (AI) plant, cementing its transformation from a formulations-only company to a fully integrated AgroChem player. 
  • This strategic backward integration provides a massive new growth lever. However, it came at a short-term cost, as “front-loaded expenses” resulting in EBITDA losses from new plant last year.
  • With the new plant’s losses absorbed, Dharmaj is positioned to leverage its integrated model, a pan-India distribution network, to pursue its ambition of becoming a 2,000 crore company by 2030.

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Daily Brief India: Biocon Ltd, Olectra Greentech, Sagar Cements and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Biocon’s Merger Is the Cleaner, Cheaper Path to Value Unlock?
  • Primer: Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA IN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Sagar Cements (SGC IN) – Nov 2025


Why Biocon’s Merger Is the Cleaner, Cheaper Path to Value Unlock?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Biocon Ltd has confirmed its board, via a committee first formed on May 8, 2025, is formally evaluating a reverse merger of its unlisted arm, Biocon Biologics, into the parent.
  • This merger is a financial de-risking move designed to immediately address $1.2 billion in acquisition debt and unlock a ‘conglomerate discount’ on the Rs.2,721 crore revenue biosimilars business.
  • The move would eliminate the parent’s holding company discount, but the key hurdle is the valuation and swap ratio required to satisfy minority shareholders, chiefly Serum Institute.

Primer: Olectra Greentech (OLECTRA IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Olectra Greentech is a leading manufacturer of electric buses in India, strategically positioned to capitalize on the country’s significant push towards electric mobility in public transportation.
  • The company’s growth is underpinned by a strong order book from State Transport Undertakings (STUs), a technological partnership with global EV giant BYD, and robust support from government initiatives like the FAME II scheme and the National Electric Bus Program.
  • Key risks include high dependence on government contracts, intensifying competition from established automotive players, and a premium valuation that demands flawless execution on its large order book.

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Primer: Sagar Cements (SGC IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Sagar Cements is pursuing an aggressive, debt-fueled expansion strategy to increase its capacity and market reach, particularly in Central and Eastern India, aiming to capitalize on anticipated demand growth from infrastructure and housing sectors.
  • The company’s financial performance is under significant pressure, characterized by revenue growth offset by severe margin compression, leading to net losses and negative free cash flow in recent periods. This has necessitated the suspension of its dividend.
  • Key challenges for the company include managing its high debt levels, navigating the intensely competitive and cyclical nature of the Indian cement industry, and mitigating the impact of volatile input costs on its already strained profitability.

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Daily Brief India: Shadowfax Technologies, Marksans Pharma, SAEL Industries Ltd, Capillary Technologies India Ltd (CTIL), Disa India Ltd, Tata Steel Ltd, Tracxn Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Shadowfax Technologies Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • The Beat Ideas: Marksans Pharma – USFDA’s ‘Zero Observation’ Unlocks ₹3,000 Crore Goa Potential
  • SAEL Industries Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Capillary Technologies India IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • The Beat Ideas: DISA India – Engineering the Next Decade of Indian Foundries
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Primer: Tracxn Technologies (TRACXN IN) – Nov 2025


Shadowfax Technologies Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Shadowfax Technologies (1310315D IN) is looking to raise about US$225m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Morgan Stanley, ICICI and JM Financial.
  • Shadowfax Technologies is a new-age, technology-led third-party logistics (3PL) company that leverages a unified platform to facilitate digital commerce across India.
  • The company provides a comprehensive suite of logistics services organised across express, hyperlocal, and other logistics segments.

The Beat Ideas: Marksans Pharma – USFDA’s ‘Zero Observation’ Unlocks ₹3,000 Crore Goa Potential

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Marksans Pharma’s new, capacity-doubling Goa facility (acquired from Teva) just received a ‘Zero 483 Observation’ clearance from the USFDA, completely de-risking its largest-ever capex.
  • This facility is the engine for the company’s next growth phase. It will service a confirmed $220 million US order book and is critical to achieve INR 3,000 crore revenue.
  • With the capex phase now complete and de-risked, the focus shifts to execution and the strategic deployment of its INR 711 crore cash pile, likely on a European front-end acquisition.

SAEL Industries Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • SAEL Industries Ltd (2600245D IN) (SIL) is looking to raise about US$516m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Ambit, ICICI, Kotak and JM Fin.
  • SIL is a vertically integrated renewable energy independent power producer in India having capabilities for solar module manufacturing, engineering, procurement and construction, and operations and maintenance for power projects.
  • According to CRISIL, SIL was among the top five Indian vertically-integrated renewable energy independent power producers, with in-house solar module manufacturing, based on operational capacity as of June 30, 2025.

