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Thematic (Sector/Industry) Archives | Page 27 of 116 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Charted Insights: Understanding the Impact of the US Reciprocal Tariff Plan: A Data-Backed Breakdown and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Charted Insights: Understanding the Impact of the US Reciprocal Tariff Plan: A Data-Backed Breakdown
  • Decoding Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs: Limited Shock for India, Sector Rotation Ahead
  • Ohayo Japan | Tariffs On, Risk Off
  • Junior Copper Miners: An Update After 1Q25
  • No Tariffs on Semiconductors – but Does It Matter?
  • Japan Morning Connection: Rough Start with US Meltdown but Trump Showing Willingness to Negotiate
  • Hardman & Co Insight: 2024 Pharma Statistics
  • South African Listed Property Review – March 2025
  • US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – March 2025


Charted Insights: Understanding the Impact of the US Reciprocal Tariff Plan: A Data-Backed Breakdown

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In early 2025, former US President Donald Trump announced a new “Reciprocal Tariff Plan” as part of his economic strategy to address trade imbalances.
  • The plan involves levying additional tariffs on countries where the US runs a trade deficit, aimed at “equalizing” tariff rates between the US and its trading partners.
  • We analyze how the tariffs across major US trading partners will change post reciprocal tariffs.

Decoding Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs: Limited Shock for India, Sector Rotation Ahead

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Trump’s reciprocal tariff plan imposes a 27% duty on Indian goods, sparing pharma and IT but impacting autos, textiles, chemicals, and solar exports.
  • Despite steep headline tariffs, India’s top export sectors, IT services and pharma, remain unaffected, preserving key revenue streams and softening near-term macroeconomic impact.
  • Investors will likely rotate into resilient sectors like pharma and IT while avoiding margin-sensitive names in textiles, chemicals, and auto ancillaries vulnerable to export-led earnings volatility.

Ohayo Japan | Tariffs On, Risk Off

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks cratered on Thursday in their worst one-day sell-off since 2020, with the Dow tumbling almost 1,700 points; NKY Futures weaker
  • Mitsubishi Corporation plans to buy back up to ¥1 trillion of its shares, acquiring up to 689 million shares, or 17% of total issued shares
  • An investment company associated with activist investor Yoshiaki Murakami has acquired over 5% of Fuji Media Holdings’ outstanding shares

Junior Copper Miners: An Update After 1Q25

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • Copper prices started the year roaring: +26% YTD. US futures prices outpaced LME prices.
  • Much of the trade was driven by re-allocation of copper inventories to beat potential US tariffs. The  White House yesterday exempted copper from any import tariffs.
  • Copper miners show a mixed bag, our basket of favorites was led by Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) which increased 182% YTD.

No Tariffs on Semiconductors – but Does It Matter?

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Import tariff into the US: Korea 25%, Taiwan 32%. But the White house clarified: no Reciprocal Tariff on semiconductors.  
  • There are other exemption (pharmaceuticals, lumber, certain minerals not available in the US). But then Apple or Nvidia don’t import Semis from Taiwan or Korea. 
  • They import iPhones from China / India or Servers made in Taiwan. Is it a little bug to be fixed? There’s an interesting loophole: 10% tariff on Singapore.  

Japan Morning Connection: Rough Start with US Meltdown but Trump Showing Willingness to Negotiate

By Andrew Jackson

  • Huge losses for tech/AI/banks in the biggest selloff since Covid.
  • Intel gaining after reports it has agreed to a JV with TSMC for their Fab business.
  • Sec. of State Rubio pushing EU leaders to shoulder a higher defence burden; European plays higher.

Hardman & Co Insight: 2024 Pharma Statistics

By Hardman & Co

  • An efficient reporting system has seen all the listed multinational pharmaceutical companies announce results for 2024, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database.
  • This report provides the first snapshot of global pharmaceutical market growth plus the global and US company rankings for 2024.
  • The year was characterised by 9.2% underlying (ex-COVID-19) growth.

South African Listed Property Review – March 2025

By Garreth Elston

  • March was an extremely busy month for the SA listed property sector with earnings, pre-close, and interim releases coming thick and fast.
  • The SA All Property Index was down -4.12% for the quarter, the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Index in ZAR was down -1.21%, and in USD down by -1.67%.
  • The best positions remain in property companies as insulated from international macro issues as possible, those with steady cash flows, tenants providing necessary products and/or services, plus low debt levels.

