This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Equity Derivatives on Smartkarma.
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1. Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook : New Rally After Large Pullback?
- Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been rallying for quite a while in the last few weeks, and we have been bullish on the stock since the start of the year.
- At the moment the stock is very overbought according to our model, we see potential for a pullback, possibly something larger than a buy the dip.
- A 2 or even a 3 weeks correction should not be ruled out at this stage, 64700 is the limit support zone we are looking at, the short profit target.
2. Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 11 – August 15
- A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 11 – August 15.
- OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), Meta (META US) , Samsung Electronics (005935 KS) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) ,
- OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: BYD (1211 HK) , NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)
3. BYD (1211 HK)’s Current Relief Rally May Lead to Another Pullback
- After an explosive rally in the first part of the year BYD (1211 HK) started to sputter in mid-May and has been downtrending since.
- BYD was starting to be oversold at the end of last week, as shown in our latest Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY insight, but this week started a relief rally.
- However, the current trend pattern is NOT BULLISH according to our model, the stock could fall again after a 1-2 weeks bounce. Profit target: 116-123 price zone.
4. Xiaomi (1810.HK) Q2 Earnings: Setup Features Low Volatility and Recent Underperformance
- The setup for this earnings release is interesting as Xiaomi has underperformed HSI since the end of June.
- Xiaomi’s Q2 earnings setup features low vols a strong beat record and interesting Q2 dynamics.
- Implied vol sits near historic lows despite the approaching earnings.
5. TSMC’s Outlook After Trump’s 300% Semiconductor Tariff Bombshell
- Our model recently signaled that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) is overbought. Strangely, it is overbought on the TIME model but not on the PRICE model, a bearish divergence.
- On Friday Trump announced that next week he will slap 300% import tariffs on semiconductors imports. TSMC has factories in the United States so in theory it’s exempt.
- South Korea, Malaysia and Philippines’ semiconductor industries are going to be affected the most, leaving TSMC in a very good position BUT TSMC IS OVERBOUGHT and will pulback soon.
6. Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Aug 11 – 15): Market Breadth Expands, Options Activity Grows
- Broad-Based strength across sectors pushed HSI higher despite late-week weakness.
- Option trading accelerated into week’s end, with Calls showing a modest uptick.
- The HKD pulled back from the top end of its trading range after prior interventions.
7. BHP (BHP AU) Annual Results: Options Market Bets on Post-Earnings Upside
- Timing: BHP (BHP AU) reports annual results on Tuesday, 19 August 2025, 8:00 AM AEST. Corresponding local times for its international listings are detailed in the Insight.
- Highlight: Options positioning ahead of the results suggests at least one trader is making a sizeable bet on post-earnings upside.
- Why Read: Gain insight into BHP’s earnings-day price history , volatility setup, and options market positioning to be ready for the upcoming announcement.
8. CBA (CBA AU): FY 2025 Results Drive Sharp Intraday Moves – Insights for Options Traders
- Context: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)’s FY 2025 results delivered record profits but missed analyst expectations, prompting a sharp share price adjustment.
- Insights: Detailed review of intraday price action and implied volatility behavior following the announcement shows how the market digested the results and how implied volatility established a new equilibrium.
- Why Read: Offers a concise, data-driven view of how Australia’s largest bank’s results influenced market dynamics. Gain practical perspective on intraday trading patterns and where implied volatility might be heading