Capillary Technologies India IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Capillary Technologies India Ltd (CTIL) (0611334D IN) IPO has opened for subscription. It consists of fresh issue worth INR 3.45 bn along with OFS worth INR 5.33 bn.
  • Capillary is one of the rare SaaS companies having full stack offerings in customer loyalty and engagement solutions. It has a global presence and actively expanding to US and Europe. 
  • While KPIs look good and company has turned around into profits, there are concerns with cash generation, overall consolidation process, increasing provision on receivables along with few governance issues.

The Beat Ideas: DISA India – Engineering the Next Decade of Indian Foundries

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Disa India’s new Tumkur land acquisition marks a major capacity expansion, adding 40% footprint and enabling a new manufacturing unit by FY26.
  • This expansion strengthens Disa’s ability to meet rising foundry demand, boosts export potential, and aligns with India’s manufacturing upcycle and the global China+1 shift.
  • The company’s growth visibility improves meaningfully, supported by digital integration and strong balance sheet strengthelevating confidence in sustained 20–25% topline growth.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Tata Steel, Rakuten Group
  • Fed policymakers are uncertain, due to a lack of crucial data caused by the US government shutdown. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he did not support the central bank’s latest interest-rate cut.
  • He noted that “the anecdotal evidence and the data we got just implied to me underlying resilience in economic activity, more than I had expected”, and stated that he can make a case to lower or hold rates in December. Mr Kashkari joins other Fed officials who have expressed scepticism over the need for another rate decrease in December, with some arguing for holding rates steady to balance inflation and weaker hiring in the labour market.

Primer: Tracxn Technologies (TRACXN IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Tracxn Technologies is a global Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform providing market intelligence on private companies to a diverse client base including venture capital firms, private equity funds, and large corporations. The company leverages a cost-effective India-based operation to serve customers in over 58 countries.
  • The company’s financial performance shows a concerning trend, shifting from a significant net profit of ₹330.9 million in FY23 to a net loss of ₹95.4 million in FY25. This downturn is primarily driven by margin compression and slowing revenue growth, reflecting potential headwinds in the global private markets.
  • Positioned in a highly competitive industry against established players like PitchBook, CB Insights, and Crunchbase, Tracxn’s key differentiators are its cost advantage and potentially broader coverage of early-stage and emerging market companies. However, the company faces significant risks from customer churn, intense competition, and the cyclical nature of the private investment landscape.

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Daily Brief India: Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited, Sagility India, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Zepto, Biocon Biologics India, Pine Labs and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO – Integrated Scale, Bright Prospects
  • Sagility Block – US$400m Selldown by EQT; Second Deal This Year
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?
  • Primer: Zepto (1936629D IN) – Nov 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Pine Labs IPO Trading – Low/No Demand


Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO – Integrated Scale, Bright Prospects

By Akshat Shah

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN) (EPPL) is looking to raise about US$327m in its India IPO.
  • EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.
  • In this note, we have a look at the company’s past performance, as well as talk about the peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Sagility Block – US$400m Selldown by EQT; Second Deal This Year

By Akshat Shah

  • Promoter entity EQT, via Sagility BV is looking to raise up to US$402m via selling a 16.4% stake in Sagility India (SAGILITY IN)
  • The deal comprises a base deal of 10% of outstanding shares, with an option to upsize it by another 6.4% of shares outstanding. 
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.
  • With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.
  • NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.

Primer: Zepto (1936629D IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Zepto is a rapidly growing quick commerce company in India, capitalizing on the burgeoning demand for ultra-fast delivery of groceries and other essentials. Its core value proposition is a 10-minute delivery promise, facilitated by a network of strategically located ‘dark stores’.
  • The company has demonstrated explosive revenue growth, with a 150% year-over-year increase in FY25, reaching nearly ₹11,110 crore. While still loss-making, Zepto has shown a narrowing of losses as a percentage of revenue, indicating improving operational efficiency and a potential path to profitability.
  • The Indian quick commerce market is intensely competitive, with major players like Blinkit and Swiggy’s Instamart vying for market share. Zepto‘s ability to maintain its growth trajectory and achieve profitability will depend on its operational execution, technological innovation, and ability to manage high cash burn in a discount-centric market.