US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – March 2025

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Total public EV charging stations (incl. temporary unavailable locations) were 77,514 as of March 31, 2025. Compared to the end of FY24, it is an increase of 3.4%. 
  • Total EV charging ports (including the temporary unavailable ports) were 217,353, up nearly 5.1% compared to the end of 2024 and up 2.0% over February 2025.
  • California has the highest number of active DC Fast ports as of March 2025 at 13,611 (~26% of the total), followed by Texas at 3,347 .

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Trump Announces 24% Tariffs on Japan and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Trump Announces 24% Tariffs on Japan
  • Thematic Report: Cooling India- Indian Air Conditioner (AC) Industry
  • Thematic Report : India–US Trade; Assessing the Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Indian Exports
  • Japan Morning Connection: Trump’s Tariff Shock Set to Roil Japan with a 10% + 24% Baseline
  • US Banks – Average YoY Loan Growth During 1Q25 Weeks Is 33% Higher than During Weeks in 1Q24
  • How the ₹23K Cr PLI Scheme Benefits EMS Companies – Dixon, Amber, and Kaynes
  • ₹4.02 Lakh Crore IPO Lock-In Expiry Wave in H1 2025 in Indian Markets
  • #130 India Insight: Textile Aims $100B Exports, Wind Energy Hits 48.5 GW, Data Centers Reach $10B
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – GenAI and Knowledge Worker Productivity


Ohayo Japan | Trump Announces 24% Tariffs on Japan

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. & Nikkei stock futures fell as much as 2.5%, signaling a weak Thursday open. After hours, Nvidia, Amazon, and Tesla dropped over 4%.
  • The U.S. will impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with Japan facing a 24% tariff as part of measures targeting what President Trump called “bad actors” 
  • Fast Retailing’s domestic Uniqlo same-store sales, including e-commerce, rose 12% year-on-year in March

Thematic Report: Cooling India- Indian Air Conditioner (AC) Industry

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s RAC market is growing at 18–20% CAGR, but faces a critical compressor supply shortage due to capacity constraints and BIS-related import delays.
  • Short-Term risks around component supply, margins, and inventory exist, but structural demand drivers and PLI-driven localization present long-term tailwinds for OEMs and component makers.
  • Despite near-term volatility, AC sector remains a strong structural story; focus shifts to players with scale, backward integration, and policy-aligned manufacturing strategies.

Thematic Report : India–US Trade; Assessing the Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Indian Exports

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s thriving trade relationship with the US has come under scrutiny following the announcement of the Reciprocal Tariff Plan by the US administration.
  • As the world’s largest economy considers levelling tariff imbalances with trade partners, India — despite enjoying a trade surplus — faces only moderate risk. 
  • Here’s a detailed look into the numbers, categories, and sectors that matter

Japan Morning Connection: Trump’s Tariff Shock Set to Roil Japan with a 10% + 24% Baseline

By Andrew Jackson

  • Definitely a worse outcome than expected, but Canada and Mexico exemptions show the path to negotiation.
  • Firms with Vietnam manufacturing hit hard, as well as Apple given its exposure to Chinese manufacturing.
  • Nintendo’s Switch2 has taken a big step up – but without the big titles is it enough to spark a replacement cycle?

US Banks – Average YoY Loan Growth During 1Q25 Weeks Is 33% Higher than During Weeks in 1Q24

By Daniel Tabbush

  • US banks report weekly balance sheets, and the data is an good gauge for what we can expect during 1Q25 for profit, and especially core income, at least directionally.
  • The most recent loan growth data is now even stronger than before, and this is what matters: the weekly data is accelerating.
  • The pace of weekly YoY growth now is 2.7% during 1Q25 while this was 2.0% during 1Q24, the second derivative is also improving vastly, now up 33% YoY

How the ₹23K Cr PLI Scheme Benefits EMS Companies – Dixon, Amber, and Kaynes

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India has launched a ₹23,000 crore PLI scheme for electronic components, targeting sub-assemblies, PCBs, and lithium-ion cells to boost local manufacturing and reduce import dependence. 
  • EMS leaders like Dixon, Amber, and Kaynes are accelerating backward integration through JVs, capex, and high-value component manufacturing, unlocking margin expansion and strategic insulation from global supply chain disruptions. I
  • India’s PCB production is just 8% of its ₹236 bn market, where PLI-backed players like Amber and Kaynes could scale rapidly as import substitution gains momentum

₹4.02 Lakh Crore IPO Lock-In Expiry Wave in H1 2025 in Indian Markets

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • By June 2025, shares worth INR 4.02 trillion across 73 IPOs will become tradeable post lock-in expiry, including major names like Hyundai, Swiggy, and NTPC Green.
  • This massive unlock could flood markets with fresh float, increasing supply dramatically and potentially causing short-term price corrections, especially in already weak or overvalued stocks.
  • Investors should prepare for near-term volatility but also watch for dips in strong businesses as potential accumulation opportunities once initial selling pressure subsides.

#130 India Insight: Textile Aims $100B Exports, Wind Energy Hits 48.5 GW, Data Centers Reach $10B

By Sudarshan Bhandari


Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – GenAI and Knowledge Worker Productivity

By Water Tower Research

  • Tariff uncertainty, inflation, and deteriorating consumer confidence all are weighing on the market and furniture and furnishings stocks.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 1.6% during a week, while the Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-0.4%), the Home Goods Retailers Index (-7.1%), and the broader markets (-3.2% to -4.3%) were all down.
  • AI-generated code is playing an increasingly important role in software engineering according to YC CEO Gary Tan (1).

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Marginal Gains Ahead of Tariff Announcement and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Marginal Gains Ahead of Tariff Announcement
  • Japan Morning Connection: Pre-Tariff Relief Rally Will Start Japan Higher to Start
  • ₹22,919 Cr PLI for Components: A Game-Changer Bet to Deepen Electronics Value Chain
  • Monday Delight: 31/03/25
  • Japan Shopping Mall Sector in 2025: Robust Sales, Fewer Doors
  • Electrifying 2W Sales in March – Bajaj Auto Takes the Lead
  • CHMP Meeting Update: Five New Medicines Recommended for Approval, Rejects Kisunla Application
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 1 April (dsm-firmenich | Shell)


Ohayo Japan | Marginal Gains Ahead of Tariff Announcement

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks closed mixed, with the S&P 500 rising 0.4% to 5,633 and the Nasdaq Composite rebounding 0.9%
  • OpenAI announced a $40 billion investment round, valuing the company at $300 billion – nearly double its $157 billion valuation from October 2024
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has secured a ¥32 billion contract with Japan’s Ministry of Defense to develop a new ground-launched missile

Japan Morning Connection: Pre-Tariff Relief Rally Will Start Japan Higher to Start

By Andrew Jackson

  • Micron higher on brighter industry guidance for DRAM, with NAND hikes also due this month.
  • Sanken +10.75% yesterday with MS now on board for ON semi’s pursuit of Allegro Microsystems.
  • Bullish broker initiation for space defence laggard play -83% below 2024 highs.

₹22,919 Cr PLI for Components: A Game-Changer Bet to Deepen Electronics Value Chain

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India approved a INR 22,919 crore PLI scheme for non-chip electronic components, targeting PCBs, display modules, resistors, and more moving beyond finished goods to core sub-assemblies.
  • This marks a critical shift toward deep localization and import substitution, enhancing India’s value capture, margins, and positioning in the global electronics supply chain.
  • This PLI redefines India’s electronics play from low-margin assembly to high-value component manufacturing—benefiting players like Dixon, Amber, and Kaynes, and supporting a strategic export pivot.

Monday Delight: 31/03/25

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Piaggio likely needs no introduction, as it is the company behind the iconic Vespa scooter.
  • In addition to Vespa, Piaggio owns the motorcycle brands Aprilia and Moto Guzzi, though approximately 50% of its revenue comes from scooter sales.
  • The strength of Piaggio’s brands is reflected in its exceptional Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of over 30%.

Japan Shopping Mall Sector in 2025: Robust Sales, Fewer Doors

By Michael Causton

  • The number of new mall developments in 2024 in Japan held steady but will collapse in 2025 due to higher costs, lower demand and a lack of labour.
  • At the same time, for existing malls, sales were robust through 2023 and 2024 and look set to continue at higher levels despite consumer restraint.
  • Both locals and tourists alike use malls for leisure, entertainment and shopping and, as the number of malls falls, and upgrades continue, efficiency is improving.