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Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics
  • Overnight, US bond yields fell as traders anticipated fresh data to guide Fed policy. The 10-year Treasury yield slipped amid expectations of a potential rate cut. US equity was flattish.
  • The October CPI and core CPI numbers will be released today. The prolonged US government shutdown could delay the October and November jobs data to early December, potentially resulting in the weakest nonfarm payrolls since 2020.

Pine Labs IPO Trading – Low/No Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • Pine Labs raised around US$450m in its India IPO. Overall demand was weak.
  • Pine Labs (PL) is a fintech firm focused on digitizing commerce through digital payments and issuing solutions for merchants, consumer brands and enterprises, and financial institutions.
  • We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief India: Groww, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Fractal Analytics Ltd, Alembic Ltd, Trent Ltd, KPIT Technologies, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Groww IPO Trading – Decent Overall Demand
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Final Expectations; Announcement Soon
  • Fractal Analytics Pre-IPO: AI Play With Strong Fundamentals
  • Insider Activity: Who Bought Their Own Stock in October?
  • Trent Q2FY26: Growth Momentum Fades as Tier-II Mix Drags and Star Bazaar Slips
  • KPIT: Improving Trajectory, H2FY26 Guided to Be Significantly Better
  • India Tightens Trade Defences Across Rubber Spectrum


Groww IPO Trading – Decent Overall Demand

By Akshat Shah

  • Groww (1573648D IN) raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.
  • With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Final Expectations; Announcement Soon

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • The official index changes could be announced publicly in the next few days.

Fractal Analytics Pre-IPO: AI Play With Strong Fundamentals

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Fractal Analytics Ltd (2453623D IN) is looking to raise US$560m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Fractal Analytics Limited (FAL) is an enterprise AI company which supports large global enterprises with data-driven insights and assists them in their decision making through its end-to-end AI solutions.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Insider Activity: Who Bought Their Own Stock in October?

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • We highlight large and small cap companies that experienced significant insider buying during October 2025, as reported on the stock exchanges.
  • October 2025 saw fewer companies reporting insider buying due to silent period before reporting their half yearly results.
  • Promoters of few companies had made the purchase in September but reported on exchanges in the month of October.

Trent Q2FY26: Growth Momentum Fades as Tier-II Mix Drags and Star Bazaar Slips

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Trent reported a 17% YoY rise in Q2FY26 revenue to INR 4,724 crore, while PAT grew 6%. Star Bazaar saw a 2% decline due to ongoing upgrades and stronger competition.
  • Efficient cost control and technology-driven productivity helped maintain margins despite slower same-store sales and expansion into lower-yield Tier-II cities.
  • Trent’s steady execution and well-diversified retail portfolio support its medium-term growth outlook, though high valuations and increasing operating costs remain key risks to monitor.

KPIT: Improving Trajectory, H2FY26 Guided to Be Significantly Better

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Despite macro challenges, KPIT delivered a decent Q2FY26 and is on track to post a much better H2FY26, led by reducing uncertainty and improving demand environment.
  • More importantly, KPIT has been adding select capabilities that have been pivotal to building its differentiation and competitiveness. Its approach to move to solutions vs services has been yielding fruition.
  • Deal wins came in strong in Q2FY26 at $232mm, well above the typical $150mm+ run-rate. Additionally, KPIT also won a mega $100mm+ deal.

India Tightens Trade Defences Across Rubber Spectrum

By Farah Miller

  • ADD Probe into Rubber Glove Imports from Malaysia, Thailand  
  • Finance Ministry imposes new duty on insoluble sulphur  
  • DGTR Recommends Continuation of Duties on NBR Imports  

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Daily Brief India: Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd, Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd, Aditya Birla Capital Ltd, Bajaj Finance Ltd, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa), Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited, Punjab National Bank, Astrotalk and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO – No Adrenaline Rush Here
  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO: Stagnated Topline, Increased Profits, At A Discount
  • Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd: Governance Jolt, Operational Pause—but Fundamentals Intact
  • Aditya Birla Capital: Under-Appreciated Compounder or Value Trap?
  • Bajaj Finance: From Credit Tightening to Digital Acceleration – A Transition Year in Motion
  • Nykaa’s Omnichannel Strategy Delivers Record Margins Amid Competitive Flux
  • Emmvee IPO: Issue Fairly Priced, Capacity Addition & Future Integration Holds Energy For Future
  • Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) Vs. Bank of India (BOI IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade in Indian Banks
  • Astrotalk: A ‘Belief-Tech’ Unicorn Ahead of a 2027 IPO?
  • Primer: Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) – Nov 2025


Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO – No Adrenaline Rush Here

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • We present five reasons why there is no adrenaline rush for Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) ‘s IPO
  • IPO is a complete offer for sale of USD 406 million. There is no fresh issue of equity.
  • At 24x P/E on Q1FY26 annualized earnings, the IPO valuation appears fair.

Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd IPO: Stagnated Topline, Increased Profits, At A Discount

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN)  is now looking to raise up to US$406m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • TCAIL designs and manufactures clean air, powertrain, and suspension solutions for Indian OEMs, export markets, and the aftermarket, serving PVs, CVs, OHs, and industrial applications.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd: Governance Jolt, Operational Pause—but Fundamentals Intact

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • World Bank debarred TARIL from participating in its funded projects following old Nigerian contract issues; the company contests it.
  • The incident has raised governance questions and led to an exaggerated stock sell-off, despite immaterial financial exposure and reaffirmed guidance. 
  • Debarment is isolated and non-material. Execution delays are transitory. Strong order book, backward integration, and FY26 guidance make TARIL attractive on dips.

Aditya Birla Capital: Under-Appreciated Compounder or Value Trap?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • ABCL’s Q2 FY26 lending portfolio surged 29% YoY, driven by Housing Finance and secured MSME loans, while the firm deployed Generative AI across its flagship digital platforms.
  • Robust asset growth and an improving credit profile (Gross Stage 2 & 3 down 121 bps YoY in NBFC), but consolidated PAT growth was constrained by rising interest costs.
  • The One ABC’ digital ecosystem and high-growth segments position ABCL for enhanced return ratios, meriting a closer look at its valuation discount relative to pure-play NBFC peers.

Bajaj Finance: From Credit Tightening to Digital Acceleration – A Transition Year in Motion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Company delivered a steady Q2 FY26, with PAT growth of 23% YoY and 4% QoQ, in line with expectations. MSME stress prompted a modest downgrade in AUM guidance to 22–23%
  • The quarter reflects the company’s pivot toward quality growth, fortified by an aggressive AI transformation program (FINAI) and gold loan expansion strategy.
  • While short-term credit costs weigh on margins, Bajaj Finance’s digital transformation and franchise scale position it to re-accelerate in FY27, reinforcing its premium valuation among Indian NBFCs.

Nykaa’s Omnichannel Strategy Delivers Record Margins Amid Competitive Flux

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Nykaa delivered its strongest quarter in two years in Q2 FY26, with GMV up 30% YoY and EBITDA margins expanding 125 bps to 6.8%.
  • The results confirm that Nykaa’s profitability driven by owned brands, omnichannel integration, and AI-enabled personalization is firmly turning.
  • Fashion’s near-term breakeven and continued premiumization in beauty could re-rate Nykaa as a sustainable compounding story.

Emmvee IPO: Issue Fairly Priced, Capacity Addition & Future Integration Holds Energy For Future

By Tina Banerjee

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic has filed RHP for IPO with a total offer size of up to INR 29B, offering 133.6M shares at a price band of INR 206-INR 221 per share.
  • This includes a fresh issue of INR 21.4B (~ 98.8M shares). The company intends to use the proceeds for debt repayment and general corporate purpose.
  • Our recommendation would be that investors can buy into this issue as the valuation range looks relatively cheap when compared to peers.

Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) Vs. Bank of India (BOI IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade in Indian Banks

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) vs. Bank of India (BOI IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) and short Bank of India (BOI IN) targets a 4% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Astrotalk: A ‘Belief-Tech’ Unicorn Ahead of a 2027 IPO?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Astrotalk (123A IN) closed its fiscal year FY25 with revenues of INR 1,182 crore and a PAT of over INR 250 crore, marking a 2.5x jump in profitability.
  • The core consultation business is now being supplemented by AstroStore and international footprint (30% of revenue), as management lines up a late 2026/early 2027 IPO at target valuation of $1.3B–$1.5B.
  • Astrotalk has cracked high-margin, high-growth digital services. Its IPO now tests investor appetite for its “belief-tech” model against mounting, though still nascent, regulatory scrutiny.

Primer: Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd. is a leading Tier-I automotive component supplier in India with strong market positions in clean air and advanced ride technologies, poised to benefit from stricter emission norms and premiumization trends.
  • The company has demonstrated robust profitability improvement through effective cost management, despite a recent decline in topline revenue, particularly in its clean air segment.
  • The upcoming IPO is a 100% Offer for Sale by the promoter, which will not infuse capital into the company but aims to enhance visibility and provide a public market for its shares.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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