Electrifying 2W Sales in March – Bajaj Auto Takes the Lead

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • March recorded the highest electric two-wheeler sales since the last festive season. But will this momentum sustain, or is it just a year-end sales push?
  • EV penetration in two-wheeler sales has reached its highest level in the financial year 2025.
  • Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN),TVS Motor (TVSL IN) are the top picks in the electric two wheeler category.Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)has been the most inconsistent player despite having major volumes.

CHMP Meeting Update: Five New Medicines Recommended for Approval, Rejects Kisunla Application

By Tina Banerjee

  • CHMP has recommended five medicines for approval at its March 2025 meeting, including two innovative drugs and three biosimilars.
  • The Committee Recommended not granting a marketing authorization for Eli Lilly’s Kisunla (donasemab), a medicine intended for the treatment of early Alzheimer’s disease.
  • The committee recommended extensions of indication for seven medicines that are already authorized in the EU, while recommended to refuse extending the marketing authorisation for Pemazyre for myeloid/lymphoid neoplasms.

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 1 April (dsm-firmenich | Shell)

By The IDEA!

  • On February 13, 2025, when publishing in FY24 results, dsm-firmenich announced its intention to repurchase ordinary shares with an aggregate market value of EUR 1bn and reduce its issued capital.
  • This share repurchase program will start for an initial EUR 500m and will be increased to EUR 1bn upon the completion of the previously announced sale of the company’s stake in the Feed Enzymes Alliance.
  • As of today, April 1, 2025, the company intends to begin repurchasing ordinary shares for a total amount of EUR 580m, of which EUR 80m to cover commitments under the Group’s share-based compensation plans and EUR 500m to reduce its issued capital.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Claws Back Losses and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Claws Back Losses
  • Japan Morning Connection: US Markets Well off the Lows Pointing to Better Start for JP
  • Singapore Banks – Credit Growth Overshadowed by Deposit Growth, New Monthly HFD
  • European Software: Fortnox (FNOX SS) Going Private – Might Makes Right


Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Claws Back Losses

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks ended a turbulent March with a rebound as the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 5,612 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1%, or roughly 400 points
  • Ricoh acquired an additional 44.4% stake in its U.S. subsidiary, Elixagen Scientific, on March 31, 2025, making it wholly owned
  • Independent Franchise Partners, a British investment firm, increased its stake in Shiseido to 6.25%, up from 5.2%

Japan Morning Connection: US Markets Well off the Lows Pointing to Better Start for JP

By Andrew Jackson

  • Watch Softbank after bullish comments from ARM that it expects 50% DC GPU market share this year.
  • Hegseth’s Japan trip concludes with no demand for higher defense spending.
  • Shiseido was sharply higher yesterday after activist announces larger stake in an easy squeeze.

Singapore Banks – Credit Growth Overshadowed by Deposit Growth, New Monthly HFD

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Newest monthly release from MAS gives insight into 1Q25 for Singapore’s banks and it is not particularly positive
  • The aggregate loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) continues to move lower, a year ago it was 69.3% and now it’s at 67.3%
  • Singapore’s banks added deposits of SGD125bn in the past 12 months through February compared with SGD48bn of loans

European Software: Fortnox (FNOX SS) Going Private – Might Makes Right

By Gregory Ramirez

  • Fortnox has announced a public tender offer from EQT and First Kraft for SEK90 per share, valuing the company at SEK54.9bn, representing a 38% premium over the last closing price.   
  • The Fortnox deal signals a recovery in Software M&A activity in 2025. It highlights the growing trend of SaaS companies going private, following similar moves by other European SaaS firms.   
  • Despite the premium, some shareholders may be dissatisfied. Similar criticisms have arisen in other recent deals, but the offer might succeed due to Fortnox’s outstanding stock market performance.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Markets Rattled by Tariff Threats and Soaring Inflation Fears and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Rattled by Tariff Threats and Soaring Inflation Fears
  • Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan
  • DeekSeek May Not Be The “Game Changer” In China Healthcare – Time to Be Rational


Ohayo Japan | Markets Rattled by Tariff Threats and Soaring Inflation Fears

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks plunged Friday as trade policy uncertainty and inflation concerns rattled markets. The  S&P 500 fell 2% and the Nasdaq sank 2.7%.
  • Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance will spend ¥420bn to acquire a 15% stake in US insurer W.R. Berkley, gaining expertise in specialty insurance.
  • SoftBank Group plans to invest around ¥1,000bn in industrial parks across the US, featuring AI-equipped factories. The parks will utilise humanoid robots and AI in production processes

Japan Morning Connection: US Defense Secretary Hegseth Reconfirming Commitment to Japan

By Andrew Jackson

  • Tech and AI down again ahead of Trump’s tariff ‘liberation day’ on April 2.
  • Wolfspeed -51% puts Renesas’s $2bn advance payment for SiC under jeopardy.
  • Dead rat, anyone? Should be positive for Yoshinoya as Sukiya shutters most stores.

DeekSeek May Not Be The “Game Changer” In China Healthcare – Time to Be Rational

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Although DeepSeek’s continuous updates, iterations, and deep integration with more and more healthcare enterprises in China will bring positive market sentiment, we have seen certain limitations and even risks behind.
  • Currently, AI healthcare relies heavily on government subsidies or hardware sales in China, which lacks sustainable payment scenarios and profit model. The data security/privacy/compliance issue may not be completely solve.
  • For the companies that have integrated with DeepSeek, investors need to verify their afterwards financial performance and fundamentals. If it does not meet expectations, investors are recommended sell in time.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals
  • Chinese Banks Relax Loan Terms to Fuel Tech Sector M&A Deals
  • RBI’s Overhaul of India’s Priority Sector Lending Norms
  • AI Boom Puts Pressure on China’s Power Grid as Data Centers Eat Up Electricity
  • APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 30)- Eisai, Kaken, Mochida, Shionogi, SK Bioscience, PharmaEssentia


Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Automobile industry is expected to witness a mixed performance in FY25 Volume growth, with robust growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and a slight decline in CV’s
  • Favorable farmer sentiment driving tractor demand and substantial export opportunities for 2W’s are key growth triggers anticipated.
  • Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN) with a revenue share of 80% from tractor business, foresees significant growth driven by a robust domestic market and double-digit growth in their export business. 

Chinese Banks Relax Loan Terms to Fuel Tech Sector M&A Deals

By Caixin Global

  • Several Chinese banks have handed out loans to support selected tech firms’ merger-and-acquisition (M&A) deals under a newly launched pilot program to improve access to credit for innovative businesses.
  • China Construction Bank, one of the country’s biggest state-owned lenders, has issued 190 million yuan ($26.3 million) in an M&A loan to a publicly listed tech firm in Suzhou, Jiangsu province, people familiar with the deal told Caixin.
  • The loan, covering 80% of the acquisition cost with an eight-year term, is the first loan of this type disbursed by a large state bank after the easing M&A loan policies by financial regulators to help tech enterprises.

RBI’s Overhaul of India’s Priority Sector Lending Norms

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • RBI has expanded PSL norms higher loan limits, broader beneficiary definitions, and new incentives to push credit into underserved sectors and geographies.
  • This modernizes India’s financial inclusion framework, aligns credit policy with inflation, green goals, and gender inclusion, and reduces compliance friction for banks.
  • PSL is evolving into a growth lever, not just a mandate impacting loan strategies, certificate pricing, and long-term retail credit profitability for banks and fintechs.

AI Boom Puts Pressure on China’s Power Grid as Data Centers Eat Up Electricity

By Caixin Global

  • China’s rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) industry is eating up electricity at an alarming rate — a factor analysts say could disrupt the country’s power grid if infrastructure doesn’t keep pace.
  • By 2035, China’s data centers will consume 400 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity a year — around four times their 2024 usage, Bloomberg analyst Lv Jinghong estimated at the BloombergNEF Summit in Beijing Thursday.
  • That will account for 3.2% of national power consumption, comparable to the entire electricity usage of Sichuan province.

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 30)- Eisai, Kaken, Mochida, Shionogi, SK Bioscience, PharmaEssentia

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eisai is eyeing for Leqembi global revenue of ¥250–280B in FY28. Kaken Pharmaceutical inlicensed dermatology drug candidate from Alumis. Kaken’s onychomycosis drug got approval in Italy.
  • Mochida Pharmaceutical has applied for marketing approval of Actembra biosimilar in Japan. Shionogi has filed for indication expansion of Xocova for post-exposure prophylaxis of COVID-19 in Japan.
  • SK Bioscience got approval for Phase 3 clinical trial of 21-valent pneumococcal vaccine in European countries. PharmaEssential obtained approval for Phase 3 clinical trial of Ropeginterferon alfa-2b in China.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Silicon Box. A Sad Development & Sadly and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Silicon Box. A Sad Development & Sadly, Still A Black Box
  • India’s Capital Markets in Early 2025: Retail Activity Cools Amid Shifting Currents
  • India’s Rice Policy Reversal: Opportunity for Exporters
  • #128 India Insight: Textile $100B Exports by 2030, Wind Energy Hits 48.5 GW, Data Centers Reach $10B
  • #129 India Insight: GOI’s 23k Cr PLI for EMS, NSE 2 Yrs IPO Delay?, Indian Defence Soars
  • Japan Strategy Weekly | Trump’s Surprise 25% Auto Tariff
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 28/03/2025


Silicon Box. A Sad Development & Sadly, Still A Black Box

By William Keating

  • On September 18 2024, one of the three co-founders of Silicon Box, Dr. Sutardja, sadly passed away. An industry visionary, much loved by many. May he rest in peace.
  • The company’s website still does not reflect this fact, and an interview with their Head of Business just two weeks after his passing, bizarrely doesn’t mention it at all
  • With just six press releases in four years, the company is slow to communicate progress and remains vague on precisely which specific technologies they offer. Still a black box IMO

India’s Capital Markets in Early 2025: Retail Activity Cools Amid Shifting Currents

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Retail investor activity and demat additions slowed sharply in early 2025, with new account openings falling to a multi-year low of 2.3Mn in February.
  • This signals a broader sentiment reset after a 5-month market correction and FPI outflows, impacting brokers, depositories like CDSL, and exchange volumes.
  • The euphoria phase is cooling, but the long-term equity culture remains intact. Investors should expect near-term consolidation, with stronger players gaining share.

India’s Rice Policy Reversal: Opportunity for Exporters

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India has lifted major rice export restrictions, ending duties and price caps, triggering a sharp global price correction in rice markets.
  • Global rice prices have dropped 40% since January 2024, providing relief to importing countries and reopening volumes for Indian exporters like  Chaman Lal Setia Exports (CMLTX IN).
  • Expect stronger earnings momentum for Indian rice exporters in FY26 as volumes rebound, margins expand, and India reasserts global dominance.

#128 India Insight: Textile $100B Exports by 2030, Wind Energy Hits 48.5 GW, Data Centers Reach $10B

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The textile industry targets $100 billion exports by 2030, seeking policy support for growth and cost competitiveness.
  • India’s wind energy capacity reaches 48.5 GW, with 2,702 MW added in FY25, signaling steady growth and new opportunities.
  • India’s data centre industry grows to $10 billion, driven by rising internet penetration and AI demand, with Mumbai and Chennai leading.

#129 India Insight: GOI’s 23k Cr PLI for EMS, NSE 2 Yrs IPO Delay?, Indian Defence Soars

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The cabinet approved a Rs. 22,919 cr PLI for non-semiconductor electronics to boost domestic manufacturing, aiming for significant investment and job creation.
  • National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)‘s IPO, initially filed in 2016, faces a potential two-year delay due to regulatory concerns flagged by SEBI, despite recent improvements in share transfer efficiency.
  • India’s defence manufacturing achieved Rs. 1.27 lakh crore output in FY24 and aims for Rs. 3 lakh crore by 2029 through indigenous development and policy reforms.

Japan Strategy Weekly | Trump’s Surprise 25% Auto Tariff

By Mark Chadwick

  • Tokyo stocks faced a volatile week, with the Nikkei falling 1.5% and the Topix down 1.7%, largely impacted by shifting global sentiment and policy uncertainty.
  • Trump’s surprise 25% auto tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in automakers, especially Nissan (-7%) and Mazda (-6%).
  • Oracle Japan stock rose 12% on record Q3 earnings, strong cloud growth, and AI projects, while Sumitomo Realty gained 10% on Elliott’s stake and governance reform hopes.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 28/03/2025

By Auctus Advisors

  • Condor Energies (CDR CN) C ; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Production rises again.
  • Maiden reserves report. First LNG sales in Kazakhstan on track for 1H26 – YE24 2P reserves in Uzbekistan were estimated at 18.5 mmboe.
  • 4Q24 production was 10,511 boe/d increasing to 12,019 boe/d in March to date and 12,288 boe/d over the past five days. I

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Brakes as Tariffs Hit and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Brakes as Tariffs Hit
  • India’s Power Surge: What Is Fueling the Demand Boom in 2025?
  • #127 India Insight: Rupee Hits 3-Month High, Groww Eyes $6.5B Valuation, India Cuts Import Duties
  • Japan Morning Connection: US Auto Tariffs Shaking Markets but Ex-Date May Lure Buyers Back in Japan


Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Brakes as Tariffs Hit

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks fell as investors reacted to Trump’s new 25% tariffs on foreign automakers, set for April 2. General Motors dropped over 7%, Ford nearly 4%
  • Hertz and Avis shares surged over 20% as investors anticipated higher fleet values due to new U.S. auto tariffs.
  • TOWA unveiled a three-year plan targeting 71 billion yen in sales and 8 billion yen in operating profit by March 2028, driven by AI semiconductor demand in Asia

India’s Power Surge: What Is Fueling the Demand Boom in 2025?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s electricity demand is witnessing a structural boom driven by rising temperatures, AC sales, urbanization, and smart tariff reforms, not just seasonal summer spikes.
  • Cooling demand alone could drive one-third of peak load by 2030, stressing grids, accelerating coal use, and challenging India’s clean energy transition.
  • The power story is no longer about generation alone, transmission, storage, smart meters, and efficient cooling are the real investment and policy frontiers to watch.

#127 India Insight: Rupee Hits 3-Month High, Groww Eyes $6.5B Valuation, India Cuts Import Duties

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The Indian rupee strengthens to a three-month high, erasing 2025 losses amid foreign inflows and RBI’s forex swap auction.
  • Groww in talks to raise $200 million at a $6.5 billion valuation ahead of its IPO filing.
  • India exempts import duties on 35 items for EV batteries and 28 for mobile phones to boost domestic production.

Japan Morning Connection: US Auto Tariffs Shaking Markets but Ex-Date May Lure Buyers Back in Japan

By Andrew Jackson

  • Tech is off the menu for most as CoreWeave shakes AI sentiment further.
  • Japanese autos largely priced in the tariff news yesterday, although big dividends up for grabs may see renewed interest.
  • Japan set for another day of duck-and-cover with the rotation back towards domestic defensive set to continue.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets
  • Lab Grown Diamonds: What Indian Players Are Saying?(Part-2)
  • Will India’s Anti-Dumping Duty Impact the PVC Industry Players In India?
  • India’s 12% Safeguard Duty: A Tailwind for Domestic Steelmakers or a Risk to Downstream Industries?
  • #126 India Insight: India Plans US Tariff Cuts to Protect $66B, Meesho IPO, Temasek’s Haldiram Stake


Ohayo Japan | Trump Tariffs Rattle Markets

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks fell sharply as Trump’s 25% auto tariff plan targets all countries, aiming for 100 billion yen in revenue, sinking GM (-10%) & Ford (-4.5%), TM (-1.8%)
  • Japan’s Nikkei rose 246 yen to 38,027, buoyed by tech gains like Nintendo (+5.3%), despite auto sector lag, with Goldwin lifting profit forecasts to 21 billion yen.
  • Nissan Motor, led by President-elect Iván Espinosa, aims to hasten management by cutting new vehicle development from 55 to 30 months

Lab Grown Diamonds: What Indian Players Are Saying?(Part-2)

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Indian jewellery players like Goldiam International (GLDM IN), Vaibhav Global (VGM IN), Senco Gold (SENCO IN) are scaling up their LGD businesses, citing strong demand, better margins, and global acceptance.
  • LGDs offer 40–45% margins vs. 25–30% for natural diamonds, and are driving revenue growth across these companies, signaling a shift in consumer preferences towards affordability, fashion, and ethical sourcing.
  • LGDs are no longer a niche trend, they are becoming a mainstream, margin-accretive category. Early movers with direct-to-consumer reach and global alliances are poised to lead this structural shift.

Will India’s Anti-Dumping Duty Impact the PVC Industry Players In India?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India has imposed anti-dumping duties of up to USD 707/tonne on PVC paste resin imports from six countries, including China and Korea, effective March 21, 2025.  
  • The move follows complaints from domestic producers citing dumping, margin pressure, and a surge in substandard resin imports disrupting market stability and quality standards.  
  • The duty will likely improve profitability for Indian manufacturers, stabilize resin prices, and reduce unfair competition, though it may raise costs for import-dependent sectors in the short term.

India’s 12% Safeguard Duty: A Tailwind for Domestic Steelmakers or a Risk to Downstream Industries?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India proposes a 12% safeguard duty on key flat steel imports for 200 days, targeting low-cost shipments from FTA partners like Japan and South Korea.
  • The move supports domestic steelmakers like JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) and Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) by restoring pricing power, creating room for further price hikes of INR 1,000–1,500/Ton.
  • Near-Term profitability looks up for flat-steel players, but risks from WTO pushback, MSME cost pressures, and the policy’s temporary nature warrant cautious optimism.

#126 India Insight: India Plans US Tariff Cuts to Protect $66B, Meesho IPO, Temasek’s Haldiram Stake

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India plans to cut tariffs on US imports to protect $66B in exports, negotiating trade deal amid Trump’s tariff threat.
  • Meesho (1546271D IN) plans $1 Bn IPO at $10B valuation, picking top bankers; aiming for Diwali 2025 listing, surpassing Flipkart.
  • Temasek Holdings Pte Ltd (TMSK SP) seeks CCI approval to acquire 10% stake in Haldiram Snacks at $10B valuation, aiming to fuel expansion.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Up Slightly and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Up Slightly, GameStop Jumps 6% on Bitcoin Move
  • Japan Morning Connection: Rudderless Tape in the US Points to Uninspired JP Trading to Start
  • Rio vs Fenix for Creasy’s Project (The Battle for Robe Mesa)
  • #125 India Insight: Tata Partners with Tesla, India Hits 1B Coal Tonnes, Hindalco to Invest ₹45K Cr
  • Biopharma Week in Review – March 24, 2025
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – Tariff Front-Running


Ohayo Japan | S&P 500 Up Slightly, GameStop Jumps 6% on Bitcoin Move

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks rose, but consumer confidence hit a four-year low at 92.9, amid Trump tariff uncertainties; GameStop surged 6% on bitcoin adoption.
  • Japan’s Nikkei rebounded to 37,780 yen; real estate stocks led gains, while BOJ signaled potential rate hikes, pushing bond yields to 1.57%.
  • Citizen Watch targets 360 billion yen in sales by 2028; Mitsubishi Corp plans a 150 billion yen AI data center.

Japan Morning Connection: Rudderless Tape in the US Points to Uninspired JP Trading to Start

By Andrew Jackson

  • Toyota further signalling a U-turn in its EV strategy by delaying long-range battery plant.
  • Nexon very squeezy, but does something this well flagged really deserve legs?
  • Activist Murakami up to his old tricks a la Pacific Metals with Ferrotec or just a tactic to shake retail?

Rio vs Fenix for Creasy’s Project (The Battle for Robe Mesa)

By Money of Mine

  • Goldfields makes hostile bid for Gold Road with 28% premium
  • Gold Road board rejects offer, wanted to buy 50% of Gruyere from Goldfields
  • Gold Road now in play, potential competition for acquisition as shareholders weigh options

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


#125 India Insight: Tata Partners with Tesla, India Hits 1B Coal Tonnes, Hindalco to Invest ₹45K Cr

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Group partners with Tesla (TSLA US) to supply critical EV components, positioning India as a key player in Tesla’s expansion.
  • India crosses 1 billion tonnes of coal production in FY25, driven by PSUs, private players, and 500,000 workers.
  • Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) announces a Rs. 45,000 crore investment plan to expand in copper, aluminium, and specialty alumina sectors.

Biopharma Week in Review – March 24, 2025

By Water Tower Research

  • The HHS rescheduled the CDC’s postponed February ACIP (vaccine experts panel) meeting for mid-April, with a revised agenda to include the ongoing measles outbreak.
  • Flu vaccine guidelines for fall strains are not on the schedule, as the FDA issued recommendations without the usual ACIP guidance.
  • The CDC’s Division of HIV Prevention is under review, which could disrupt a major funding source of HIV prophylaxis (PrEP) drugs (GILD, GSK). 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – Tariff Front-Running

By Water Tower Research

  • A relatively quiet week on the policy front as the markets (seemingly) continue to grapple with elevated uncertainty and work through the implications for the economy.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-2.2%), Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index (-1.3%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (-2.5%) trailed the broader market indexes.
  • Unsurprisingly, firms were front-running anticipated tariffs in early 2025

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